Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 17, 2014

Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Paychex Inc)
PAYX latest price $36.7345 (1.55%) ($36.0784 - $36.7432) on Wed. Sep. 17, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.74% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $36.7345(1.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PAYX advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PAYX advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PAYX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    VT(70%)    XLI(68%)    XLK(68%)    IWM(67%)
Factors Impacting PAYX price   PAYX will decline at least -0.37% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.37% (StdDev 0.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.36(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.41(0.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.31(1.17%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $13.18b

Paychex, Inc. engages in the provision of human capital management solutions for payroll, human resource, insurance, and retirement for small and medium sized businesses. Its solutions include payroll services, hiring services, business insurance, time and attendance, employee benefits, finance and payments, human resources services, and startup services. The company was founded by Blase Thomas Golisano in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, NY.

$. PAYX price fluctuates within 0.52% (three month std-dev: 0.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20141017

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_17_2014	35.6	36.31	36.41	36.36			36.73(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	10	-10000	6	20	2.46	60%	0.06	32.7	0.74%	0	2.2	60	0
2	Sep_16_2014	35.58	36.29	36.38	36.28			36.17(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-10000	-2	12	1.86	57%	0.06	40.4	0.72%	0	-0.7	49	0
3	Sep_15_2014	35.56	36.3	36.39	36.3			36.35(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-0	-10000	-5	14	1.14	57%	0.06	55.3	0.71%	0	0.3	56	0
4	Sep_12_2014	35.54	36.28	36.35	36.36			36.23(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-4	18	1.42	57%	0.06	65.4	0.72%	0	-0.3	52	0
5	Sep_11_2014	35.52	36.27	36.35	36.42			36.29(-0.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10000	-4	21	1.22	57%	0.03	94.5	0.72%	0	0.1	49	0

6	Sep_10_2014	35.51	36.25	36.34	36.48			36.33(0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	7	-10000	-1	31	1.46	57%	0.06	115.5	0.72%	0	0.4	56	0
7	Sep_9_2014	35.49	36.22	36.33	36.5			36.29(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	9	-10000	1	33	1.32	57%	0.03	119.7	0.72%	0	0.3	47	0
8	Sep_8_2014	35.48	36.21	36.32	36.48			36.67(0.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-10000	11	31	1.76	60%	0.06	124.6	0.71%	0	1.8	57	0
9	Sep_5_2014	35.46	36.16	36.27	36.34			36.54(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	-10000	8	19	2.45	60%	0.06	115.9	0.71%	0	1.5	66	0
10	Sep_4_2014	35.44	36.08	36.24	36.24			36.55(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	7	-10000	5	13	1.53	60%	0.06	69.1	0.72%	0	1.3	62	0

11	Sep_3_2014	35.42	36.01	36.2	36.18			36.46(0.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5	-10000	4	9	2.24	57%	0.06	50	0.72%	0	1.2	62	0
12	Sep_2_2014	35.4	35.94	36.19	36.13			36.17(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	3	-10000	-1	15	1.55	55%	0.08	34.2	0.73%	0	0.5	61	0
13	Aug_29_2014	35.37	35.9	36.19	36.14			35.96(-0.31%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	4	-10000	-3	23	1.71	55%	0.06	24.8	0.73%	0	0.1	53	0
14	Aug_28_2014	35.35	35.87	36.19	36.18			36.07(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	5	-10000	-5	33	1	55%	0.03	19.5	0.74%	0	0.4	60	0
15	Aug_27_2014	35.34	35.84	36.2	36.24			36.23(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	-10000	2	66	1.16	55%	0.03	13.5	0.74%	0	0.9	75	0

16	Aug_26_2014	35.33	35.82	36.17	36.22			36.24(0.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	18	-10000	-2	79	0.67	55%	0.03	10.6	0.74%	0	1	70	0
17	Aug_25_2014	35.32	35.82	36.12	36.25			36.18(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	24	-10000	-2	100	0.88	55%	0.03	9.8	0.75%	0	0.9	71	0
18	Aug_22_2014	35.31	35.79	36.09	36.28			36.2(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	33	-10000	4	120	0.88	58%	0	13.8	0.76%	0	0.9	64	0
19	Aug_21_2014	35.31	35.79	36.05	36.22			36.34(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	-10000	5	120	1.01	58%	0	11.9	0.76%	0	1.2	63	0
20	Aug_20_2014	35.31	35.78	35.91	36.15			36.13(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	-10000	4	105	1.5	58%	0	16.3	0.76%	0	0.8	61	0

21	Aug_19_2014	35.31	35.77	35.81	36.1			36.41(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	-10000	9	89	0.91	60%	0.03	12.2	0.76%	0	1.5	57	0
22	Aug_18_2014	35.3	35.75	35.67	35.97			36.34(1.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	19	-10000	7	56	1.73	60%	0	2.6	0.76%	0	1.4	56	0
23	Aug_15_2014	35.3	35.72	35.56	35.88			35.87(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	9	-10000	2	28	2	56%	0	-4.5	0.75%	0	0.4	44	0
24	Aug_14_2014	35.3	35.73	35.51	35.85			36.01(0.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	-10000	16	13	0.95	53%	0	-5.4	0.77%	0	0.7	43	0
25	Aug_13_2014	35.3	35.71	35.45	35.63			35.89(0.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	-10000	11	-36	1.93	53%		-22.6	0.78%	0	0.4	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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