Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 1, 2008

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.8100 (-0.5%) ($25.6800 - $26.0000) on Thu. May. 1, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.46% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $25.8100(-0.5%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(36%)    SPY(34%)    EWG(33%)    VWO(33%)    EEM(32%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(2%)    TLT(8%)    USO(13%)    GLD(13%)    TIP(21%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.23% (StdDev 0.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

Resistance Level   $25.87
5 Day Moving Average   $25.77(0.16%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.78(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.87(-0.23%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   1.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.5% (three month std-dev: 0.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080601

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_1_2008	25.81	25.87	25.78				25.81(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-12	-10000	0	-48	0.03	49%	0	-40	0.46%	0	-0.5	38	0
2	Apr_30_2008	25.81	25.87	25.79	25.77			25.94(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.2	-10	-10000	3	-49	0.02	45%	0	-38.9	0.51%	0	0.4	46	0
3	Apr_29_2008	25.81	25.88	25.78	25.75			25.66(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-21	-10000	-8	-61	0.02	38%	0	-38.9	0.5%	0	-1.6	41	0
4	Apr_28_2008	25.81	25.9	25.81	25.8			25.63(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-17	-10000	-5	-51	0.05	38%	0	-32	0.5%	0	-2.1	40	0
5	Apr_25_2008	25.81	25.91	25.84	25.83			25.81(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-10000	7	-43	0.05	41%	0	-19.6	0.49%	0	-0.8	41	0

6	Apr_24_2008	25.81	25.92	25.88	25.79			25.81(-0.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-13	-10000	-2	-46	0.04	41%	0	-21.4	0.49%	0	-1	49	0
7	Apr_23_2008	25.81	25.93	25.9	25.8			25.86(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-12	-10000	-3	-38	0.04	54%	0	-4.8	0.5%	0	-0.6	47	0
8	Apr_22_2008	25.81	25.93	25.9	25.8			25.89(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-9	-10000	0	-35	0.07	45%	0	16.7	0.57%	0	-0.5	44	0
9	Apr_21_2008	25.81	25.93	25.91	25.82			25.78(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-12	-10000	-5	-33	0.03	45%	0	28.3	0.63%	0	-1.3	47	0
10	Apr_18_2008	25.81	25.94	25.94	25.86			25.6(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-16	-10000	-13	-24	0.07	42%	0	42.9	0.63%	0	-3.1	40	0

11	Apr_17_2008	25.81	25.95	25.97	25.97			25.89(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4	-10000	-4	-2	0.03	46%	0	76.9	0.61%	0	-0.6	48	0
12	Apr_16_2008	25.81	25.94	25.98	26			25.93(0.19%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	0	-10000	-1	4	0.04	51%	0	71.7	0.61%	0	-0.1	48	0
13	Apr_15_2008	25.81	25.92	25.99	26.01			25.88(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-10000	-1	8	0.02	51%	0.04	58.6	0.62%	0	-0.3	48	0
14	Apr_14_2008	25.8	25.9	26	26.02			26.02(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	3	-10000	-1	13	0.05	51%	0	53	0.62%	0	0.7	56	0
15	Apr_11_2008	25.8	25.89	25.99	26.03			26.15(0.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	12	-10000	7	25	0.05	51%	0.04	62.1	0.62%	0	1.5	67	0

16	Apr_10_2008	25.79	25.87	25.99	25.97			26.03(0.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	7	-10000	3	20	0.04	51%	0	61.3	0.62%	0	1	66	0
17	Apr_9_2008	25.79	25.85	25.99	25.95			25.95(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	4	-10000	-4	26	0.02	51%	0	59.7	0.62%	0	0.6	65	0
18	Apr_8_2008	25.79	25.83	25.97	25.98			25.95(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	13	-10000	1	49	0.08	51%	0	60.6	0.62%	0	0.7	69	0
19	Apr_7_2008	25.79	25.81	25.96	25.97			26.05(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	18	-10000	3	61	0.06	51%	0.04	51.4	0.62%	0	1.3	75	0
20	Apr_4_2008	25.78	25.78	25.93	25.95			25.86(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	12	-10000	-3	56	0.02	47%	-0.04	47.1	0.61%	0	0.4	52	0

21	Apr_3_2008	25.79	25.77	25.92	25.97			25.95(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	15	-10000	-1	61	0.06	44%	0	51.4	0.61%	0	1	59	0
22	Apr_2_2008	25.79	25.76	25.89	25.98			26.08(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	-10000	3	66	0.03	40%	0	55.7	0.61%	0	1.8	67	0
23	Apr_1_2008	25.79	25.73	25.84	25.96			25.92(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	16	-10000	1	59	0.04	37%	0	59.1	0.63%	0	1.1	67	0
24	Mar_31_2008	25.79	25.72	25.8	25.95			25.96(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10000	5	60	0.03	46%	0	67.7	0.64%	0	1.5	69	0
25	Mar_28_2008	25.79	25.7	25.78	25.91			25.95(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	18	-10000	5	57	0.02	46%		72.4	0.7%	0	1.7	70	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.