Trading Signals: PBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 14, 2013

Trading Signals: PBI Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Pitney Bowes Inc.)
PBI latest price $22.8500 (2.6%) ($22.1000 - $23.0400) on Thu. Nov. 14, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.7% (three month average)
RSI   85
Latest Price   $22.8500(2.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PBI advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PBI advances 3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PBI advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IWM(17%)    EEM(16%)    VWO(16%)    EWJ(15%)    SPY(15%)
Factors Impacting PBI price   PBI will decline at least -0.85% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-4%)    SHY(-4%)    IGOV(-2%)    BNDX(-2%)    TIP(-1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.85% (StdDev 1.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $22.03(3.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $21.86(4.53%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.04(8.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   40%
Market Cap   $3.921b

Pitney Bowes, Inc. is a technology company, which engages in the provision of products and solutions in the commerce industry. It operates through the following segments: Global Ecommerce, Presort Services, and SendTech Solutions. The Global Ecommerce segment includes products and services that facilitate domestic retail and ecommerce shipping solutions, including fulfillment and returns, and global cross-border ecommerce transactions. The Presort Services segment includes sortation services to qualify large volumes of first class mail, marketing mail and bound and packet mail for postal worksharing discounts. The SendTech Solutions segment includes physical and digital mailing and shipping solutions, financing, services, supplies and other applications to help simplify and save on the sending, tracking and receiving of letters and packages. The company was founded by Arthur H. Pitney and Walter Bowes on April 23, 1920 and is headquartered in Stamford, CT.

$. PBI price fluctuates within 4.9% (three month std-dev: 1.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 30 Average positive next day return: 2.3%(30%) Average negative next day return: -1.5%(70%) Sample size 30 Average positive next three day return: 3.88%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -4.67%(60%) Sample size 30 Average positive next weekly return: 4.26%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.46%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20131214

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_14_2013	17.65	21.04	21.86	22.03	21.98	22.29	22.85(2.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	62	90	32	151	5.61	93%	0.46	66.9	1.7%	0	1.8	85	0
2	Nov_13_2013	17.57	20.88	21.7	21.73	21.7	21.93	22.27(1.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	47	70	14	145	3.64	93%	0.46	65.2	1.68%	0	1.4	77	0
3	Nov_12_2013	17.49	20.74	21.56	21.64	21.7	21.68	21.89(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	43	20	7	150	4.48	92%	0.46	69.1	1.7%	0	1.2	72	0
4	Nov_11_2013	17.41	20.61	21.46	21.62	21.59	21.47	21.75(1.59%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	38	-40	-3	159	9.7	92%	0.46	73	1.7%	0	1.2	68	0
5	Nov_8_2013	17.33	20.49	21.22	21.64	21.64	21.49	21.41(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	31	-50	-9	152	3.39	92%	0.46	77.4	1.72%	0	1	67	0

6	Nov_7_2013	17.25	20.38	21.04	21.64	21.73	21.71	21.32(-2.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	38	0	-1	154	3.67	92%	0.41	80.3	1.72%	0	1	67	0
7	Nov_6_2013	17.18	20.27	20.89	21.66	21.68	21.79	21.81(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	54	40	15	169	4.75	100%	0.41	78.3	1.7%	0	1.5	76	0
8	Nov_5_2013	17.11	20.1	20.7	21.47	21.49	21.75	21.8(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	56	90	21	162	3.21	100%	0.41	70.4	1.71%	0	1.7	76	0
9	Nov_4_2013	17.04	19.93	20.52	21.26	21.28	21.56	21.88(1.86%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	77	90	46	171	4.14	100%	0.47	66.8	1.7%	0	2.1	80	0
10	Nov_1_2013	16.96	19.77	20.32	20.73	20.95	21.23	21.48(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	61	130	39	127	3.73	100%	0.41	60	1.73%	0	2.1	77	0

11	Oct_31_2013	16.89	19.63	20.15	20.33	20.44	20.99	21.34(2.4%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.4	50	200	34	98	5.32	100%	0.42	58.1	1.75%	0	2.3	77	0
12	Oct_30_2013	16.82	19.51	19.97	20.01	20.06	20.67	20.84(0.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	48	220	38	78	6.54	100%	0.36	62.3	1.74%	0	2.1	75	0
13	Oct_29_2013	16.76	19.43	19.83	19.83	19.79	19.89	20.77(7.95%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	27	30	17	55	16.12	100%	0.36	72.1	2.31%	0	2.4	79	0
14	Oct_28_2013	16.7	19.33	19.67	19.69	19.67	19.46	19.24(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-80	-15	47	5.55	100%	0.3	78.4	2.13%	0	-0.2	69	0
15	Oct_25_2013	16.65	19.28	19.69	19.84	19.86	19.7	19.45(-1.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	10	-50	-10	70	4.18	100%	0.3	80.1	2.13%	0	0.3	66	0

16	Oct_24_2013	16.6	19.22	19.67	19.93	19.96	19.88	19.73(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-20	-2	86	3.37	100%	0.3	78	2.12%	0	0.8	67	0
17	Oct_23_2013	16.55	19.14	19.61	19.91	19.95	20.02	19.95(-0.75%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	27	30	5	91	1.87	100%	0.3	70.6	2.11%	0	1.2	66	0
18	Oct_22_2013	16.5	19.04	19.47	19.83	19.85	20.04	20.1(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	70	15	81	3.45	100%	0.36	70.4	2.11%	0	1.6	64	0
19	Oct_21_2013	16.44	18.94	19.31	19.65	19.68	19.88	19.96(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	80	14	60	3.05	100%	0.31	70	2.15%	0	1.6	67	0
20	Oct_18_2013	16.39	18.84	19.19	19.52	19.5	19.66	19.9(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	50	14	57	2.84	100%	0.31	75.4	2.15%	0	1.8	75	0

21	Oct_17_2013	16.34	18.75	19.08	19.37	19.33	19.48	19.62(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	50	10	56	2.64	100%	0.31	83.7	2.15%	0	1.6	75	0
22	Oct_16_2013	16.29	18.69	19.02	19.27	19.22	19.33	19.57(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	30	15	65	2.67	100%	0.25	92.7	2.15%	0	1.6	75	0
23	Oct_15_2013	16.25	18.59	18.98	19.06	19.09	19.19	19.22(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	25	40	12	65	3.54	100%	0.25	85.1	2.15%	0	1.1	72	0
24	Oct_14_2013	16.21	18.51	18.94	18.91	18.91	19.11	19.29(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	24	70	10	64	1.88	100%	0.25	74.4	2.15%	0	1.3	71	0
25	Oct_11_2013	16.17	18.4	18.84	18.8	18.78	19	19.17(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	80	10	59	4.06	100%		69.9	2.16%	0	1.3	71	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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