Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 5, 2015

Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Paychex Inc)
PAYX latest price $41.6788 (0.89%) ($41.0820 - $41.6788) on Thu. Feb. 5, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   56
Latest Price   $41.6788(0.89%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PAYX advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PAYX declines -0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PAYX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    IVE(76%)    VYM(73%)    VT(71%)    IWM(68%)
Factors Impacting PAYX price   PAYX will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-9%)    IGOV(-5%)    GDXJ(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.84(2.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.11(1.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.16(1.26%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $14.954b

Paychex, Inc. engages in the provision of human capital management solutions for payroll, human resource, insurance, and retirement for small and medium sized businesses. Its solutions include payroll services, hiring services, business insurance, time and attendance, employee benefits, finance and payments, human resources services, and startup services. The company was founded by Blase Thomas Golisano in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, NY.

$. PAYX price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2015	40.08	41.16		40.84			41.68(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.6	-1	-10000	10	-33	2.39	55%	0.12	20.2	0.93%	0	1	56	0
2	Feb_4_2015	40.03	41.11	41.11	40.65			41.31(0.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.3	-7	-10000	5	-43	2.25	55%	0.13	10.3	0.93%	0	0.4	53	0
3	Feb_3_2015	39.98	41.05	41.1	40.55			41.17(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-16	-10000	-3	-53	2.92	55%	0.13	-2.9	0.93%	0	0.2	52	0
4	Feb_2_2015	39.93	41.01	41.11	40.61			40.34(1.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-10000	-17	-49	3.18	51%	0.1	-5.6	0.9%	0	-1.1	45	0
5	Jan_30_2015	39.89	41.02	41.21	40.93			39.72(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-25	-10000	-26	-23	3.17	53%	0.1	4.2	0.9%	0	-2.2	36	0

6	Jan_29_2015	39.85	41.05	41.35	41.41			40.7(-0.25%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-4	-10000	-12	21	2.92	59%	0.1	20.9	0.86%	0	-0.7	41	0
7	Jan_28_2015	39.81	41.06	41.4	41.62			40.81(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	9	-10000	-4	49	2.47	59%	0.13	29.4	0.86%	0	-0.4	53	0
8	Jan_27_2015	39.76	41.07	41.43	41.7			41.49(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	20	-10000	1	77	1.74	63%	0.13	39.7	0.83%	0	0.8	71	0
9	Jan_26_2015	39.71	41.04	41.38	41.68			41.94(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	-10000	9	91	1.53	67%	0.13	35.1	0.82%	0	1.6	71	0
10	Jan_23_2015	39.66	40.99	41.29	41.53			42.11(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	33	-10000	13	91	2.06	68%	0.15	29	0.83%	0	2.2	74	0

11	Jan_22_2015	39.6	40.94	41.2	41.3			41.75(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	28	-10000	8	89	1.83	67%	0.15	28	0.83%	0	1.8	73	0
12	Jan_21_2015	39.54	40.89	41.1	41.16			41.22(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	21	-10000	3	76	1.8	68%	0.13	27.4	0.81%	0	0.8	55	0
13	Jan_20_2015	39.49	40.89	40.99	41.11			41.38(0.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	-10000	4	55	1.58	68%	0.13	26.3	0.85%	0	1.4	55	0
14	Jan_16_2015	39.44	40.85	40.89	41.03			41.18(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	11	-10000	2	36	2.51	69%	0.15	30.1	0.85%	0	0.9	50	0
15	Jan_15_2015	39.38	40.84	40.8	41			40.98(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	1	-10000	-5	20	2.28	66%	0.13	32	0.85%	0	0.3	50	0

16	Jan_14_2015	39.33	40.82	40.72	41.09			41.04(0.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	6	-10000	3	15	2.45	66%	0.13	35	0.86%	0	0.5	46	0
17	Jan_13_2015	39.28	40.79	40.69	41.03			40.98(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10000	11	11	2.1	66%	0.1	25.2	0.86%	0	0.5	50	0
18	Jan_12_2015	39.24	40.75	40.68	40.84			40.98(-0.13%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	-10000	7	1	1.99	66%	0.13	1	0.87%	0	0.5	59	0
19	Jan_9_2015	39.19	40.74	40.69	40.71			41.04(-0.88%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	-10000	8	-18	1.94	61%	0.13	-12	0.88%	0	0.7	44	0
20	Jan_8_2015	39.14	40.71	40.67	40.56			41.4(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.9	2	-10000	14	-33	1.83	64%	0.15	-28.7	0.88%	0	1.6	52	0

21	Jan_7_2015	39.08	40.67	40.64	40.31			40.77(1.83%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	1.1	-13	-10000	-0	-50	2.26	58%	0.1	-53.5	0.87%	0	0.2	54	0
22	Jan_6_2015	39.04	40.68	40.65	40.32			40.04(-0.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-19	-10000	-10	-47	3.25	55%	0.1	-55.4	0.88%	0	-1.6	48	0
23	Jan_5_2015	39	40.75	40.69	40.5			40.32(0.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-10000	-9	-28	4.6	55%	0.13	-45.8	0.87%	0	-1.1	54	0
24	Jan_2_2015	38.95	40.79	40.81	40.65			40.25(0.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7	-10000	-8	-2	2	59%	0.18	-36.5	0.92%	0	-1.4	47	0
25	Dec_31_2014	38.88	40.84	40.9	40.8			40.19(-1.47%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.6	-4	-10000	-11	17	1.9	55%		-28	0.92%	0	-1.7	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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