Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $7728.0000 (0.63%) ($7656.0000 - $7776.0000) on Mon. Nov. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.98% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $7728.0000(0.63%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -0.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.99% (StdDev 1.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

Resistance Level   $7741.27
5 Day Moving Average   $7665.6(0.81%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7651.94(0.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7741.27(-0.17%)
To recent high   -13%
To recent low   2.9%
Market Cap   $131.806b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 1.88% (three month std-dev: 1.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061213

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_13_2006	8081.68	7741.27	7651.94	7665.6	7698	7725	7728(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	435	40	516	192	0	50%	-0.11	-33.5	1.98%	0	-0.1	44	NAN
2	Nov_10_2006	8090.65	7750.09	7645.93	7656	7689	7710	7680(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1138	30	1345	516	0	50%	-0.1	-29.1	1.99%	0	-0.4	41	NAN
3	Nov_9_2006	8099.14	7767.06	7647.35	7632	7665	7671	7632(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	600	20	715	254	0	50%	-0.14	-26.2	1.98%	0	-0.9	42	NAN
4	Nov_8_2006	8110.53	7779.39	7662.86	7632	7623	7668	7680(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	647	50	773	268	0	50%	-0.12	-32.3	1.98%	0	-0.6	38	NAN
5	Nov_7_2006	8120.47	7784.88	7666.87	7608	7587	7659	7608(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	1780	60	2110	790	0	50%	-0.15	-35	1.98%	0	-1.2	30	NAN

6	Nov_6_2006	8132.84	7790.15	7687.7	7608	7582.5	7578	7680(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1086	-30	1295	460	0	50%	-0.21	-40.3	1.98%	0	-0.7	31	NAN
7	Nov_3_2006	8149.56	7795.73	7703.1	7636.8	7602	7515	7560(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2221	-90	-2595	-1100	0	50%	-0.14	-46.3	1.98%	0	-1.6	36	NAN
8	Nov_2_2006	8160.96	7808.06	7728	7665.6	7653	7587	7512(-2.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-3059	-70	-3579	-1497	0	50%	-0.31	-54.8	1.97%	0	-2.1	30	NAN
9	Nov_1_2006	8186.17	7829.64	7769.62	7723.2	7717.5	7689	7680(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1075	-30	-1249	-552	0	53%	-0.29	-62.1	1.96%	0	-1.2	44	NAN
10	Oct_31_2006	8210.17	7838.84	7806.28	7732.8	7749	7719	7752(0.94%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-739	-20	-857	-385	0	48%	-0.29	-64.5	1.95%	0	-0.7	51	NAN

11	Oct_30_2006	8233.68	7850.56	7837.87	7747.2	7759.61	7746	7680(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1080	-10	-1263	-530	0	48%	-0.31	-53.9	1.99%	0	-1.4	53	NAN
12	Oct_27_2006	8259.14	7864.27	7863.14	7780.8	7788.11	7779	7704(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-190	-10	-219	-101	0	48%	-0.32	-38.6	1.99%	0	-1.3	49	NAN
13	Oct_26_2006	8286.05	7884.32	7897.05	7800	7812.11	7773.21	7800(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-785	-30	-923	-370	0	48%	-0.31	-22.7	1.99%	0	-0.6	52	NAN
14	Oct_25_2006	8311.5	7904.61	7905.81	7824	7833.11	7797.21	7728(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1932	-30	-2274	-906	0	48%	-0.31	-9.8	2%	0	-1.3	44	NAN
15	Oct_24_2006	8337.68	7916.26	7914.15	7891.2	7894.5	7851	7824(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1242	-40	-1465	-571	0	48%	-0.35	2.4	1.99%	0	-0.7	50	NAN

16	Oct_23_2006	8367.02	7915.16	7903.17	7944	7961.25	7869	7848(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2000	-70	-2357	-927	0	48%	-0.35	-1.2	2%	0	-0.5	45	NAN
17	Oct_20_2006	8396.35	7912.7	7897.85	7958.4	8003.25	7938	7800(-1.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-2540	-40	-2992	-1184	0	45%	-0.34	-18	2.22%	0	-0.8	46	NAN
18	Oct_19_2006	8424.96	7916.09	7897.74	8006.4	8031.75	8053.5	7920(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	26	30	27	22	0	45%	-0.29	-12.4	2.29%	0	0	43	NAN
19	Oct_18_2006	8449.44	7918.19	7897.11	7996.8	8004.75	8068.5	8064(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	1751	60	2060	824	0	45%	-0.29	-22.2	2.29%	0	1.1	42	NAN
20	Oct_17_2006	8473.68	7913.35	7873.85	7939.2	7945.5	8010	8088(2.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1895	60	2233	880	0	45%	-0.05	-30.4	2.3%	0	1.2	54	NAN

21	Oct_16_2006	8477.62	7916.79	7860.4	7857.6	7890	7941	7920(-1.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	1695	60	2001	778	0	45%	-0.31	-29.5	2.29%	0	0	55	NAN
22	Oct_13_2006	8503.58	7937.2	7861.22	7828.8	7837.5	7881	8040(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	929	40	1100	417	0	42%	-0.29	-24.1	2.29%	0	0.6	59	NAN
23	Oct_12_2006	8528.07	7932.9	7863.8	7776	7824	7839	7872(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	874	30	1036	389	0	40%	-0.31	-27	2.3%	0	-0.3	52	NAN
24	Oct_11_2006	8554.27	7948.68	7896.19	7785.6	7819.5	7794	7776(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-626	-10	-732	-309	0	40%	-0.33	-20.4	2.32%	0	-1	45	NAN
25	Oct_10_2006	8582.44	7958.19	7914.17	7800	7851	7809	7680(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-921	-20	-1079	-447	0	40%		-23.9	2.31%	0	-1.6	41	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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