Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ OTRK: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Apr. 3, 2007

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $8904.0000 (4.21%) ($8592.0000 - $9000.0000) on Tue. Apr. 3, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $8904.0000(4.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $8649.6(2.94%)
10 Day Moving Average   $8549.63(4.14%)
20 Day Moving Average   $8209.12(8.46%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   18.2%
Market Cap   $151.863b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 5.35% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 3.05%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.19%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -2.49%(67%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.61%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.54%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20070503

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_3_2007	8206.79	8209.12	8549.63	8649.6	8670	8682	8904(4.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1614	20	1866	856	0	61%	0.15	51.6	1.98%	0	1.6	73	0
2	Apr_2_2007	8194.42	8144.23	8500.54	8625.6	8652	8619	8544(-1.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1100	-20	-1336	-393	0	58%	0.11	45.7	1.93%	0	1	73	0
3	Mar_30_2007	8185.32	8099.79	8460.51	8620.8	8673	8658	8712(2.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	307	10	314	284	0	60%	0.14	37.4	1.93%	0	1.5	71	0
4	Mar_29_2007	8173.95	8050.86	8394.22	8534.4	8608.5	8685	8472(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1395	90	1593	800	0	58%	0.1	25.9	1.92%	0	1.1	72	0
5	Mar_28_2007	8165.62	8022.33	8336.05	8476.8	8502	8688	8616(-1.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	4925	160	5745	2465	0	59%	0.13	17.3	1.9%	0	1.6	74	0

6	Mar_27_2007	8155.01	7988.69	8251.71	8429.71	8398.5	8532	8784(3.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	5702	100	6659	2829	0	58%	0.14	11.1	1.9%	0	2.3	75	0
7	Mar_26_2007	8143.38	7957.16	8131.51	8362.51	8337.29	8316	8520(2.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1455	-30	1666	820	0	56%	0.12	3.7	1.9%	0	1.7	72	0
8	Mar_23_2007	8133.28	7948.68	8051.24	8280.91	8317.41	8265	8280(1.17%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1492	-30	-1798	-575	0	54%	0.1	1.8	1.87%	0	1	68	0
9	Mar_22_2007	8125.19	7952.49	7978.83	8232.91	8273.91	8358.57	8184(-2.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	599	90	667	394	0	54%	0.07	2.2	1.88%	0	0.7	61	0
10	Mar_21_2007	8119.89	7958.52	7917.71	8165.71	8213.91	8369.82	8380.56(-0.8%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	6205	150	7270	3008	0	56%	0.08	-1.7	1.86%	0	1.3	60	0

11	Mar_20_2007	8113.27	7949.4	7841.83	8040	8065.13	8189.25	8448(4.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	5237	120	6143	2517	0	56%	0.1	-12	1.85%	0	1.5	58	0
12	Mar_19_2007	8105.19	7945.05	7754.64	7867.2	7906.5	8058	8112(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	4200	150	4943	1972	0	53%	0.05	-24.8	1.77%	0	0.5	42	0
13	Mar_16_2007	8100.89	7943.35	7705.46	7790.4	7810.5	7941	8040(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5946	120	7012	2749	0	53%	0.03	-34.9	1.76%	0	0.3	35	0
14	Mar_15_2007	8098.37	7945.67	7674.18	7689.6	7710	7755	7848(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	2545	50	3026	1102	0	49%	0.02	-46.3	1.75%	0	-0.3	29	0
15	Mar_14_2007	8097.1	7964.12	7678.98	7632	7659	7680	7752(2.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	526	30	659	125	0	49%	-0.01	-51.6	1.76%	0	-0.6	29	0

16	Mar_13_2007	8097.86	7989.2	7701.23	7612.8	7645.53	7665	7584(-1.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	667	30	831	174	0	47%	-0.03	-55.8	1.73%	0	-1.2	27	0
17	Mar_12_2007	8100.64	8026.09	7766.69	7622.4	7642.53	7638	7728(2.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	458	0	588	68	0	49%	-0.01	-58.6	1.71%	0	-0.9	26	0
18	Mar_9_2007	8101.4	8057.49	7834.84	7607.95	7629.03	7626.06	7536(-0.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-884	10	-992	-561	0	46%	-0.05	-62.4	1.66%	0	-1.6	36	0
19	Mar_8_2007	8105.44	8098.87	7923.98	7655.95	7648.52	7647.06	7560(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-324	-0	-340	-276	0	46%	-0.07	-63.9	1.68%	0	-1.8	36	0
20	Mar_7_2007	8110.75	8137.21	8005.95	7732.75	7691.99	7632	7656(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1622	-70	-1874	-867	0	46%	-0.06	-66.1	1.69%	0	-1.8	35	0

21	Mar_6_2007	8115.29	8177.03	8070.3	7804.75	7766.99	7649.97	7632(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-4232	-120	-4949	-2080	0	43%	-0.04	-67	1.71%	0	-2.2	34	0
22	Mar_5_2007	8118.33	8218.61	8156.02	7934.35	7878	7751.97	7655.76(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-5552	-130	-6513	-2668	0	43%	-0.05	-63.5	1.78%	0	-2.5	33	0
23	Mar_2_2007	8122.37	8261.45	8208.47	8097.6	8043.02	7884	7776(-2.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-4441	-160	-5216	-2117	0	51%	-0.01	-48.4	2.08%	0	-2.6	34	0
24	Mar_1_2007	8123.38	8293.74	8248.46	8232	8203.52	8004.03	7944(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-5455	-180	-6414	-2577	0	52%	0.02	-35.8	2.08%	0	-2.4	39	0
25	Feb_28_2007	8121.61	8320.2	8281.16	8318.4	8317.52	8202.03	8016(-3.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.4	-5047	-100	-5939	-2372	0	52%		-26.6	2.05%	0	-2.4	43	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.