Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 16, 2008

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $8592.0000 (-2.98%) ($8280.0000 - $8928.0000) on Wed. Jan. 16, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.27% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $8592.0000(-2.98%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -8.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWY(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.635% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.635% (StdDev 3.27%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.9%

Resistance Level   $9831.52
5 Day Moving Average   $8894.4(-3.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $9153.13(-6.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $9831.52(-12.61%)
To recent high   -52.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $146.542b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 7.88% (three month std-dev: 3.27%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 2.37%(60%) Average negative next day return: -0.58%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 5.4%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -2.76%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 12.75%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2008	13714.64	9831.52	9153.13	8894.4	8887.5	8796	8592(-2.98%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-3358	-70	-3903	-1723	0	18%	-0.19	-59	3.27%	0	-1.6	24	NAN
2	Jan_15_2008	13741.36	9943.43	9343.28	9024	9027	8967	8856(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-655	-50	-727	-438	0	25%	-0.18	-58.4	3.26%	0	-1.5	33	NAN
3	Jan_14_2008	13765.61	10047.18	9562.21	9096	9085.5	8979	9072(3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1763	-90	-2039	-933	0	25%	-0.13	-60.5	3.49%	0	-1.3	37	NAN
4	Jan_11_2008	13783.67	10127.12	9707.96	9120	9142.5	9087	8808(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2166	-40	-2516	-1115	0	23%	-0.15	-66.5	3.46%	0	-1.9	37	NAN
5	Jan_10_2008	13803.71	10223.72	9886.56	9278.4	9256.5	9192	9144(-1.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1209	-60	-1393	-655	0	24%	-0.1	-76	3.57%	0	-1.7	31	NAN

6	Jan_9_2008	13818.06	10311.16	10040	9456	9411	9198	9240(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-3374	-170	-3944	-1663	0	24%	-0.04	-83.2	3.57%	0	-1.8	33	NAN
7	Jan_8_2008	13824.25	10400.63	10153.56	9720	9673.5	9321	9216(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-6424	-270	-7537	-3085	0	24%	-0.04	-91.8	3.57%	0	-2.2	34	NAN
8	Jan_7_2008	13829.94	10506.34	10261.32	10108.76	10062.84	9624	9192(-4.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-7298	-320	-8572	-3476	0	24%	-0.04	-95	3.59%	0	-2.7	32	NAN
9	Jan_4_2008	13834.88	10623.14	10358.75	10382.36	10416.83	10026	9600(-4.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-7019	-250	-8248	-3332	0	25%	-0.01	-123.3	3.57%	0	-2.5	41	NAN
10	Jan_3_2008	13836.12	10737.75	10494.41	10574.36	10604.33	10501.68	10032(-5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-4363	-60	-5129	-2064	0	30%	0.01	-140.7	3.54%	0	-1.8	44	NAN

11	Jan_2_2008	13834.39	10830.61	10578.07	10699.16	10698.83	10807.65	10560(-5.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	1769	70	2082	831	0	32%	0.33	-138.5	3.58%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
12	Dec_31_2007	13788.24	10929.42	10597.85	10646.36	10618.49	10706.98	11159.8(5.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2448	50	2883	1144	0	34%	0.1	-107.8	3.54%	0	0.4	52	NAN
13	Dec_28_2007	13775.02	10988.42	10561.67	10449.6	10474.5	10590	10560(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	1488	80	1760	672	0	29%	0.03	-112.4	3.48%	0	-0.6	37	NAN
14	Dec_27_2007	13770.37	11153.61	10566.21	10339.2	10371	10530	10560(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	2366	120	2799	1065	0	29%	0.01	-86.4	3.5%	0	-0.6	35	NAN
15	Dec_26_2007	13769.14	11304.67	10573.01	10411.2	10329	10359	10656(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	838	-0	1005	335	0	29%	0.18	-77.8	3.5%	0	-0.6	31	NAN

16	Dec_24_2007	13744.97	11470.4	10586.51	10449.6	10456.5	10212	10296(1.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2307	-160	-2690	-1157	0	37%	-0.07	-65.6	3.43%	0	-0.9	23	NAN
17	Dec_21_2007	13754.91	11652.8	10653.71	10545.6	10618.5	10299	10176(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-5498	-190	-6442	-2664	0	37%	-0.08	-62.2	3.83%	0	-1	16	NAN
18	Dec_20_2007	13765.82	11857.94	10763.95	10689.56	10770	10701	10008(-8.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-3127	-20	-3652	-1553	0	40%	-0.06	-61.6	3.83%	0	-1.3	16	NAN
19	Dec_19_2007	13773.82	12066.18	10912.75	10809.56	10840.49	10938	10920(0.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1550	70	1858	626	0	44%	-0.04	-62	3.76%	0	-0.8	14	NAN
20	Dec_18_2007	13778.91	12243.03	11001.47	10751.96	10772.99	10839	10848(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	1324	50	1600	497	0	47%	-0.02	-61.4	3.76%	0	-0.9	19	NAN

21	Dec_17_2007	13782.06	12421.61	11102.59	10747.16	10732.49	10742.98	10776(-1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	87	0	151	-106	0	47%	-0.02	-60.8	3.83%	0	-1.1	16	NAN
22	Dec_14_2007	13785.21	12608.36	11283.35	10785.56	10772.99	10706.98	10895.8(2.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1073	-50	-1210	-662	0	47%	-0.01	-59.9	3.83%	0	-1.1	19	NAN
23	Dec_13_2007	13786.91	12790.49	11439.77	10862.4	10902	10722	10608(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-2596	-100	-2997	-1392	0	47%	-0.06	-59.4	3.81%	0	-1.5	13	NAN
24	Dec_12_2007	13795.4	13007.87	11776.93	11035.2	11086.51	10839	10632(-1.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-4272	-140	-4972	-2172	0	47%	-0.07	-57.8	3.81%	0	-1.6	16	NAN
25	Dec_11_2007	13804.61	13219.84	12086.72	11289.6	11311.51	11082	10824(-1.31%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-4511	-140	-5255	-2277	0	45%		-54.8	3.81%	0	-1.7	16	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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