Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 15, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $23.5000 (-2.16%) ($23.5000 - $24.3700) on Tue. Jul. 15, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $23.5000(-2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(36%)    SPY(35%)    EEM(33%)    EWG(33%)    EWY(33%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(1%)    TLT(8%)    GLD(13%)    USO(14%)    TIP(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $21.54(-8.34%)
Resistance Level   $24.5
5 Day Moving Average   $24.22(-2.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.33(-3.41%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.5(-4.08%)
To recent high   -9.9%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 1.47% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080815

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_15_2008	25.53	24.5	24.33	24.22			23.5(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-28	-10000	-19	-53	0.12	32%	-0.08	-65.3	0.84%	0	-2.8	38	0
2	Jul_14_2008	25.55	24.58	24.46	24.41			24.02(-1.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-11	-10000	-9	-18	0.03	34%	-0.04	-72	0.81%	0	-1.9	41	0
3	Jul_11_2008	25.56	24.63	24.47	24.5			24.43(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-11	-10000	-4	-30	0.02	37%	-0.04	-74.5	0.78%	0	-0.7	40	0
4	Jul_10_2008	25.57	24.66	24.48	24.54			24.63(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-7	-10000	1	-30	0.02	38%	-0.04	-78.9	0.78%	0	-0.1	48	0
5	Jul_9_2008	25.58	24.7	24.47	24.53			24.5(0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-5	-10000	7	-41	0.04	38%	-0.04	-81.7	0.78%	0	-0.6	43	0

6	Jul_8_2008	25.59	24.74	24.48	24.46			24.46(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-21	-10000	-6	-67	0.02	38%	-0.08	-85.8	0.78%	0	-0.8	45	0
7	Jul_7_2008	25.61	24.79	24.51	24.52			24.48(-0.69%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-9	-10000	8	-59	0.03	40%	-0.08	-81	0.78%	0	-0.8	43	0
8	Jul_3_2008	25.63	24.83	24.56	24.44			24.65(0.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-16	-10000	4	-74	0.01	40%	-0.04	-83.2	0.78%	0	-0.4	45	0
9	Jul_2_2008	25.64	24.89	24.57	24.4			24.56(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-24	-10000	-1	-93	0.02	41%	-0.04	-79.3	0.78%	0	-0.7	42	0
10	Jul_1_2008	25.65	24.95	24.61	24.41			24.15(-2.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10000	-10	-110	0.03	37%	-0.08	-75	0.75%	0	-1.6	33	0

11	Jun_30_2008	25.67	25.04	24.69	24.5			24.77(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-29	-10000	1	-119	0.03	41%	-0.04	-69.1	0.68%	0	-0.5	37	0
12	Jun_27_2008	25.68	25.1	24.71	24.49			24.06(-1.6%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-68	-10000	-31	-179	0.02	32%	-0.04	-68.2	0.57%	0	-2	20	0
13	Jun_26_2008	25.69	25.2	24.81	24.71			24.45(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-44	-10000	-9	-147	0.03	35%	-0.08	-62.1	0.53%	0	-1.5	28	0
14	Jun_25_2008	25.71	25.27	24.87	24.77			24.63(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-49	-10000	-11	-162	0.03	36%	-0.04	-61.6	0.53%	0	-1.3	24	0
15	Jun_24_2008	25.72	25.34	24.94	24.84			24.61(-0.44%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-49	-10000	-9	-167	0.07	36%	-0.04	-59.5	0.54%	0	-1.6	22	0

16	Jun_23_2008	25.73	25.4	25.03	24.9			24.72(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-51	-10000	-8	-180	0.03	36%	-0.08	-60.5	0.53%	0	-1.5	22	0
17	Jun_20_2008	25.75	25.47	25.1	24.95			25.12(1.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-47	-10000	3	-197	0.06	41%	0	-59.8	0.5%	0	-0.8	26	0
18	Jun_19_2008	25.75	25.51	25.13	24.93			24.78(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-70	-10000	-10	-249	0.02	34%	-0.08	-60.4	0.47%	0	-1.7	16	0
19	Jun_18_2008	25.77	25.57	25.22	24.99			24.98(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-71	-10000	-12	-246	0.03	36%	-0.04	-57.5	0.47%	0	-1.4	17	0
20	Jun_17_2008	25.78	25.62	25.31	25.06			24.88(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-76	-10000	-21	-241	0.02	33%	-0.04	-57.2	0.46%	0	-1.9	18	0

21	Jun_16_2008	25.79	25.68	25.42	25.18			24.98(-0.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-61	-10000	-17	-194	0.02	33%	-0.04	-56.6	0.48%	0	-2	23	0
22	Jun_13_2008	25.8	25.73	25.52	25.28			25.02(-0.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-52	-10000	-12	-171	0.04	33%	0	-56.7	0.48%	0	-2.3	20	0
23	Jun_12_2008	25.8	25.77	25.62	25.35			25.1(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-57	-10000	-23	-159	0.06	33%	-0.04	-61.9	0.48%	0	-2.5	25	0
24	Jun_11_2008	25.81	25.81	25.71	25.49			25.32(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-47	-10000	-20	-129	0.02	36%	0	-64.7	0.47%	0	-2.2	27	0
25	Jun_10_2008	25.81	25.85	25.77	25.61			25.48(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-37	-10000	-17	-98	0.04	38%		-56.8	0.46%	0	-1.9	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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