Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Aug. 19, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $7968.0000 (0.3%) ($7944.0000 - $8088.0000) on Sat. Aug. 19, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.69% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $7968.0000(0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.345% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.345% (StdDev 2.69%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $7977.6(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $7966.66(0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $7915.78(0.66%)
To recent high   -25.9%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 1.18% (three month std-dev: 2.69%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.51%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 6.93%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 6.63%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060919

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2006	9796.34	7915.78	7966.66	7977.6	7977.36	7974	7968(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	240	-0	276	132	0	29%	-0.39	-44.1	2.69%	0	0.6	67	0
2	Aug_17_2006	9834.78	7911.95	7962.3	7987.2	7971.36	7962.72	7944(0.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-220	-10	-264	-86	0	29%	-0.38	-31.9	2.72%	0	0.2	41	0
3	Aug_16_2006	9872.25	7939.49	7949.71	7982.4	7965.36	7980.72	7896(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	158	10	182	87	0	29%	-0.37	-25.7	2.72%	0	-0.2	43	0
4	Aug_15_2006	9909.23	7952.87	7940.02	7992	7950	7980	8040(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	644	10	754	315	0	28%	-0.37	-34.7	2.71%	0	0.5	58	0
5	Aug_14_2006	9945.97	7951.93	7913.92	7974.24	7932	7950	8040(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	579	-0	678	281	0	28%	-0.36	-55.9	2.73%	0	0.5	63	0

6	Aug_11_2006	9981.97	7957.43	7889.41	7955.04	7920.44	7920	8016(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	-15	-10	-20	1	0	26%	-0.37	-70.3	2.73%	0	0.3	65	0
7	Aug_10_2006	10018.95	7966.5	7890.85	7935.84	7932.44	7914	7920(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	51	-20	57	33	0	26%	-0.37	-81.7	2.74%	0	-0.2	51	0
8	Aug_9_2006	10056.17	7985.34	7898.1	7911.84	7915.94	7920.87	7944(-0.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-130	10	-150	-68	0	26%	-0.37	-87	2.74%	0	-0.2	30	0
9	Aug_8_2006	10093.15	8014.88	7892.77	7878.24	7879.94	7950.87	7951.2(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1137	60	1343	517	0	26%	-0.37	-79.1	2.74%	0	-0.2	45	0
10	Aug_7_2006	10130.79	8055.12	7877.88	7843.2	7824	7911	7944(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1946	70	2299	888	0	26%	-0.37	-73.5	2.75%	0	-0.3	49	0

11	Aug_4_2006	10168.02	8093.03	7859.13	7814.4	7783.5	7809	7920(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	890	10	1061	377	0	26%	-0.4	-68.6	2.75%	0	-0.5	45	0
12	Aug_3_2006	10208.42	8137.02	7855.63	7843.2	7806	7737	7800(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-901	-80	-1044	-470	0	26%	-0.39	-58.9	2.74%	0	-0.8	41	0
13	Aug_2_2006	10248.1	8200.04	7926.08	7884.77	7866	7758	7776(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-2344	-100	-2746	-1139	0	26%	-0.4	-49.4	2.75%	0	-1	38	0
14	Aug_1_2006	10289.49	8255.46	7966.31	7908.77	7922.49	7875	7776(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1528	-40	-1784	-761	0	28%	-0.41	-45.3	2.75%	0	-1.1	34	0
15	Jul_31_2006	10331.61	8303.98	7994.46	7913.57	7920.99	7974	7800(-3.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	377	50	463	119	0	28%	-0.37	-44.6	2.77%	0	-1.2	31	0

16	Jul_28_2006	10369.57	8350.63	8033.48	7903.97	7884.99	7969.98	8064(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	1947	70	2315	844	0	28%	-0.34	-45.8	2.77%	0	-0.7	36	0
17	Jul_27_2006	10404.83	8388.41	8048.07	7870.37	7841.49	7867.98	8007.84(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	632	10	773	208	0	28%	-0.38	-44.6	2.77%	0	-0.9	33	0
18	Jul_26_2006	10444.74	8417.94	8077.98	7982.4	7882.5	7800	7896(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1717	-110	-1989	-901	0	28%	-0.37	-40.8	2.76%	0	-1.3	27	0
19	Jul_25_2006	10483.92	8452.95	8144.91	8040	8040	7815	7800(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3130	-200	-3651	-1567	0	28%	-0.35	-40.6	2.76%	0	-1.7	31	0
20	Jul_24_2006	10520.9	8495.81	8245.77	8088	8125.5	7965	7752(-1.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-5325	-120	-6235	-2593	0	28%	-0.37	-44	2.77%	0	-2.1	35	0

21	Jul_21_2006	10559.84	8542.87	8347.78	8174.4	8200.5	8265	7896(-7.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-708	60	-807	-410	0	28%	-0.41	-53.4	2.77%	0	-2.1	37	0
22	Jul_20_2006	10602.94	8578.08	8444.52	8241.6	8239.5	8286	8568(4.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	2851	40	3378	1268	0	30%	-0.33	-57.6	2.61%	0	-0	44	0
23	Jul_19_2006	10637.96	8586.87	8491.83	8193.6	8196	8136	8184(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1532	-50	-1778	-792	0	28%	-0.38	-81.8	2.55%	0	-1.5	43	0
24	Jul_18_2006	10678.12	8612.9	8563.94	8275.2	8251.5	8193	8040(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2281	-60	-2666	-1127	0	28%	-0.38	-102.7	2.58%	0	-2.2	41	0
25	Jul_17_2006	10719.02	8654.74	8638.63	8433.6	8374.5	8256	8184(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-2153	-120	-2522	-1044	0	28%		-124.4	2.58%	0	-2.1	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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