Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. May. 10, 2016

Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Paychex Inc)
PAYX latest price $48.4056 (1.73%) ($47.6048 - $48.4422) on Tue. May. 10, 2016.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.02% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $48.4056(1.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PAYX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PAYX declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based rally for large cap. Broad based rally for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PAYX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    IVE(76%)    IWD(76%)    SDY(75%)    SPLV(75%)
Factors Impacting PAYX price   PAYX will decline at least -0.51% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    VIXM(-20%)    UUP(-13%)    GDXJ(-6%)    IPO(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.51% (StdDev 1.02%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.56(1.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.66(1.56%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.83(1.2%)
To recent high   -2.2%
To recent low   13.5%
Market Cap   $17.368b

Paychex, Inc. engages in the provision of human capital management solutions for payroll, human resource, insurance, and retirement for small and medium sized businesses. Its solutions include payroll services, hiring services, business insurance, time and attendance, employee benefits, finance and payments, human resources services, and startup services. The company was founded by Blase Thomas Golisano in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, NY.

$. PAYX price fluctuates within 0.94% (three month std-dev: 1.02%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20160610

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_10_2016	46.5	47.83	47.66	47.56			48.41(1.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	3	-10000	7	-10	1.64	65%	0.02	-34	1.02%	0	1.3	47	0
2	May_9_2016	46.49	47.82	47.59	47.4			47.58(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-10	-10000	-1	-35	1.32	63%	0.02	-46.7	1%	0	-0.6	38	0
3	May_6_2016	46.48	47.83	47.59	47.43			47.51(1.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-9	-10000	2	-41	1.97	63%	-0.02	-52.2	1%	0	-0.7	39	0
4	May_5_2016	46.49	47.86	47.6	47.39			46.85(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-21	-10000	-9	-56	2.5	55%	-0.04	-67	0.99%	0	-2.4	40	0
5	May_4_2016	46.51	47.93	47.67	47.61			47.47(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-6	-46	1.37	58%	0	-70.4	1.01%	0	-1.2	44	0

6	May_3_2016	46.51	47.99	47.77	47.76			47.57(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-10000	-2	-31	1.5	58%	0	-58.2	1.01%	0	-1.1	43	0
7	May_2_2016	46.51	48.02	47.87	47.81			47.75(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-10000	0	-23	1.27	58%	0.02	-69.6	1.01%	0	-0.7	45	0
8	Apr_29_2016	46.5	48.06	47.94	47.8			47.32(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5	-10000	-1	-17	2.29	64%	-0.02	-67.4	1.01%	0	-1.7	46	0
9	Apr_28_2016	46.51	48.15	48.01	47.83			47.95(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-1	-10000	4	-14	1.99	67%	0.02	-65.9	1.05%	0	-0.5	47	0
10	Apr_27_2016	46.5	48.2	48.02	47.74			48.23(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-7	-10000	-2	-23	1.62	63%	0	-71.4	1.05%	0	0.1	53	0

11	Apr_26_2016	46.5	48.21	48.01	47.78			47.8(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-12	-10000	-7	-27	2.26	63%	-0.02	-65.1	1.07%	0	-0.8	38	0
12	Apr_25_2016	46.51	48.28	48.06	47.95			47.73(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-10000	-6	-17	2.27	59%	0	-52.7	1.07%	0	-1	45	0
13	Apr_22_2016	46.51	48.36	48.07	48.1			47.45(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-6	-10000	-4	-13	1.65	62%	0	-44.5	1.09%	0	-1.7	39	0
14	Apr_21_2016	46.51	48.44	48.15	48.21			47.47(-2.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-8	-10000	-5	-17	1.98	64%	-0.02	-43.7	1.11%	0	-1.9	33	0
15	Apr_20_2016	46.52	48.51	48.21	48.33			48.47(-0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	-10000	2	-18	1.85	64%	-0.02	-35.8	1.09%	0	-0.1	42	0

16	Apr_19_2016	46.53	48.54	48.23	48.27			48.63(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-3	-10000	3	-19	2.09	66%	0	-30.9	1.11%	0	0.2	52	0
17	Apr_18_2016	46.53	48.57	48.18	48.18			48.5(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-5	-10000	5	-36	1.11	66%	0	-24.3	1.13%	0	-0.1	40	0
18	Apr_15_2016	46.53	48.59	48.17	48.05			48(-0.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-14	-10000	-1	-53	1.36	64%	0.04	-22.9	1.13%	0	-1.2	39	0
19	Apr_14_2016	46.51	48.66	48.29	48.08			48.05(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-13	-10000	0	-50	1.26	66%	-0.02	-2.9	1.15%	0	-1.2	42	0
20	Apr_13_2016	46.52	48.68	48.38	48.07			48.17(-0.06%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-16	-10000	-4	-51	2.19	62%	-0.02	6.9	1.17%	0	-1	43	0

21	Apr_12_2016	46.53	48.68	48.4	48.17			48.2(0.78%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-13	-10000	-0	-50	1.99	62%	-0.02	22.2	1.21%	0	-1	42	0
22	Apr_11_2016	46.54	48.69	48.52	48.18			47.83(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-17	-10000	-5	-51	1.65	62%	-0.02	25.7	1.21%	0	-1.8	37	0
23	Apr_8_2016	46.55	48.71	48.66	48.32			48.15(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-16	-10000	-7	-43	1.21	59%	0	39.6	1.21%	0	-1.2	42	0
24	Apr_7_2016	46.55	48.67	48.75	48.52			48(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-14	-10000	-7	-34	2.07	53%	-0.02	37.8	1.23%	0	-1.2	39	0
25	Apr_6_2016	46.56	48.64	48.85	48.73			48.7(1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-2	-10000	2	-12	2.04	53%		43.8	1.36%	0	0.1	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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