Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 12, 2011

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $120.0000 (0%) ($120.0000 - $134.4000) on Thu. May. 12, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   18.04% (three month average)
RSI   38
Latest Price   $120.0000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -3.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
LQD(3%)    TLT(2%)    FXI(1%)    USO(1%)    IWM(0%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -9.02% in a week (0% probabilities).
IGOV(-7%)    EWG(-7%)    EWI(-6%)    EWP(-5%)    TIP(-4%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -9.02% (StdDev 18.04%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -10.7%

Resistance Level   $142.97
5 Day Moving Average   $130.08(-7.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $135.01(-11.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $142.97(-16.07%)
To recent high   -39.8%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $2.047b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 10.48% (three month std-dev: 18.04%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 13.14%(33%) Average negative next day return: -4.32%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 5.29%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -8.43%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 3.42%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.04%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2011	156.41	142.97	135.01	130.08	132.23	127.05	120(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-20	-220	-19	-21	0	0%	-0.6	-53	18.04%	0	-1.5	38	0
2	May_11_2011	157.35	145.38	136.64	134.88	134.48	131.25	120(-1.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-26	-180	-27	-23	0	0%	-0.62	-49.3	18.26%	0	-1.7	31	0
3	May_10_2011	158.33	147.82	139.17	141.12	137.7	137.4	122.4(-15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-9	-90	-8	-12	0	0%	-0.61	-40.6	18.5%	0	-1.8	30	0
4	May_9_2011	159.3	150.15	140.62	145.44	139.95	137.7	144(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	-230	2	-10	0	0%	-0.27	-24.4	18.65%	0	-0.5	35	0
5	May_6_2011	159.73	150.76	140.55	143.04	139.5	138	144(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-12	-150	-10	-19	0	0%	-0.28	-29.5	18.9%	0	-0.5	50	0

6	May_5_2011	160.18	151.38	140.47	140.64	139.95	142.2	144(-4.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	100	8	-19	0	0%	-0.29	-45	19.16%	0	-0.5	41	0
7	May_4_2011	160.65	153.08	141.9	138.72	138	141	151.2(5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	6	140	14	-20	0	0%	-0.18	-42.5	19.44%	0	-0.1	45	0
8	May_3_2011	160.94	153.86	143.11	137.28	135.45	137.7	144(9.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	80	8	-24	0	0%	-0.33	-47.8	19.68%	0	-0.7	42	0
9	May_2_2011	161.47	153.55	145.48	135.36	135.75	135	132(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-6	-30	2	-28	0	0%	-0.58	-59.3	19.86%	0	-1.4	36	0
10	Apr_29_2011	162.42	154.86	147.3	137.76	136.05	133.2	132(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-180	-14	-33	0	0%	-0.62	-68.8	20.17%	0	-1.6	43	0

11	Apr_28_2011	163.43	157.69	151.33	140.16	138.9	136.5	134.4(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-18	-150	-15	-28	0	0%	-0.61	-61.2	20.5%	0	-1.5	44	0
12	Apr_27_2011	164.43	159.56	154.75	145.44	142.61	138.9	144(7.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-18	-240	-16	-25	0	0%	-0.44	-54.3	20.84%	0	-1.1	39	0
13	Apr_26_2011	165.16	161.35	157.16	150	147.36	141.3	134.4(-6.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-340	-23	-24	0	0%	-0.69	-36.2	21.11%	0	-1.8	41	0
14	Apr_25_2011	166.3	163.27	160.7	157.2	152.22	146.31	144(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-20	-370	-23	-12	0	0%	-0.51	-17.3	21.49%	0	-1.4	59	0
15	Apr_21_2011	167.16	165.58	162.16	158.16	156.27	153.42	144(-10.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-15	-160	-17	-8	0	0%	-0.55	-17.4	21.88%	0	-1.5	51	0

16	Apr_20_2011	168.09	167.64	163.65	163.92	158.72	158.13	160.8(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-120	-6	-4	0	0%	-0.18	-9.2	22.28%	0	-0.5	46	0
17	Apr_19_2011	168.39	167.83	165.44	165.36	161.16	159.12	166.8(-2.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-1	-160	-1	1	0	0%	-0.04	-801.7	22.74%	0	-0.1	53	0
18	Apr_18_2011	168.46	166.83	165.52	165.6	161.36	159.3	170.4(14.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-7	-170	-8	-3	0	0%	0.05	-904.4	23.22%	0	0.2	51	0
19	Apr_15_2011	168.37	165.61	162.17	165.12	161.06	163.2	148.8(-13.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-4	20	-3	-7	0	0%	-0.55	-869.1	23.4%	0	-1	49	0
20	Apr_14_2011	169.3	168.05	163.11	166.56	162.11	163.41	172.8(2.86%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	-20	13	-4	0	0%	0.1	-898.6	23.86%	0	0.3	48	0

21	Apr_13_2011	169.13	168.86	164.38	163.2	160.38	158.91	168(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-8	-120	-6	-13	0	0%	-0.04	-901.5	24.4%	0	-0.1	49	0
22	Apr_12_2011	169.19	503.97	164.51	163.2	161.03	160.8	168(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-9	-90	-8	-11	0	0%	-0.04	-2234	25%	0	-19.2	55	0
23	Apr_11_2011	169.25	843.21	165.52	165.6	165.68	161.85	168(7.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	-160	3	-2	0	0%	-0.05	-3173.7	25.66%	0	-37.6	59	0
24	Apr_8_2011	169.33	1186.6	165.69	165.6	166.56	161.25	156(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-15	-80	-16	-12	0	0%	-0.49	-3847.4	26.2%	0	-55.7	58	0
25	Apr_7_2011	170.16	1534.79	169.04	158.88	166.64	169.5	156(-13.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-9	270	-9	-10	0	0%		-4427	26.97%	0	-73.5	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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