Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 5, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $8904.0000 (1.92%) ($8592.0000 - $8904.0000) on Wed. Jul. 5, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.57% (three month average)
RSI   36
Latest Price   $8904.0000(1.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -1.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.285% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.285% (StdDev 2.57%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

Resistance Level   $9131.48
5 Day Moving Average   $8750.4(1.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $8682.83(2.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $9131.48(-2.49%)
To recent high   -25.9%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $151.863b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 7.48% (three month std-dev: 2.57%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.56%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.49%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.45%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060805

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_5_2006	10982.73	9131.48	8682.83	8750.4	8743.5	8763	8904(1.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1117	10	1326	490	0	33%	-0.35	-61	2.57%	0	-0.3	36	NAN
2	Jul_3_2006	11021.76	9197.75	8656.25	8678.4	8695.5	8763	8736(0.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	251	30	320	44	0	33%	-0.29	-57.5	2.55%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
3	Jun_30_2006	11053.36	9292.44	8663.1	8649.6	8668.5	8724	8712(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	989	50	1199	360	0	33%	-0.28	-54.4	2.53%	0	-0.7	32	NAN
4	Jun_29_2006	11084.7	9390.64	8718.28	8630.4	8662.5	8667	8832(3.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1340	10	1618	505	0	33%	-0.26	-52.5	2.54%	0	-0.7	32	NAN
5	Jun_28_2006	11114.03	9477.91	8702.98	8568	8616	8613	8568(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-924	10	-1030	-604	0	30%	-0.26	-53.7	2.5%	0	-1.1	26	NAN

6	Jun_27_2006	11142.93	9568	8835.9	8606.4	8626.5	8658	8544(-0.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	245	30	346	-57	0	30%	-0.25	-54.8	2.5%	0	-1.2	27	NAN
7	Jun_26_2006	11171.33	9665.79	8979.01	8630.4	8662.5	8619	8592(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	171	-20	259	-94	0	30%	-0.24	-56.1	2.51%	0	-1.3	27	NAN
8	Jun_23_2006	11198.76	9761.97	9122.22	8678.4	8680.5	8595	8616(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2704	-70	-3121	-1454	0	30%	-0.27	-56.2	2.51%	0	-1.4	24	NAN
9	Jun_22_2006	11228.89	9856.76	9276.82	8822.4	8755.5	8706	8520(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-2190	-60	-2517	-1207	0	30%	-0.31	-54.6	2.5%	0	-1.8	22	NAN
10	Jun_21_2006	11263.42	9957.92	9460.8	8856	8865	8766	8760(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1534	-80	-1745	-901	0	31%	-0.29	-60.6	2.49%	0	-1.7	26	NAN

11	Jun_20_2006	11295.99	10051.04	9617.62	9105.6	8943	8805	8664(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5967	-160	-6968	-2962	0	31%	-0.28	-58.3	2.48%	0	-2.2	31	NAN
12	Jun_19_2006	11328.07	10149.43	9788.62	9384	9252	8964	8832(-5.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5335	-260	-6234	-2639	0	31%	-0.28	-58.3	2.47%	0	-2.4	31	NAN
13	Jun_16_2006	11359.66	10230.38	9981.2	9633.6	9568.5	9081	9336(7.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11278	-380	-13235	-5407	0	34%	-0.23	-65.6	2.41%	0	-1.9	35	NAN
14	Jun_15_2006	11385.38	10287.73	10123.62	9806.4	9865.5	9540	8688(-13.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.7	-13122	-210	-15410	-6257	0	26%	-0.28	-72	2.21%	0	-3.8	20	NAN
15	Jun_14_2006	11417.21	10397.94	10330.97	10142.4	10138.5	10056	10008(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5047	-60	-5920	-2428	0	33%	-0.17	-119.7	1.53%	0	-1.8	37	NAN

16	Jun_13_2006	11437.05	10441	10368.69	10204.8	10215	10191	10056(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2828	-10	-3311	-1379	0	38%	-0.17	-128.8	1.53%	0	-1.8	35	NAN
17	Jun_12_2006	11456.59	10487.23	10412.57	10257.6	10333.5	10221	10080(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1969	-50	-2303	-965	0	38%	-0.17	-131.8	1.59%	0	-1.8	37	NAN
18	Jun_9_2006	11475.94	10546.6	10454.66	10387.2	10424.7	10239	10200(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7786	-110	-9156	-3676	0	36%	-0.17	-111.1	1.58%	0	-1.3	49	NAN
19	Jun_8_2006	11496.02	10597.81	10481.99	10497.6	10561.2	10446	10368(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6040	-60	-7108	-2834	0	37%	-0.15	-102.2	1.62%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
20	Jun_7_2006	11513.65	10657.4	10491.01	10550.4	10670.7	10610.4	10320(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1522	-10	-1793	-707	0	40%	-0.17	-82.1	1.64%	0	-0.9	38	NAN

21	Jun_6_2006	11532.76	10723.6	10514.22	10555.2	10658.7	10676.4	10320(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-595	40	-700	-279	0	40%	-0.11	-72.6	1.67%	0	-1	35	NAN
22	Jun_5_2006	11545.26	10791.64	10535.74	10584	10606.5	10731	10728(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3332	90	3923	1560	0	43%	-0.11	-65.6	1.62%	0	-0.1	39	NAN
23	Jun_2_2006	11557.88	10850.59	10493.65	10531.2	10545	10641	10752(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4908	70	5788	2267	0	39%	-0.1	-56.3	1.71%	0	-0.2	33	NAN
24	Jun_1_2006	11569.75	10906.76	10455.44	10468.8	10480.5	10482	10632(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	758	0	917	281	0	39%	-0.13	-53.2	1.71%	0	-0.5	31	NAN
25	May_31_2006	11585.09	10964.94	10462.33	10430.4	10483.5	10449	10344(-1.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-1503	-10	-1730	-820	0	36%		-52.4	1.6%	0	-1	16	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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