Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 20, 2008

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $10680.0000 (1.6%) ($10344.0000 - $10776.0000) on Wed. Feb. 20, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.2% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $10680.0000(1.6%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 5.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -2.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.1% (StdDev 4.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $10569.6(1.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10182.01(4.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $9954.09(7.29%)
To recent high   -26.7%
To recent low   28.2%
Market Cap   $182.154b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 6.16% (three month std-dev: 4.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.09%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 7.05%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 9.35%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_20_2008	12496.5	9954.09	10182.01	10569.6	10522.5	10518	10680(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	567	-20	645	334	0	44%	-0.52	77.3	4.2%	0	1.2	49	0
2	Feb_19_2008	12561.75	9840.62	10016.91	10444.8	10458	10503	10512(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	493	30	567	269	0	44%	-0.88	59.5	4.19%	0	1	45	0
3	Feb_15_2008	12672.74	9762.09	9882.04	10339.2	10339.5	10527	10440(-2.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	2047	130	2402	982	0	44%	-0.54	55.9	4.16%	0	1	54	0
4	Feb_14_2008	12742.02	9692.06	9739.25	10243.2	10197	10413	10728(2.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	4169	130	4903	1968	0	44%	-0.51	51.8	4.16%	0	1.5	62	0
5	Feb_13_2008	12807.34	9584.79	9671.31	9960	9954	10152	10488(4.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3335	140	3925	1565	0	44%	-0.53	36.1	4.15%	0	1.3	61	0

6	Feb_12_2008	12875.62	9501.55	9668.1	9739.2	9697.5	9981	10056(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	3647	190	4292	1710	0	42%	-0.56	25.2	4.12%	0	0.8	59	0
7	Feb_11_2008	12947.87	9451.17	9733.13	9523.2	9484.52	9756	9984(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5404	190	6355	2552	0	42%	-0.41	15.4	4.12%	0	0.8	68	0
8	Feb_8_2008	13000.57	9392.46	9736.67	9355.2	9183.02	9414	9960(6.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3218	120	3782	1524	0	42%	-0.39	2.7	4.12%	0	0.9	60	0
9	Feb_7_2008	13051.54	9349.47	9691.2	9163.2	9000.02	9213.03	9312(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2330	110	2740	1098	0	39%	-0.38	-11.7	4.01%	0	-0.1	55	0
10	Feb_6_2008	13101.77	9346.49	9706.55	9345.6	9067.52	8952.03	9384(4.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-57	-180	-76	-1	0	39%	-0.4	-13	4.05%	0	0.1	60	0

11	Feb_5_2008	13154.22	9338.37	9711.82	9600	9351	8787	8976(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-7195	-500	-8482	-3332	0	34%	-0.37	-15.6	4.02%	0	-0.6	54	0
12	Feb_4_2008	13203.21	9351.86	9669.78	9979.2	9825	9183	9144(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-10329	-500	-12177	-4785	0	34%	-0.36	-9	4.11%	0	-0.3	53	0
13	Feb_1_2008	13251.21	9374.35	9661.56	10166.4	10272	9915	9000(-11.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-6156	-210	-7274	-2802	0	34%	-0.37	-7.8	4.1%	0	-0.6	55	0
14	Jan_31_2008	13300.7	9424.46	9679.81	10267.2	10345.5	10467	10224(-4.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-270	110	-355	-16	0	36%	-0.27	-7.7	3.84%	0	1.2	60	0
15	Jan_30_2008	13337.07	9430.46	9519.88	10099.2	10122	10629	10656(-1.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	6664	360	7810	3226	0	41%	-0.24	-12.7	3.85%	0	1.8	62	0

16	Jan_29_2008	13369.73	9439.39	9331.73	9840	9796.5	10224	10872(7.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	9445	290	11091	4508	0	41%	-0.29	-18.4	3.94%	0	2.3	64	0
17	Jan_28_2008	13408.08	9409.7	9134.87	9331.2	9358.5	9615	10080(6.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	5456	200	6412	2588	0	37%	-0.34	-34.5	3.8%	0	1	60	0
18	Jan_25_2008	13453.36	9424.04	8999.05	9100.8	8958	9369	9504(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3864	270	4549	1808	0	31%	-0.39	-44	3.77%	0	0.1	48	0
19	Jan_24_2008	13505.56	9475.07	8955.27	9009.6	8832	9102	9384(0.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	6845	150	8063	3191	0	31%	-0.38	-46.1	3.77%	0	-0.1	42	0
20	Jan_23_2008	13557.27	9517.33	8932.8	8851.2	8745	8547	9360(12.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	225	-190	285	44	0	31%	-0.45	-51.5	3.77%	0	-0.2	37	0

21	Jan_22_2008	13618.64	9556.06	8910.54	8750.4	8685	8562	8328(-6.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-6240	-120	-7305	-3043	0	21%	-0.32	-57.5	3.37%	0	-1.5	18	0
22	Jan_18_2008	13662.68	9645.31	9001.48	8899.2	8869.5	8943	8928(-1.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1553	50	1866	615	0	23%	-0.22	-60	3.33%	0	-0.9	32	0
23	Jan_17_2008	13692.12	9742.82	9063.82	8875.2	8869.5	8808	9048(5.31%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.2	114	-60	178	-78	0	23%	-0.16	-61.3	3.34%	0	-0.9	32	0
24	Jan_16_2008	13714.64	9831.52	9153.13	8894.4	8887.5	8796	8592(-2.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-3358	-70	-3903	-1723	0	18%	-0.19	-59	3.27%	0	-1.6	24	0
25	Jan_15_2008	13741.36	9943.43	9343.28	9024	9027	8967	8856(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-655	-50	-727	-438	0	25%		-58.4	3.26%	0	-1.5	33	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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