Trading Signals: PCAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Aug. 14, 2015

Trading Signals: PCAR Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(PACCAR Inc)
PCAR latest price $57.0828 (0.4%) ($56.8197 - $57.2824) on Fri. Aug. 14, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $57.0828(0.4%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PCAR advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PCAR declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PCAR advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(64%)    XLI(63%)    SPY(60%)    VYM(60%)    XLB(60%)
Factors Impacting PCAR price   PCAR will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $54.63(-4.3%)
Resistance Level   $57.97
5 Day Moving Average   $57.1(-0.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.22(-0.24%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.97(-1.53%)
To recent high   -5.2%
To recent low   0.4%
Market Cap   $19.739b

PACCAR, Inc. is a global technology company, which engages in the design and manufacture of light, medium, and heavy-duty trucks. It operates through the following segments: Truck, Parts, Financial Services, and Other. The Truck segment designs and manufactures heavy, medium, and light duty diesel trucks which are marketed under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles. The Financial Services segment provides finance and leasing products; and services provided to truck customers and dealers. The Other segment covers the manufacturing and marketing of industrial winches. The company was founded by William Pigott Sr. in 1905 and is headquartered in Bellevue, WA.

$. PCAR price fluctuates within 1.45% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150914

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_14_2015	58.26	57.97	57.22	57.1			57.08(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-20	-10000	1	-83	1.06	35%	0.02	-49	0.96%	0	-1.1	39	0
2	Aug_13_2015	58.25	58.03	57.37	57.06			56.86(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-10000	-3	-89	1.06	35%	0.02	-45.2	0.96%	0	-1.4	36	0
3	Aug_12_2015	58.24	58.15	57.53	57.13			56.95(0.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-10000	-4	-91	2.2	35%	-0.02	-32.4	0.97%	0	-1.5	34	0
4	Aug_11_2015	58.25	58.25	57.76	57.24			56.93(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-22	-10000	-1	-83	2.36	35%	-0.02	-19.2	0.97%	0	-1.7	33	0
5	Aug_10_2015	58.26	58.34	57.92	57.26			57.68(1.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-25	-10000	-4	-88	1.95	37%	0.02	-17.5	0.96%	0	-0.9	39	0

6	Aug_7_2015	58.25	58.38	58	57.38			56.89(-0.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-32	-10000	-13	-89	1.71	37%	0	-9.8	0.96%	0	-2.1	36	0
7	Aug_6_2015	58.25	58.38	58.18	57.73			57.21(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-9	-64	1.6	37%	0	-4.1	0.97%	0	-1.7	43	0
8	Aug_5_2015	58.25	58.41	58.37	57.99			57.48(0.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	-10000	-13	-54	1.57	35%	0.02	-1.6	0.97%	0	-1.2	37	0
9	Aug_4_2015	58.24	58.4	58.54	58.36			57.06(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-15	-10000	-10	-28	2.46	35%	0.02	8	0.98%	0	-1.8	38	0
10	Aug_3_2015	58.23	58.46	58.74	58.66			58.28(-0.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2	-10000	-1	-5	2	38%	0.05	27	0.95%	0	-0.3	48	0

11	Jul_31_2015	58.2	58.45	58.78	58.69			58.6(0.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	-10000	-0	-1	2.38	38%	0.03	23.7	0.96%	0	0.2	53	0
12	Jul_30_2015	58.18	58.44	58.76	58.7			58.53(-1.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-10000	-4	8	3.15	36%	0.07	27.1	0.96%	0	0.1	62	0
13	Jul_29_2015	58.14	58.42	58.83	58.8			59.34(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	1	39	2.93	38%	0.09	28	0.96%	0	1.3	73	0
14	Jul_28_2015	58.09	58.34	58.77	58.76			58.56(0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	12	-10000	-3	56	3.39	34%	0.03	20	0.95%	0	0.3	69	0
15	Jul_27_2015	58.07	58.28	58.78	58.84			58.43(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	16	-10000	-1	67	3.4	34%	0.05	12.5	0.95%	0	0.2	52	0

16	Jul_24_2015	58.04	58.29	58.79	58.88			58.65(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	21	-10000	3	76	3.62	34%	0.05	13.9	0.96%	0	0.5	55	0
17	Jul_23_2015	58.01	58.26	58.67	58.81			59.01(-0.26%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	14	-10000	-1	60	2.5	34%	0.03	8.3	0.96%	0	1.1	53	0
18	Jul_22_2015	57.99	58.23	58.46	58.85			59.16(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	-10000	2	53	2.3	34%	0.02	16.2	0.97%	0	1.4	57	0
19	Jul_21_2015	57.98	58.21	58.24	58.79			58.95(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-10000	2	42	2.51	46%	0.02	20.4	0.98%	0	1.1	59	0
20	Jul_20_2015	57.97	58.2	58.16	58.73			58.65(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	12	-10000	2	42	1.59	50%	0.02	23.9	1.12%	0	0.7	60	0

21	Jul_17_2015	57.96	58.19	58.09	58.68			58.28(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	14	-10000	6	36	2.75	47%	0	20.4	1.14%	0	0.1	48	0
22	Jul_16_2015	57.96	58.2	58.1	58.48			59.23(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	19	-10000	14	32	1.54	50%	0.02	8	1.15%	0	1.6	56	0
23	Jul_15_2015	57.95	58.12	57.98	58			58.84(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	10	-10000	12	4	1.65	52%	0.02	-20.4	1.15%	0	1.1	50	0
24	Jul_14_2015	57.94	58.07	57.85	57.61			58.65(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.7	-5	-10000	3	-29	1.18	52%	0.02	-37.1	1.16%	0	1	47	0
25	Jul_13_2015	57.93	58.04	57.72	57.52			58.38(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.5	-10	-10000	2	-47	1.25	52%		-36.3	1.16%	0	0.6	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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