Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.9000 (-0.23%) ($25.7000 - $25.9400) on Tue. May. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.43% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $25.9000(-0.23%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(36%)    SPY(34%)    EWG(33%)    VWO(33%)    EEM(32%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.215% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(2%)    TLT(8%)    USO(13%)    GLD(13%)    TIP(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.215% (StdDev 0.43%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.88(0.08%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.95(-0.19%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.9(0%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.42% (three month std-dev: 0.43%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080620

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_20_2008	25.82		25.95	25.88			25.9(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-6	-10000	-4	-13	0.04	47%	-0.04	11.9	0.43%	0	0	49	0
2	May_19_2008	25.83	25.9	25.96	25.9			25.96(0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	-1	-10000	-4	8	0.02	41%	0.04	17.4	0.44%	0	0.5	64	0
3	May_16_2008	25.82	25.89	25.96	25.92			25.94(0.54%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	5	-10000	-3	27	0.04	41%	0	12	0.46%	0	0.4	65	0
4	May_15_2008	25.82	25.87	25.95	25.94			25.8(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	4	-10000	-7	35	0.04	37%	-0.04	-4	0.46%	0	-0.5	51	0
5	May_14_2008	25.83	25.87	25.96	25.98			25.8(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	6	-10000	-8	48	0.02	37%	0	0	0.46%	0	-0.6	51	0

6	May_13_2008	25.83	25.87	25.97	25.98			26(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	-10000	0	69	0.02	41%	0	10	0.46%	0	0.9	56	0
7	May_12_2008	25.83	25.88	25.94	26.03			26.07(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-10000	7	63	0.05	41%	0.04	8	0.46%	0	1.5	57	0
8	May_9_2008	25.82	25.87	25.9	25.99			26.01(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	14	-10000	3	46	0.02	41%	0	0	0.46%	0	1	60	0
9	May_8_2008	25.82	25.87	25.88	25.97			26.01(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	7	52	0.04	41%	0	3.7	0.46%	0	0.9	66	0
10	May_7_2008	25.82	25.88	25.86	25.93			26.05(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	11	-10000	3	36	0.16	41%	0	0	0.46%	0	1.2	54	0

11	May_6_2008	25.82	25.88	25.84	25.91			25.99(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	-10000	12	32	0.09	41%	0.04	-10	0.46%	0	0.9	51	0
12	May_5_2008	25.81	25.88	25.82	25.84			25.9(-0.04%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-10000	8	12	0.03	41%	0	-24	0.46%	0	0.2	50	0
13	May_2_2008	25.81	25.88	25.81	25.79			25.91(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-2	-10000	3	-16	0.03	41%	0	-32	0.46%	0	0.3	45	0
14	May_1_2008	25.81	25.87	25.78	25.79			25.81(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	0	-48	0.03	49%	0	-40	0.46%	0	-0.5	38	0
15	Apr_30_2008	25.81	25.87	25.79	25.77			25.94(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-10	-10000	3	-49	0.02	45%	0	-38.9	0.51%	0	0.4	46	0

16	Apr_29_2008	25.81	25.88	25.78	25.75			25.66(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-8	-61	0.02	38%	0	-38.9	0.5%	0	-1.6	41	0
17	Apr_28_2008	25.81	25.9	25.81	25.8			25.63(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-10000	-5	-51	0.05	38%	0	-32	0.5%	0	-2.1	40	0
18	Apr_25_2008	25.81	25.91	25.84	25.83			25.81(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	7	-43	0.05	41%	0	-19.6	0.49%	0	-0.8	41	0
19	Apr_24_2008	25.81	25.92	25.88	25.79			25.81(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-46	0.04	41%	0	-21.4	0.49%	0	-1	49	0
20	Apr_23_2008	25.81	25.93	25.9	25.8			25.86(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10000	-3	-38	0.04	54%	0	-4.8	0.5%	0	-0.6	47	0

21	Apr_22_2008	25.81	25.93	25.9	25.8			25.89(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	0	-35	0.07	45%	0	16.7	0.57%	0	-0.5	44	0
22	Apr_21_2008	25.81	25.93	25.91	25.82			25.78(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-5	-33	0.03	45%	0	28.3	0.63%	0	-1.3	47	0
23	Apr_18_2008	25.81	25.94	25.94	25.86			25.6(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-16	-10000	-13	-24	0.07	42%	0	42.9	0.63%	0	-3.1	40	0
24	Apr_17_2008	25.81	25.95	25.97	25.97			25.89(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.03	46%	0	76.9	0.61%	0	-0.6	48	0
25	Apr_16_2008	25.81	25.94	25.98	26			25.93(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-1	4	0.04	51%		71.7	0.61%	0	-0.1	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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