Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Sep. 15, 2009

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.9900 (0.12%) ($25.8100 - $26.0100) on Tue. Sep. 15, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.58% (three month average)
RSI   0
Latest Price   $25.9900(0.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(59%)    LQD(58%)    EEM(50%)    EWG(48%)    SPY(48%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.29% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(5%)    IGOV(7%)    TLT(14%)    GLD(21%)    USO(24%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.29% (StdDev 0.58%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.84(0.58%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.66(1.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.4(2.32%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   13.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.34% (three month std-dev: 0.58%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20091015

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_15_2009	24.05	25.4	25.66	25.84			25.99(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	-10000	11	131	0.18	53%	0.17	80.6	0.58%	0	1.7	0	0
2	Sep_14_2009	24.01	25.34	25.6	25.76			25.96(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	41	-10000	13	126	0.15	53%	0.13	81	0.59%	0	1.9	93	0
3	Sep_11_2009	23.98	25.28	25.53	25.66			25.86(0.58%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	35	-10000	10	110	0.16	59%	0.17	76.5	0.62%	0	1.9	93	0
4	Sep_10_2009	23.94	25.22	25.47	25.58			25.71(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	-10000	8	101	0.18	59%	0.13	61.8	0.62%	0	1.6	89	0
5	Sep_9_2009	23.91	25.18	25.42	25.52			25.68(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	31	-10000	8	98	0.15	59%	0.17	63.5	0.63%	0	1.7	90	0

6	Sep_8_2009	23.87	25.12	25.35	25.46			25.6(0.59%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	27	-10000	5	94	0.16	59%	0.21	57.4	0.63%	0	1.7	91	0
7	Sep_4_2009	23.82	25.08	25.3	25.42			25.45(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	25	-10000	4	89	0.11	63%	0.13	66.3	0.66%	0	1.4	80	0
8	Sep_3_2009	23.79	25.06	25.26	25.39			25.44(0.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	27	-10000	6	91	0.17	57%	0.13	76	0.66%	0	1.5	82	0
9	Sep_2_2009	23.76	25.03	25.21	25.34			25.41(0.04%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	28	-10000	5	96	0.2	60%	0.13	87.5	0.69%	0	1.6	86	0
10	Sep_1_2009	23.73	24.99	25.17	25.3			25.4(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	-10000	8	89	0.23	60%	0.17	101.1	0.71%	0	1.8	62	0

11	Aug_31_2009	23.69	24.96	25.11	25.23			25.39(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	26	-10000	7	82	0.17	60%	0.04	105.4	0.71%	0	1.9	70	0
12	Aug_28_2009	23.68	24.91	25.06	25.17			25.29(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10000	7	74	0.1	60%	0.17	100	0.71%	0	1.6	59	0
13	Aug_27_2009	23.64	24.87	25.01	25.11			25.23(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	-10000	5	61	0.12	60%	0.17	91.4	0.71%	0	1.4	57	0
14	Aug_26_2009	23.6	24.82	24.95	25.07			25.21(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	16	-10000	7	44	0.11	60%	0.13	85.8	0.72%	0	1.4	56	0
15	Aug_25_2009	23.57	24.76	24.92	25.01			25.02(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	14	-10000	5	39	0.12	59%	0.17	79.3	0.71%	0	0.9	56	0

16	Aug_24_2009	23.53	24.72	24.88	24.97			25.08(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	9	-10000	3	28	0.11	59%	0.17	77.6	0.72%	0	1.2	59	0
17	Aug_21_2009	23.49	24.68	24.85	24.94			25(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	11	-10000	4	33	0.08	59%	0.13	76.1	0.72%	0	1	63	0
18	Aug_20_2009	23.46	24.63	24.84	24.9			25.02(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	19	-10000	10	47	0.17	59%	0.17	75.4	0.72%	0	1.1	67	0
19	Aug_19_2009	23.42	24.58	24.82	24.9			24.94(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-10000	0	46	0.1	59%	0.17	69.2	0.73%	0	1	67	0
20	Aug_18_2009	23.38	24.53	24.81	24.81			24.82(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	-10000	4	68	0.09	59%	0.17	71.5	0.74%	0	0.8	68	0

21	Aug_17_2009	23.34	24.48	24.8	24.77			24.9(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	1	79	0.17	59%	0.17	67.3	0.74%	0	1.1	70	0
22	Aug_14_2009	23.3	24.43	24.76	24.76			24.82(1.1%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	20	-10000	-1	82	0.13	57%	0.13	67.1	0.79%	0	1	65	0
23	Aug_13_2009	23.27	24.37	24.71	24.77			24.55(-1.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	17	-10000	-7	89	0.18	55%	0.17	68.5	0.82%	0	0.4	65	0
24	Aug_12_2009	23.23	24.33	24.69	24.84			24.95(1.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	32	-10000	3	117	0.12	60%	0.13	70.2	0.8%	0	1.4	76	0
25	Aug_11_2009	23.2	24.27	24.61	24.81			24.61(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	28	-10000	-2	119	0.22	57%		71.1	0.79%	0	0.8	74	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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