Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 25, 2022

Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Paychex Inc)
PAYX latest price $128.6600 (0.77%) ($128.6600 - $128.6600) on Fri. Mar. 25, 2022.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.68% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $128.6600(0.77%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PAYX advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PAYX advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Rotation from growth to value for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PAYX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IVE(77%)    IWD(77%)    SPY(77%)    DIA(76%)    SDY(76%)
Factors Impacting PAYX price   PAYX will decline at least -0.84% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-41%)    UUP(-29%)    TBT(-8%)    VXX(-6%)    UNG(4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.84% (StdDev 1.68%)
Hourly BBV 1.5 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $127.13(1.2%)
10 Day Moving Average   $125.62(2.42%)
20 Day Moving Average   $123.25(4.39%)
To recent high   -6.4%
To recent low   15.3%
Market Cap   $46.163b

Paychex, Inc. engages in the provision of human capital management solutions for payroll, human resource, insurance, and retirement for small and medium sized businesses. Its solutions include payroll services, hiring services, business insurance, time and attendance, employee benefits, finance and payments, human resources services, and startup services. The company was founded by Blase Thomas Golisano in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, NY.

$. PAYX price fluctuates within 2.77% (three month std-dev: 1.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 2.4%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1.68%(60%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 2.72%(46%) Average negative next three day return: -2.8%(54%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 3.49%(48%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.98%(52%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20220425

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_25_2022	123.44	123.25	125.62	127.13	127.26	128.18	128.66(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	71	50	58	110	0.93	49%	0.04	83.8	1.68%	1.5	1.6	59	-0.9
2	Mar_24_2022	123.39	122.74	124.81	127.01	126.84	126.51	127.68(1.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-20	11	84	0.75	49%	0.04	85.2	1.69%	1.6	1.4	58	-0.7
3	Mar_23_2022	123.34	122.14	124.24	126.57	126.72	126.34	125.33(-1.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-20	-24	70	1.56	48%	0.02	71.8	1.69%	-0.8	0.9	60	-0.8
4	Mar_22_2022	123.32	121.59	123.94	126.38	126.78	127.16	127.36(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	30	27	94	1.04	52%	0.05	61.3	1.68%	0.8	1.5	64	-1
5	Mar_21_2022	123.26	120.99	123.05	125.17	126.03	127.1	126.6(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	62	80	55	84	0.9	54%	0.02	51.3	1.82%	0.2	1.5	68	-1.2

6	Mar_18_2022	123.23	120.46	122.65	123.82	124.61	126.4	128.07(2.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	85	120	84	87	3.56	54%	0.04	38.9	1.81%	1.9	2.2	66	0.2
7	Mar_17_2022	123.18	119.84	122.07	122.3	122.77	124.95	125.51(0.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	84	140	86	76	1.07	52%	0.02	24.3	1.81%	1.4	1.8	64	-0.9
8	Mar_16_2022	123.15	119.53	121.53	121.62	121.5	122.83	124.35(2.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	75	70	75	74	1.05	52%	0	14.3	1.81%	1.9	1.7	68	-0.6
9	Mar_15_2022	123.15	119.28	121.11	121.21	120.96	120.58	121.31(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	25	-30	12	62	0.75	52%	-0.02	9.1	1.78%	0.4	0.8	67	-2.8
10	Mar_14_2022	123.17	119.14	120.77	120.61	121.23	120.17	119.85(-0.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-14	-50	-32	40	0.8	51%	-0.03	0.9	1.79%	-1.3	0.3	60	-1.8

11	Mar_11_2022	123.21	119.1	120.72	121.25	120.84	121.33	120.49(-1.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-18	20	-42	56	1.07	51%	-0.02	6.5	1.79%	-0.3	0.5	60	0.6
12	Mar_10_2022	123.23	119.08	120.56	121.76	121.49	122.3	122.09(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	67	40	53	110	0.92	52%	0.01	14.8	1.8%	1.1	1.2	63	0.9
13	Mar_9_2022	123.22	119.13	119.94	121.42	121.73	120.35	122.31(3.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	21	-70	3	75	1.29	52%	0	16.7	1.81%	0.2	1.2	53	-0.8
14	Mar_8_2022	123.22	119.04	119.1	121.03	121.22	120.67	118.3(-3.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-50	-30	-75	25	1.95	49%	-0.02	18.4	1.75%	-1.7	-0.3	46	-1.2
15	Mar_7_2022	123.24	119.12	118.87	120.87	121.59	123.11	123.06(0.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	74	110	73	76	1.61	52%	0.03	20.7	1.68%	0.7	1.5	59	-1.6

16	Mar_4_2022	123.2	118.94	118.15	120.08	120.18	121.77	123.04(2.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	74	100	79	57	1.3	54%	0.04	21.4	1.7%	2	1.6	58	-1.2
17	Mar_3_2022	123.15	118.71	117.43	119.21	119.02	120.07	120.38(0.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	52	60	61	25	0.97	51%	0.02	27.2	1.69%	0.7	0.7	48	-0.8
18	Mar_2_2022	123.12	118.68	117.32	118.25	118.59	118.58	120.37(2.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	36	10	50	-7	1.33	53%	0.02	29.2	1.7%	1.7	0.7	40	-1
19	Mar_1_2022	123.09	118.56	117.22	116.91	117.57	117.97	117.51(-1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	40	2	-52	1.45	50%	0	11.9	1.69%	-0.4	-0.5	42	-1.8
20	Feb_28_2022	123.09	118.58	117.32	116.52	116.63	118.6	119.11(0.37%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	36	120	60	-38	1.69	48%	0.01	2.6	1.73%	0.7	0.2	48	-1

21	Feb_25_2022	123.08	118.4	117.29	115.91	115.88	117.17	118.67(2.68%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	56	80	88	-39	0.98	47%	0	-10.8	1.75%	1.6	0.1	47	-0.7
22	Feb_24_2022	123.08	118.08	117.41	115.43	115.23	114.65	115.58(1.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	-40	-13	-85	1.9	44%	-0.02	-28.8	1.73%	0.2	-0.9	43	-1.1
23	Feb_23_2022	123.11	118.01	118.22	116.31	115.58	114.59	113.68(-1.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-80	-80	-77	-89	1.56	44%	-0.02	-31.5	1.71%	-2.9	-1.5	35	-1.5
24	Feb_22_2022	123.14	118.29	118.99	117.58	117.21	115.82	115.56(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-90	-48	-50	1.13	44%	0.07	-27.4	1.71%	-0.3	-1	46	-0.8
25	Feb_18_2022	123.05	118.52	119.46	118.21	118.33	116.57	116.07(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-70	-100	-78	-47	0.96	44%		-30.4	1.69%	-1	-0.9	48	-1.1
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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