Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. May. 30, 2014

Trading Signals: PAYX Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Mar. 14, 2014 - Wed. Sep. 27, 2023)

(Paychex Inc)
PAYX latest price $35.1692 (-0.8%) ($35.1093 - $35.6055) on Fri. May. 30, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.97% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $35.1692(-0.8%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PAYX advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PAYX advances 0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PAYX advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    VT(70%)    IWM(67%)    XLI(67%)    XLK(67%)
Factors Impacting PAYX price   PAYX will decline at least -0.485% in a week (0% probabilities).
VIXM(-26%)    TLT(-24%)    UUP(-7%)    GDXJ(-6%)    IGOV(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.485% (StdDev 0.97%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $35.17(-0%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.01(0.45%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.97(0.57%)
To recent high   -3.4%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $12.619b

Paychex, Inc. engages in the provision of human capital management solutions for payroll, human resource, insurance, and retirement for small and medium sized businesses. Its solutions include payroll services, hiring services, business insurance, time and attendance, employee benefits, finance and payments, human resources services, and startup services. The company was founded by Blase Thomas Golisano in 1971 and is headquartered in Rochester, NY.

$. PAYX price fluctuates within 0.83% (three month std-dev: 0.97%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140630

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_30_2014	35.18		35.01	35.17			35.17(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	10	-10000	7	17	3.02	45%	0	32.5	0.97%	0	0.7	53	0
2	May_29_2014	35.18	34.97	34.96	35.05			35.45(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	7	-10000	9	1	1.13	45%	0.03	27.7	0.97%	0	1.7	58	0
3	May_28_2014	35.17	34.96	34.9	34.89			35.14(-0.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	-0	-10000	2	-7	1.44	45%	0	25.3	0.97%	0	0.6	62	0
4	May_27_2014	35.17	34.94	34.92	34.85			35.18(0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	1	-10000	1	0	1.39	45%	0	18.6	0.98%	0	0.8	58	0
5	May_23_2014	35.17	34.91	34.92	34.85			34.92(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	0	-10000	0	1	1.52	45%	-0.03	14.7	0.99%	0	0	46	0

6	May_22_2014	35.18	34.88	34.93	34.85			34.57(-0.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-10000	0	0	2.22	42%	-0.03	9.5	0.99%	0	-0.9	44	0
7	May_21_2014	35.19	34.88	34.97	34.84			34.66(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-4	-10000	-3	-5	1.99	42%	-0.03	9.5	1%	0	-0.7	45	0
8	May_20_2014	35.2	34.88	34.94	34.9			34.9(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-9	-10000	-6	-18	2.33	42%	-0.03	17.9	1%	0	0	42	0
9	May_19_2014	35.21	34.89	34.94	35			35.13(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-4	-10000	-2	-9	1.14	42%	0	33.7	1.01%	0	0.7	56	0
10	May_16_2014	35.21	34.86	34.92	35.04			34.95(1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	1	-10000	-1	6	1.66	42%	-0.03	48.4	1.02%	0	0.3	56	0

11	May_15_2014	35.22	34.85	34.93	35.05			34.58(-1.13%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	3	-10000	-3	19	2.18	40%	-0.03	52.6	1.02%	0	-0.8	56	0
12	May_14_2014	35.23	34.86	34.99	35.11			34.97(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	14	-10000	7	36	1.66	42%	-0.03	54.7	1.01%	0	0.3	54	0
13	May_13_2014	35.24	34.83	35.03	34.98			35.37(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	-10000	9	37	1.57	44%	0.03	35.7	1.01%	0	1.6	58	0
14	May_12_2014	35.23	34.77	34.96	34.82			35.34(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	6	-10000	2	18	1.51	44%	0	11.2	1.02%	0	1.7	56	0
15	May_9_2014	35.23	34.7	34.88	34.79			34.98(0.29%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2	-10000	-2	13	1.67	41%	-0.03	-7.5	1.02%	0	0.8	55	0

16	May_8_2014	35.24	34.67	34.81	34.82			34.88(1.67%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-2	9	2.06	41%	-0.03	-28.8	1.03%	0	0.6	52	0
17	May_7_2014	35.25	34.68	34.8	34.86			34.31(-0.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-7	-10000	-13	10	2.95	36%	-0.06	-40.2	1.01%	0	-1	46	0
18	May_6_2014	35.27	34.71	34.84	35.1			34.6(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.4	9	-10000	-1	39	1.94	36%	-0.06	-35.5	1.01%	0	-0.3	53	0
19	May_5_2014	35.29	34.71	34.86	35.11			35.19(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	20	-10000	8	55	1.63	39%	0	-47.7	0.99%	0	1.2	68	0
20	May_2_2014	35.29	34.73	34.8	34.97			35.11(-0.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	21	-10000	10	55	1.81	39%	-0.03	-70.1	1.01%	0	1	71	0

21	May_1_2014	35.3	34.78	34.76	34.8			35.12(-0.96%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	14	-10000	5	41	1.45	39%	0	-59.7	1.02%	0	0.7	58	0
22	Apr_30_2014	35.3	34.83	34.71	34.72			35.46(2.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	15	-10000	9	31	2.8	39%	0	-48.8	1.02%	0	1.1	53	0
23	Apr_29_2014	35.3	34.85	34.61	34.56			34.68(0.52%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1	-10000	-1	5	1.9	30%	-0.06	-52.7	0.95%	0	-0.3	43	0
24	Apr_28_2014	35.32	34.91	34.56	34.58			34.5(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4	-10000	-2	-8	1.89	30%	-0.08	-47.5	0.96%	0	-0.6	40	0
25	Apr_25_2014	35.35	34.99	34.5	34.61			34.25(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-11	-10000	-5	-27	1.55	30%		-45.9	0.97%	0	-1	34	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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