Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ PCY: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Dec. 20, 2007

Trading Signals: PCY Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Thu. Oct. 11, 2007 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(Invesco Emerging Markets Sovereign Debt ETF)
PCY latest price $25.9200 (0.86%) ($25.7000 - $25.9200) on Thu. Dec. 20, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.56% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $25.9200(0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   PCY advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCY declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCY advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
JNK(35%)    SPY(34%)    EWG(33%)    EEM(32%)    EWY(32%)
Factors Impacting PCY price   PCY will decline at least -0.28% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(1%)    TLT(8%)    GLD(12%)    USO(13%)    TIP(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.28% (StdDev 0.56%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.71(0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.79(0.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.75(0.66%)
To recent high   -1.6%
To recent low   1.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. PCY price fluctuates within 0.62% (three month std-dev: 0.56%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080120

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_20_2007	25.89	25.75	25.79	25.71			25.92(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-3	-10000	3	-20	0.01	54%	0	-21	0.56%	0	1.1	53	0
2	Dec_19_2007	25.89	25.74	25.76	25.69			25.7(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-7	-29	0.01	51%	-0.04	-38.7	0.55%	0	-0.2	53	0
3	Dec_18_2007	25.9	25.73	25.77	25.74			25.73(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	-13	-12	0.03	51%	0	-40.3	0.55%	0	0	54	0
4	Dec_17_2007	25.9	25.74	25.79	25.83			25.55(-0.35%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.7	-0	-10000	-8	23	0.02	49%	-0.04	-38.7	0.55%	0	-1.2	51	0
5	Dec_14_2007	25.91	25.76	25.82	25.89			25.64(-0.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-1.6	15	-10000	3	51	0.02	49%	0	-32.3	0.55%	0	-0.8	53	0

6	Dec_13_2007	25.91	25.78	25.84	25.87			25.81(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	18	-10000	4	58	0.01	51%	-0.04	-28.4	0.55%	0	0.2	60	0
7	Dec_12_2007	25.92	25.78	25.82	25.84			25.99(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	-10000	6	53	0.03	54%	0.04	-25.9	0.55%	0	0.9	58	0
8	Dec_11_2007	25.91	25.78	25.78	25.8			26.17(1.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	18	-10000	9	45	0.05	56%	0	-37	0.54%	0	1.8	67	0
9	Dec_10_2007	25.91	25.8	25.73	25.74			25.82(1.06%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	3	-10000	-3	20	0.02	52%	0	-38.8	0.51%	0	0.1	49	0
10	Dec_7_2007	25.91	25.81	25.7	25.76			25.55(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-4	-10000	-8	8	0.01	47%	-0.04	-40.4	0.49%	0	-1.1	35	0

11	Dec_6_2007	25.92	25.83	25.7	25.81			25.69(-0.23%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	2	-10000	3	-1	0.01	50%	0	-40.4	0.49%	0	-0.6	32	0
12	Dec_5_2007	25.92	25.85	25.71	25.79			25.75(-0.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-3	-10000	5	-27	0.02	50%	-0.04	-44.9	0.49%	0	-0.4	31	0
13	Dec_4_2007	25.93	25.87	25.69	25.76			25.91(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	-10000	9	-50	0.04	53%	0	-46.2	0.49%	0	0.2	47	0
14	Dec_3_2007	25.93	25.88	25.69	25.7			25.88(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-16	-10000	8	-89	0.02	53%	0	-53.8	0.49%	0	0	37	0
15	Nov_30_2007	25.93	25.9	25.68	25.65			25.8(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-20	-10000	9	-108	0.01	53%	-0.04	-52	0.5%	0	-0.4	44	0

16	Nov_29_2007	25.94	25.93	25.71	25.59			25.63(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-34	-10000	-3	-125	0.01	49%	0	-50	0.49%	0	-1.1	39	0
17	Nov_28_2007	25.94	25.96	25.77	25.59			25.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-29	-10000	0	-115	0.02	49%	-0.04	-43.3	0.5%	0	-1.3	37	0
18	Nov_27_2007	25.95	25.98	25.8	25.61			25.6(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-36	-10000	-6	-126	0.01	49%	-0.08	-45	0.51%	0	-1.5	36	0
19	Nov_26_2007	25.97	26.01	25.87	25.65			25.6(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	-10000	-11	-113	0.03	49%	-0.04	-39.1	0.51%	0	-1.7	36	0
20	Nov_23_2007	25.98	26.04	25.92	25.72			25.54(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-41	-10000	-19	-108	0.01	49%	-0.04	-34.5	0.52%	0	-2.3	32	0

21	Nov_21_2007	25.99	26.06	25.97	25.85			25.7(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-33	-10000	-15	-88	0.01	53%	-0.04	-20.5	0.52%	0	-1.9	33	0
22	Nov_20_2007	26	26.08	26.02	25.95			25.59(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-26	-10000	-12	-68	0.02	53%	-0.08	-1.5	0.52%	0	-2.9	33	0
23	Nov_19_2007	26.02	26.1	26.08	26.03			25.82(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-10000	-15	-50	0.03	58%	0	22.2	0.5%	0	-2	44	0
24	Nov_16_2007	26.02	26.1	26.11	26.13			25.95(-0.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-8	-10000	-3	-23	0.05	62%	-0.04	52	0.5%	0	-1.2	45	0
25	Nov_15_2007	26.03	26.11	26.15	26.15			26.17(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	-10000	5	-3	0.05	69%		68	0.48%	0	0.5	56	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.