Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 19, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $8184.0000 (1.79%) ($7968.0000 - $8376.0000) on Wed. Jul. 19, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.55% (three month average)
RSI   43
Latest Price   $8184.0000(1.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.275% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.275% (StdDev 2.55%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

Resistance Level   $8586.87
5 Day Moving Average   $8193.6(-0.12%)
10 Day Moving Average   $8491.83(-3.63%)
20 Day Moving Average   $8586.87(-4.69%)
To recent high   -31.9%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $139.583b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 3.19% (three month std-dev: 2.55%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.63%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.52%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.03%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 17.23%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.54%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060819

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_19_2006	10637.96	8586.87	8491.83	8193.6	8196	8136	8184(1.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1532	-50	-1778	-792	0	28%	-0.38	-81.8	2.55%	0	-1.5	43	0
2	Jul_18_2006	10678.12	8612.9	8563.94	8275.2	8251.5	8193	8040(-1.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-2281	-60	-2666	-1127	0	28%	-0.38	-102.7	2.58%	0	-2.2	41	0
3	Jul_17_2006	10719.02	8654.74	8638.63	8433.6	8374.5	8256	8184(-0.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-2153	-120	-2522	-1044	0	28%	-0.37	-124.4	2.58%	0	-2.1	42	0
4	Jul_14_2006	10758.45	8711.55	8696.55	8548.8	8500.5	8310	8232(-1.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-4309	-170	-5064	-2042	0	28%	-0.36	-118.8	2.58%	0	-2	42	0
5	Jul_13_2006	10797.63	8737.31	8761.05	8673.6	8630.01	8493	8328(-3.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-4802	-130	-5652	-2251	0	28%	-0.33	-152.4	2.6%	0	-1.9	48	0

6	Jul_12_2006	10833.88	8817.04	8792.33	8832	8788.64	8691	8592(-2.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2213	-90	-2612	-1015	0	31%	-0.31	-91	2.58%	0	-0.7	47	0
7	Jul_11_2006	10867.68	8885.12	8792.39	8894.4	8886.14	8767.02	8832(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2051	-100	-2423	-933	0	33%	-0.19	-71.4	2.57%	0	-0.1	55	0
8	Jul_10_2006	10888.66	8941.68	8769.76	8875.2	8895.14	8886.27	8760(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1850	-0	-2185	-845	0	31%	-0.3	-68.2	2.57%	0	-0.4	48	0
9	Jul_7_2006	10921.82	9008.33	8756.84	8865.6	8884.13	9005.25	8856(-2.89%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	2346	100	2757	1113	0	31%	-0.29	-65.3	2.6%	0	-0.3	38	0
10	Jul_6_2006	10953.49	9077.93	8724.18	8860.8	8814	8904	9120(2.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3029	60	3562	1430	0	31%	-0.27	-60.8	2.58%	0	0.1	58	0

11	Jul_5_2006	10982.73	9131.48	8682.83	8750.4	8743.5	8763	8904(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1117	10	1326	490	0	33%	-0.35	-61	2.57%	0	-0.3	36	0
12	Jul_3_2006	11021.76	9197.75	8656.25	8678.4	8695.5	8763	8736(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	251	30	320	44	0	33%	-0.29	-57.5	2.55%	0	-0.6	33	0
13	Jun_30_2006	11053.36	9292.44	8663.1	8649.6	8668.5	8724	8712(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	989	50	1199	360	0	33%	-0.28	-54.4	2.53%	0	-0.7	32	0
14	Jun_29_2006	11084.7	9390.64	8718.28	8630.4	8662.5	8667	8832(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1340	10	1618	505	0	33%	-0.26	-52.5	2.54%	0	-0.7	32	0
15	Jun_28_2006	11114.03	9477.91	8702.98	8568	8616	8613	8568(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-924	10	-1030	-604	0	30%	-0.26	-53.7	2.5%	0	-1.1	26	0

16	Jun_27_2006	11142.93	9568	8835.9	8606.4	8626.5	8658	8544(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	245	30	346	-57	0	30%	-0.25	-54.8	2.5%	0	-1.2	27	0
17	Jun_26_2006	11171.33	9665.79	8979.01	8630.4	8662.5	8619	8592(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	171	-20	259	-94	0	30%	-0.24	-56.1	2.51%	0	-1.3	27	0
18	Jun_23_2006	11198.76	9761.97	9122.22	8678.4	8680.5	8595	8616(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2704	-70	-3121	-1454	0	30%	-0.27	-56.2	2.51%	0	-1.4	24	0
19	Jun_22_2006	11228.89	9856.76	9276.82	8822.4	8755.5	8706	8520(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-2190	-60	-2517	-1207	0	30%	-0.31	-54.6	2.5%	0	-1.8	22	0
20	Jun_21_2006	11263.42	9957.92	9460.8	8856	8865	8766	8760(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1534	-80	-1745	-901	0	31%	-0.29	-60.6	2.49%	0	-1.7	26	0

21	Jun_20_2006	11295.99	10051.04	9617.62	9105.6	8943	8805	8664(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5967	-160	-6968	-2962	0	31%	-0.28	-58.3	2.48%	0	-2.2	31	0
22	Jun_19_2006	11328.07	10149.43	9788.62	9384	9252	8964	8832(-5.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5335	-260	-6234	-2639	0	31%	-0.28	-58.3	2.47%	0	-2.4	31	0
23	Jun_16_2006	11359.66	10230.38	9981.2	9633.6	9568.5	9081	9336(7.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11278	-380	-13235	-5407	0	34%	-0.23	-65.6	2.41%	0	-1.9	35	0
24	Jun_15_2006	11385.38	10287.73	10123.62	9806.4	9865.5	9540	8688(-13.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.7	-13122	-210	-15410	-6257	0	26%	-0.28	-72	2.21%	0	-3.8	20	0
25	Jun_14_2006	11417.21	10397.94	10330.97	10142.4	10138.5	10056	10008(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5047	-60	-5920	-2428	0	33%		-119.7	1.53%	0	-1.8	37	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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