Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 21, 2008

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $10920.0000 (2.48%) ($10656.0000 - $10992.0000) on Mon. Apr. 21, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.42% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $10920.0000(2.48%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -1.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -9.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -2.21% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.21% (StdDev 4.42%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.5%

Resistance Level   $12303.1
5 Day Moving Average   $10833.6(0.8%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11663.95(-6.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $12303.1(-11.24%)
To recent high   -18.6%
To recent low   31.1%
Market Cap   $186.247b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 7.72% (three month std-dev: 4.42%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080521

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_21_2008	10825.5	12303.1	11663.95	10833.6	10724.7	10664.4	10920(2.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	473	-70	596	105	0	55%	-0.15	-38.6	4.42%	0	-1.5	25	NAN
2	Apr_18_2008	10842.25	12386.52	11893.45	11030.4	10880.7	10517.4	10656(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5059	-270	-5916	-2488	0	55%	-0.33	-30	4.45%	0	-1.9	20	NAN
3	Apr_17_2008	10878.5	12483.35	12166.36	11404.8	11310	10785	10440(-4.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-7648	-350	-8969	-3686	0	57%	-0.32	-15.9	4.45%	0	-2.5	20	NAN
4	Apr_16_2008	10913.25	12596.42	12465.13	11918.4	11872.5	11244	10920(-2.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-8345	-380	-9799	-3983	0	57%	-0.31	7.7	4.45%	0	-2.5	34	NAN
5	Apr_15_2008	10947.25	12661.26	12725.06	12278.4	12339	11835	11232(-5.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-8424	-270	-9902	-3991	0	57%	-0.27	33.3	4.45%	0	-2.5	48	NAN

6	Apr_14_2008	10976.75	12681.33	12933.89	12604.8	12696	12501	11904(-4.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4504	-90	-5297	-2125	0	59%	-0.23	52.7	4.4%	0	-1.4	45	NAN
7	Apr_11_2008	11002.5	12667.19	13071.67	12878.4	12901.5	12843	12528(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1358	-30	-1602	-624	0	60%	0.15	67.4	4.35%	0	-0.2	54	NAN
8	Apr_10_2008	10986.44	12615.79	13127.16	13046.4	13053	12891	13008(2.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1266	-90	-1499	-566	0	60%	-0.11	71.9	4.35%	0	0.6	60	NAN
9	Apr_9_2008	10998.82	12544.48	13082.32	13108.8	13155	12960	12720(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3189	-90	-3763	-1466	0	60%	-0.18	77.9	4.35%	0	0.3	56	NAN
10	Apr_8_2008	11018.27	12473.38	13016.7	13248	13275	13215	12864(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1717	-30	-2034	-765	0	60%	-0.15	81.8	4.34%	0	0.5	65	NAN

11	Apr_7_2008	11035.2	12391.25	12995.87	13310.4	13344	13350	13272(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	563	10	643	324	0	58%	-0.12	85.1	4.32%	0	1.1	77	NAN
12	Apr_4_2008	11048.33	12270.36	12913.58	13291.2	13276.5	13335	13368(0.36%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	502	30	567	305	0	56%	-0.11	88.7	4.36%	0	1.3	77	NAN
13	Apr_3_2008	11060.46	12152.42	12814.36	13219.2	13189.5	13338	13320(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2038	70	2372	1035	0	54%	-0.15	84.6	4.4%	0	1.4	77	NAN
14	Apr_2_2008	11077.13	12022.97	12724.85	13051.2	13042.5	13218	13416(1.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3381	90	3952	1667	0	52%	-0.13	75.3	4.46%	0	1.7	74	NAN
15	Apr_1_2008	11091.28	11885.65	12577.27	12748.8	12751.5	13041	13176(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.5	2909	160	3400	1437	0	52%	-0.12	67	4.51%	0	1.6	76	NAN

16	Mar_31_2008	11104.16	11748.41	12397.13	12633.6	12531.01	12867	13176(1.29%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	4512	160	5287	2188	0	54%	-0.1	63.1	4.55%	0	1.8	76	NAN
17	Mar_28_2008	11115.28	11573.14	12219.43	12484.8	12405.01	12462	13008(4.23%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	2879	10	3366	1418	0	54%	-0.13	49.7	4.6%	0	1.7	78	NAN
18	Mar_27_2008	11129.93	11489.07	12052.33	12360	12334.51	12195.03	12480(4.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1447	-90	-1723	-619	0	54%	-0.2	55.5	4.57%	0	1.3	70	NAN
19	Mar_26_2008	11152.16	11428.24	11955.9	12355.2	12342.01	12348.03	11904(-5.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-990	0	-1189	-394	0	53%	-0.2	63.5	4.54%	0	0.6	69	NAN
20	Mar_25_2008	11174.4	11369.95	11891.66	12364.8	12312	12474	12600(1.35%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	2487	80	2899	1251	0	55%	-0.1	65.5	4.49%	0	1.7	82	NAN

21	Mar_24_2008	11185.51	11264.66	11743.49	12110.4	12109.5	12336	12432(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	3613	130	4226	1774	0	55%	-0.54	60.2	4.53%	0	1.7	83	NAN
22	Mar_20_2008	11246	11167.61	11580.66	11904	11782.5	12150	12384(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	3646	190	4264	1791	0	52%	-0.22	54.7	4.5%	0	1.9	87	NAN
23	Mar_19_2008	11271.25	11075.43	11439.09	11697.6	11589	11883	12456(4.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	5425	150	6363	2612	0	52%	-0.28	51.8	4.63%	0	2.4	57	NAN
24	Mar_18_2008	11303.25	10980.41	11260.48	11510.4	11388	11415	11952(5.51%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1538	-20	1795	767	0	52%	-0.24	56.2	4.61%	0	1.9	55	NAN
25	Mar_17_2008	11330.5	10905.02	11132.41	11356.8	11313	11295	11328(-0.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-554	-20	-663	-225	0	50%		57.9	4.56%	0	0.9	57	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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