Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. May. 5, 2008

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $10512.0000 (1.86%) ($10320.0000 - $10656.0000) on Mon. May. 5, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.57% (three month average)
RSI   34
Latest Price   $10512.0000(1.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.785% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.785% (StdDev 3.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.1%

Resistance Level   $11076.56
5 Day Moving Average   $10320(1.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10520.86(-0.08%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11076.56(-5.1%)
To recent high   -21.6%
To recent low   17.1%
Market Cap   $179.289b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 9.04% (three month std-dev: 3.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 8.15%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.91%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.56%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_5_2008	10743.5	11076.56	10520.86	10320	10299	10392	10512(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	2678	60	3162	1224	0	52%	-0.04	-68.4	3.57%	0	-0.6	34	0
2	May_2_2008	10747.5	11206.86	10558.1	10286.4	10218	10215	10320(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-203	-20	-221	-147	0	52%	-0.03	-64.2	3.55%	0	-0.8	22	0
3	May_1_2008	10750.5	11353.7	10593.97	10387.2	10258.5	10206	10296(0.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1302	-70	-1510	-679	0	45%	-0.03	-58.6	3.58%	0	-0.9	17	0
4	Apr_30_2008	10754	11501.41	10613.8	10497.6	10413	10221	10224(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-1852	-150	-2152	-953	0	43%	-0.06	-52.3	3.9%	0	-1.1	14	0
5	Apr_29_2008	10760.25	11659.11	10685.27	10622.4	10542	10311	10248(-0.93%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-4196	-180	-4905	-2067	0	48%	-0.07	-45.2	3.91%	0	-1.2	20	0

6	Apr_28_2008	10767.75	11806.49	10783.7	10747.2	10690.5	10605	10344(-4.43%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-2431	-70	-2827	-1243	0	51%	-0.09	-41.5	4.03%	0	-1.3	20	0
7	Apr_25_2008	10777.5	11950.13	10934.08	10862.4	10789.5	10773	10824(-0.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-79	-30	-58	-142	0	53%	-0.06	-37.8	4.06%	0	-1	20	0
8	Apr_24_2008	10784.25	12061.03	11090.32	10828.8	10792.5	10776	10848(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	17	-20	58	-107	0	53%	-0.1	-37.8	4.06%	0	-1.1	19	0
9	Apr_23_2008	10795.25	12148.18	11290.87	10747.2	10735.2	10806	10848(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	385	40	494	58	0	58%	-0.1	-41.5	4.06%	0	-1.2	20	0
10	Apr_22_2008	10806.5	12210.44	11470.21	10761.6	10663.2	10809	10872(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1021	70	1241	360	0	55%	-0.18	-43.4	4.33%	0	-1.3	20	0

11	Apr_21_2008	10825.5	12303.1	11663.95	10833.6	10724.7	10664.4	10920(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	473	-70	596	105	0	55%	-0.15	-38.6	4.42%	0	-1.5	25	0
12	Apr_18_2008	10842.25	12386.52	11893.45	11030.4	10880.7	10517.4	10656(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5059	-270	-5916	-2488	0	55%	-0.33	-30	4.45%	0	-1.9	20	0
13	Apr_17_2008	10878.5	12483.35	12166.36	11404.8	11310	10785	10440(-4.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-7648	-350	-8969	-3686	0	57%	-0.32	-15.9	4.45%	0	-2.5	20	0
14	Apr_16_2008	10913.25	12596.42	12465.13	11918.4	11872.5	11244	10920(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-8345	-380	-9799	-3983	0	57%	-0.31	7.7	4.45%	0	-2.5	34	0
15	Apr_15_2008	10947.25	12661.26	12725.06	12278.4	12339	11835	11232(-5.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-8424	-270	-9902	-3991	0	57%	-0.27	33.3	4.45%	0	-2.5	48	0

16	Apr_14_2008	10976.75	12681.33	12933.89	12604.8	12696	12501	11904(-4.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4504	-90	-5297	-2125	0	59%	-0.23	52.7	4.4%	0	-1.4	45	0
17	Apr_11_2008	11002.5	12667.19	13071.67	12878.4	12901.5	12843	12528(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1358	-30	-1602	-624	0	60%	0.15	67.4	4.35%	0	-0.2	54	0
18	Apr_10_2008	10986.44	12615.79	13127.16	13046.4	13053	12891	13008(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1266	-90	-1499	-566	0	60%	-0.11	71.9	4.35%	0	0.6	60	0
19	Apr_9_2008	10998.82	12544.48	13082.32	13108.8	13155	12960	12720(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3189	-90	-3763	-1466	0	60%	-0.18	77.9	4.35%	0	0.3	56	0
20	Apr_8_2008	11018.27	12473.38	13016.7	13248	13275	13215	12864(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1717	-30	-2034	-765	0	60%	-0.15	81.8	4.34%	0	0.5	65	0

21	Apr_7_2008	11035.2	12391.25	12995.87	13310.4	13344	13350	13272(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	563	10	643	324	0	58%	-0.12	85.1	4.32%	0	1.1	77	0
22	Apr_4_2008	11048.33	12270.36	12913.58	13291.2	13276.5	13335	13368(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	502	30	567	305	0	56%	-0.11	88.7	4.36%	0	1.3	77	0
23	Apr_3_2008	11060.46	12152.42	12814.36	13219.2	13189.5	13338	13320(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2038	70	2372	1035	0	54%	-0.15	84.6	4.4%	0	1.4	77	0
24	Apr_2_2008	11077.13	12022.97	12724.85	13051.2	13042.5	13218	13416(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3381	90	3952	1667	0	52%	-0.13	75.3	4.46%	0	1.7	74	0
25	Apr_1_2008	11091.28	11885.65	12577.27	12748.8	12751.5	13041	13176(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2909	160	3400	1437	0	52%		67	4.51%	0	1.6	76	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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