Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Jun. 16, 2011

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $36.0000 (7.14%) ($33.6000 - $48.0000) on Thu. Jun. 16, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   16.6% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $36.0000(7.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -2.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -9.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(3%)    TLT(2%)    FXI(1%)    USO(1%)    IWM(0%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -8.3% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-8%)    EWG(-7%)    EWI(-6%)    EWP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -8.3% (StdDev 16.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -16.7%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.97(-47.31%)
Resistance Level   $39.93
5 Day Moving Average   $34.61(4.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.39(-3.72%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.93(-9.84%)
To recent high   -81.9%
To recent low   14.5%
Market Cap   $614m

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 9.54% (three month std-dev: 16.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110716

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_16_2011	115.78	39.93	37.39	34.61	35.6	37.5	36(7.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	0	460	10	-30	0	10%	-1.08	-269.3	16.6%	0	-1	38	0
2	Jun_15_2011	117.04	40.3	37.75	35.57	34.41	37.5	33.6(6.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-14	-240	-7	-34	0	10%	-1.14	-321.6	16.68%	0	-1.8	39	0
3	Jun_14_2011	118.39	41.13	38.39	37.01	35.46	33.69	31.44(-12.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-18	-480	-13	-32	0	10%	-1.19	-339.9	16.76%	0	-2.4	29	0
4	Jun_13_2011	119.82	44.88	39.6	38.64	37.44	35.13	36(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-530	-12	-23	0	10%	-1.15	-91.6	16.86%	0	-0.6	43	0
5	Jun_10_2011	121.21	49.82	40.55	39.55	38.87	37.23	36(-11.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-15	-350	-13	-19	0	10%	-1.18	-56.4	16.99%	0	-0.5	35	0

6	Jun_9_2011	122.66	53.74	41.3	40.51	40.7	39.75	40.8(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-5	-150	-3	-12	0	10%	-1.14	-52.3	17.1%	0	-0.4	41	0
7	Jun_8_2011	124.07	57.44	41.31	40.27	41.3	40.5	40.8(3.03%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	6	-60	11	-9	0	10%	-1.16	-51.3	17.24%	0	-0.5	47	0
8	Jun_7_2011	125.53	61.29	41.54	40.03	41.3	41.64	39.6(-2.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	1180	-3	-21	0	10%	-1.2	-50.5	17.37%	0	-0.6	35	0
9	Jun_6_2011	127.06	66.23	41.69	40.75	33.65	42.09	40.56(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	23	1230	44	-41	0	10%	-1.23	-46.3	17.53%	0	-0.7	19	0
10	Jun_3_2011	128.64	71.16	42.17	41.76	33.75	25.65	40.8(3.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-2260	-0	-98	0	10%	-1.24	-43.4	17.68%	0	-0.7	16	0

11	Jun_2_2011	130.26	76.14	42.64	42.24	33.93	25.2	39.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-82	-2390	-61	-146	0	10%	-1.3	-41.8	17.82%	0	-0.8	26	0
12	Jun_1_2011	131.97	81.57	43.03	42.48	42.11	41.85	39.6(-8.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-70	-5	-143	0	10%	-1.33	-40.6	17.98%	0	-0.9	26	0
13	May_31_2011	133.75	86.73	44.08	43.2	42.78	42.66	43.2(-5.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-36	-50	3	-152	0	10%	-1.31	-40.2	18.14%	0	-0.9	27	0
14	May_27_2011	135.52	91.21	50.37	43.2	42.41	42.36	45.6(5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-38	-30	-1	-150	0	10%	-1.31	-42.6	18.32%	0	-1	25	0
15	May_26_2011	137.32	95.61	59.36	42.72	42.38	42.9	43.2(5.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-35	60	-1	-137	0	10%	-1.38	-44.8	18.45%	0	-1.2	23	0

16	May_25_2011	139.24	100.3	66.67	43.2	43.28	42.45	40.8(-5.56%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-34	-130	-1	-132	0	10%	-1.46	-48.1	18.59%	0	-1.4	20	0
17	May_24_2011	141.3	105.61	74.42	43.68	44.18	41.85	43.2(5.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-43	-330	-13	-133	0	10%	-1.45	-52.8	18.78%	0	-1.5	20	0
18	May_23_2011	143.38	110.4	82.29	45.12	46.5	44.1	40.8(-10.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-69	-270	-45	-140	0	10%	-1.53	-58.5	18.92%	0	-1.8	21	0
19	May_20_2011	145.61	115.81	92.55	59.52	54.54	46.5	45.6(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-77	-1280	-61	-125	0	10%	-1.5	-57.1	19.1%	0	-1.9	27	0
20	May_19_2011	147.83	121.01	102.5	79.2	72.99	48.9	45.6(5.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-91	-2550	-85	-109	0	10%	-1.55	-55.4	19.3%	0	-2.2	27	0

21	May_18_2011	150.16	127.02	112.66	94.08	94.29	62.58	43.2(-14.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-126	-2350	-132	-107	0	10%	-1.63	-54.4	19.46%	0	-2.8	25	0
22	May_17_2011	152.65	133.49	123.96	109.44	113.34	97.08	50.4(-55.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.5	-99	-900	-106	-76	0	10%	-1.57	-55.6	19.63%	0	-3.6	25	0
23	May_16_2011	155.08	139.79	134.04	123.84	126.53	126	112.8(-21.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-23	40	-22	-24	0	14%	-0.66	-65.3	18.19%	0	-1.8	45	0
24	May_13_2011	156.11	141.7	136.25	123.84	130.43	129.6	144(20%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	1	-40	4	-9	0	17%	-0.19	-63.5	18.17%	0	0.2	51	0
25	May_12_2011	156.41	142.97	135.01	130.08	132.23	127.05	120(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-20	-220	-19	-21	0	0%		-53	18.04%	0	-1.5	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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