Trading Signals: PASG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 13, 2020

Trading Signals: PASG Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Fri. Feb. 28, 2020 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Passage Bio)
PASG latest price $21.7500 (2.55%) ($20.9800 - $22.3900) on Wed. May. 13, 2020.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   8.86% (three month average)
RSI   68
Latest Price   $21.7500(2.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   PASG advances 2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   PASG advances 6.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support PASG advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(52%)    ARKG(46%)    ARKK(44%)    IBB(44%)    IWO(44%)
Factors Impacting PASG price   PASG will decline at least -4.43% in a week (0% probabilities).
VXX(-28%)    VIXM(-26%)    UUP(-19%)    TLT(-7%)    UNG(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -4.43% (StdDev 8.86%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.55(5.84%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.47(11.71%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.32(12.58%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   145.5%
Market Cap   $979m

$. PASG price fluctuates within 6.21% (three month std-dev: 8.86%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 50 Average positive next day return: 3.22%(42%) Average negative next day return: -1.83%(58%) Sample size 50 Average positive next three day return: 4.51%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -4.3%(62%) Sample size 50 Average positive next weekly return: 4.25%(52%) Average negative next weekly return: -6.12%(48%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20200613

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_13_2020	17.24	19.32	19.47	20.55	20.76	21.41	21.75(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	20	250	11	46	0.31	39%	0.52	52	8.86%	0	2	68	0.1
2	May_12_2020	17.15	19.19	19.11	20.01	20.23	20.81	21.21(3.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	16	230	11	32	0.28	39%	0.47	58.1	8.94%	0	1.9	59	1.2
3	May_11_2020	17.07	19.08	18.8	19.56	19.68	20.11	20.54(1.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	11	170	8	19	0.24	39%	0.35	67.3	9.02%	0	1.5	57	2.3
4	May_8_2020	17.01	18.99	18.58	19.17	19.33	19.65	20.32(7.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8	140	9	3	0.22	39%	0.41	79.2	9.11%	0	1.4	46	2
5	May_7_2020	16.94	18.83	18.4	18.68	18.9	19.25	18.91(-0.73%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	4	160	9	-11	0.14	39%	0.24	72	9.14%	0	0.1	42	1.4

6	May_6_2020	16.9	18.72	18.36	18.21	18.31	19.01	19.05(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	280	6	-26	0.22	39%	0.3	58.5	9.24%	0	0.3	44	0.8
7	May_5_2020	16.85	18.59	18.37	18.07	17.86	18.55	19(2.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.8	-2	240	7	-29	0.2	39%	0.3	52	9.34%	0	0.3	48	1.1
8	May_4_2020	16.8	18.45	18.38	17.93	17.78	17.61	18.55(3.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	-90	2	-33	0.33	39%	0.24	45.9	9.44%	0	0.1	48	0.5
9	May_1_2020	16.76	18.27	18.58	17.91	17.87	17.17	17.89(8.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-14	-280	-8	-32	0.02	39%	0.12	45.3	9.53%	0	-0.2	47	0.4
10	Apr_30_2020	16.74	18.15	18.82	18.11	18.31	17.94	16.55(-9.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-12	-110	-9	-20	0.04	39%	0	50.2	9.56%	0	-0.9	53	1.3

11	Apr_29_2020	16.74	18.1	19.19	18.5	18.67	18.57	18.34(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	-2	-10	-3	-0	0.11	41%	0.18	54.9	9.55%	0	0.1	67	1.7
12	Apr_28_2020	16.71	17.98	19.31	18.7	18.71	18.68	18.34(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-10	-3	13	0.03	41%	0.24	61.5	9.67%	0	0.2	69	1.2
13	Apr_27_2020	16.67	17.86	19.41	18.89	18.96	18.77	18.45(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	3	-60	-5	26	0.04	41%	0.3	73.5	9.79%	0	0.3	71	1.4
14	Apr_24_2020	16.62	17.58	19.46	19.36	19.19	18.73	18.85(1.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	8	-190	-6	49	0.08	41%	0.36	78	9.91%	0	0.6	80	0.9
15	Apr_23_2020	16.56	17.33	19.32	19.66	19.59	19.15	18.5(-4.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	10	-170	-7	62	0.1	41%	0.3	90.5	10.03%	0	0.5	72	0.4

16	Apr_22_2020	16.51	17.15	19.15	19.98	20	19.65	19.35(0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	18	-120	-2	78	0.03	41%	0.43	109.4	10.14%	0	0.9	79	0.3
17	Apr_21_2020	16.44	16.89	18.87	20	20.07	20.03	19.28(-7.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	20	-0	-1	83	0.12	41%	0.49	119.3	10.28%	0	1	70	-0.2
18	Apr_20_2020	16.36	16.54	18.56	19.99	19.95	20.34	20.83(2.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	27	130	6	90	0.11	41%	0.8	119.3	10.34%	0	1.7	79	0.6
19	Apr_17_2020	16.23	15.99	17.95	19.58	19.69	20.11	20.35(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	32	170	11	94	0.13	41%	0.74	95.1	10.49%	0	1.6	86	1.2
20	Apr_16_2020	16.11	15.43	17.42	18.93	19.17	19.56	20.11(3.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	31	180	11	89	0.24	41%	0.75	66.6	10.65%	0	1.6	76	1.1

21	Apr_15_2020	15.99	14.87	16.89	18.2	18.43	19.27	19.45(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	27	360	11	76	0.09	41%	0.69	39	10.8%	0	1.5	68	1.1
22	Apr_14_2020	15.88	14.42	16.5	17.57	17.72	18.78	19.19(2.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	29	440	15	72	0.08	41%	0.7	18.9	10.97%	0	1.6	70	1.5
23	Apr_13_2020	15.77	13.97	16.13	16.92	16.92	17.6	18.8(10.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	29	280	15	72	0.04	41%	0.64	-0.1	11.14%	0	1.7	75	1.2
24	Apr_9_2020	15.67	13.77	15.5	16.08	16.25	16.65	17.08(3.52%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	21	200	7	64	0.02	41%	0.32	-16.6	11.18%	0	1.3	78	0.9
25	Apr_8_2020	15.62	13.71	15.16	15.7	15.78	16.24	16.5(1.41%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	23	220	6	75	0.04	41%		-24	11.35%	0	1	80	0.9
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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