Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $8040.0000 (2.13%) ($7632.0000 - $8112.0000) on Fri. Oct. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.29% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $8040.0000(2.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.145% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.145% (StdDev 2.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $7901.15(-1.73%)
5 Day Moving Average   $7828.8(2.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7861.22(2.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7937.2(1.3%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   4.7%
Market Cap   $137.127b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 2.16% (three month std-dev: 2.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2006	8503.58	7937.2	7861.22	7828.8	7837.5	7881	8040(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	929	40	1100	417	0	42%	-0.29	-24.1	2.29%	0	0.6	59	0
2	Oct_12_2006	8528.07	7932.9	7863.8	7776	7824	7839	7872(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	874	30	1036	389	0	40%	-0.31	-27	2.3%	0	-0.3	52	0
3	Oct_11_2006	8554.27	7948.68	7896.19	7785.6	7819.5	7794	7776(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-626	-10	-732	-309	0	40%	-0.33	-20.4	2.32%	0	-1	45	0
4	Oct_10_2006	8582.44	7958.19	7914.17	7800	7851	7809	7680(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-921	-20	-1079	-447	0	40%	-0.34	-23.9	2.31%	0	-1.6	41	0
5	Oct_9_2006	8611.33	7967.78	7928.15	7862.4	7873.52	7845	7776(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-1372	-20	-1609	-660	0	40%	-0.3	-43.5	2.31%	0	-1.2	36	0

6	Oct_6_2006	8637.18	7978.53	7931.58	7895.95	7917.11	7893	7776(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-651	-10	-758	-331	0	38%	-0.31	-57.8	2.34%	0	-1.2	33	0
7	Oct_5_2006	8663.88	7981.87	7941.5	7963.15	7960.59	7902.03	7920(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1420	-50	-1664	-686	0	38%	-0.33	-69.7	2.35%	0	-0.4	50	0
8	Oct_4_2006	8692.77	7985.78	7946.24	8025.55	8025.09	7941.21	7848(-1.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-2171	-70	-2549	-1036	0	38%	-0.35	-73.6	2.36%	0	-0.9	43	0
9	Oct_3_2006	8723.63	8000.19	7961.33	8044.75	8095.58	8019.15	7992(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1302	-50	-1528	-623	0	38%	-0.35	-55.9	2.37%	0	-0	52	0
10	Oct_2_2006	8754.24	8040.03	7980.05	8001.55	8066.99	8108.97	7943.76(-2.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-513	60	-601	-250	0	38%	-0.39	-54	2.37%	0	-0.4	54	0

11	Sep_29_2006	8788.53	8074.45	8019.8	7968	8009.7	8172	8112(-1.46%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	3770	160	4436	1771	0	41%	-0.36	-48	2.36%	0	0.1	53	0
12	Sep_28_2006	8820.61	8093.45	8004.87	7915.2	7906.2	8025	8232(3.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	3817	100	4493	1789	0	41%	-0.39	-48.9	2.39%	0	0.5	59	0
13	Sep_27_2006	8855.39	8105.99	7997.8	7862.4	7844.7	7847.4	7944(2.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	874	-0	1031	401	0	37%	-0.43	-51.4	2.34%	0	-0.5	50	0
14	Sep_26_2006	8893.84	8139.08	7999.17	7872	7864.2	7787.4	7776(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-1685	-70	-1977	-807	0	37%	-0.45	-45.6	2.33%	0	-1.1	43	0
15	Sep_25_2006	8934.25	8177.62	8008.56	7958.4	7926	7842	7776(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3056	-90	-3586	-1465	0	37%	-0.48	-33.3	2.33%	0	-1.2	32	0

16	Sep_22_2006	8977.59	8214.44	8031.03	8078.4	8038.5	7941	7848(-1.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2139	-100	-2507	-1033	0	36%	-0.47	-17.3	2.33%	0	-1.1	37	0
17	Sep_21_2006	9019.71	8244.42	8030.72	8102.4	8118	8010	7968(-0.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2669	-90	-3126	-1298	0	36%	-0.44	-8.9	2.35%	0	-0.9	42	0
18	Sep_20_2006	9059.39	8272.32	8034.15	8150.4	8152.5	8136	7992(-2.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1869	-10	-2182	-928	0	36%	-0.42	4	2.35%	0	-0.9	42	0
19	Sep_19_2006	9097.84	8293.82	8047.91	8140.8	8173.5	8226	8208(-2.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	1743	60	2072	756	0	34%	-0.4	8.7	2.34%	0	-0.3	43	0
20	Sep_18_2006	9134.33	8289.52	8104.83	8064	8107.5	8169	8376(5.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	1795	70	2134	779	0	34%	-0.35	2.4	2.42%	0	0.3	47	0

21	Sep_15_2006	9166.41	8270.41	8127.09	7982.4	8016.02	8121	7968(-2.92%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	1755	100	2089	754	0	30%	-0.42	-5.5	2.51%	0	-1	41	0
22	Sep_14_2006	9205.1	8272.77	8182.79	7948.8	7966.5	8046	8208(3.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2509	80	2973	1117	0	31%	-0.39	-8.1	2.97%	0	-0.2	46	0
23	Sep_13_2006	9241.59	8259.58	8212.85	7905.6	7897.5	7911.03	7944(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	221	10	283	34	0	28%	-0.4	-12.1	2.94%	0	-1	38	0
24	Sep_12_2006	9279.06	8267.39	8281.9	7944	7909.5	7887	7824(-1.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-746	-30	-857	-413	0	28%	-0.4	-7.7	2.93%	0	-1.4	39	0
25	Sep_11_2006	9316.53	8281.95	8357.27	8155.2	7996.49	7883.97	7968(2.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2465	-160	-2890	-1190	0	28%		12.2	2.93%	0	-1	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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