Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jun. 24, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $8616.0000 (1.13%) ($8400.0000 - $8688.0000) on Sat. Jun. 24, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.51% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $8616.0000(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -8.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.255% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.255% (StdDev 2.51%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.1%

Resistance Level   $9761.97
5 Day Moving Average   $8678.4(-0.72%)
10 Day Moving Average   $9122.22(-5.55%)
20 Day Moving Average   $9761.97(-11.74%)
To recent high   -28.3%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 8.15% (three month std-dev: 2.51%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 5.25%(40%) Average negative next day return: -1%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 0.81%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -1.32%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 8.22%(40%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.27%(60%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060724

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_23_2006	11198.76	9761.97	9122.22	8678.4	8680.5	8595	8616(1.13%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2704	-70	-3121	-1454	0	30%	-0.27	-56.2	2.51%	0	-1.4	24	0
2	Jun_22_2006	11228.89	9856.76	9276.82	8822.4	8755.5	8706	8520(-2.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.4	-2190	-60	-2517	-1207	0	30%	-0.31	-54.6	2.5%	0	-1.8	22	0
3	Jun_21_2006	11263.42	9957.92	9460.8	8856	8865	8766	8760(1.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1534	-80	-1745	-901	0	31%	-0.29	-60.6	2.49%	0	-1.7	26	0
4	Jun_20_2006	11295.99	10051.04	9617.62	9105.6	8943	8805	8664(-1.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-5967	-160	-6968	-2962	0	31%	-0.28	-58.3	2.48%	0	-2.2	31	0
5	Jun_19_2006	11328.07	10149.43	9788.62	9384	9252	8964	8832(-5.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-5335	-260	-6234	-2639	0	31%	-0.28	-58.3	2.47%	0	-2.4	31	0

6	Jun_16_2006	11359.66	10230.38	9981.2	9633.6	9568.5	9081	9336(7.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-11278	-380	-13235	-5407	0	34%	-0.23	-65.6	2.41%	0	-1.9	35	0
7	Jun_15_2006	11385.38	10287.73	10123.62	9806.4	9865.5	9540	8688(-13.19%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.7	-13122	-210	-15410	-6257	0	26%	-0.28	-72	2.21%	0	-3.8	20	0
8	Jun_14_2006	11417.21	10397.94	10330.97	10142.4	10138.5	10056	10008(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-5047	-60	-5920	-2428	0	33%	-0.17	-119.7	1.53%	0	-1.8	37	0
9	Jun_13_2006	11437.05	10441	10368.69	10204.8	10215	10191	10056(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2828	-10	-3311	-1379	0	38%	-0.17	-128.8	1.53%	0	-1.8	35	0
10	Jun_12_2006	11456.59	10487.23	10412.57	10257.6	10333.5	10221	10080(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-1969	-50	-2303	-965	0	38%	-0.17	-131.8	1.59%	0	-1.8	37	0

11	Jun_9_2006	11475.94	10546.6	10454.66	10387.2	10424.7	10239	10200(-1.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-7786	-110	-9156	-3676	0	36%	-0.17	-111.1	1.58%	0	-1.3	49	0
12	Jun_8_2006	11496.02	10597.81	10481.99	10497.6	10561.2	10446	10368(0.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-6040	-60	-7108	-2834	0	37%	-0.15	-102.2	1.62%	0	-0.8	51	0
13	Jun_7_2006	11513.65	10657.4	10491.01	10550.4	10670.7	10610.4	10320(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-1522	-10	-1793	-707	0	40%	-0.17	-82.1	1.64%	0	-0.9	38	0
14	Jun_6_2006	11532.76	10723.6	10514.22	10555.2	10658.7	10676.4	10320(-3.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-595	40	-700	-279	0	40%	-0.11	-72.6	1.67%	0	-1	35	0
15	Jun_5_2006	11545.26	10791.64	10535.74	10584	10606.5	10731	10728(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	3332	90	3923	1560	0	43%	-0.11	-65.6	1.62%	0	-0.1	39	0

16	Jun_2_2006	11557.88	10850.59	10493.65	10531.2	10545	10641	10752(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4908	70	5788	2267	0	39%	-0.1	-56.3	1.71%	0	-0.2	33	0
17	Jun_1_2006	11569.75	10906.76	10455.44	10468.8	10480.5	10482	10632(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	758	0	917	281	0	39%	-0.13	-53.2	1.71%	0	-0.5	31	0
18	May_31_2006	11585.09	10964.94	10462.33	10430.4	10483.5	10449	10344(-1.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-1503	-10	-1730	-820	0	36%	-0.15	-52.4	1.6%	0	-1	16	0
19	May_30_2006	11602.91	11035.58	10512.57	10468.8	10525.5	10479	10464(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1424	-10	-1634	-794	0	36%	-0.16	-50.3	1.69%	0	-0.9	16	0
20	May_26_2006	11621.68	11101.37	10561.34	10478.4	10552.5	10518	10464(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1115	-0	-1263	-669	0	36%	-0.13	-48.9	1.67%	0	-1.1	16	0

21	May_25_2006	11636.86	11156.07	10639.38	10447.4	10533	10572	10440(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	50	49	-170	0	36%	-0.14	-50.2	1.68%	0	-1.2	13	0
22	May_24_2006	11652.78	11223.44	10717.63	10437.8	10505.31	10587	10440(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2212	70	2665	854	0	36%	-0.13	-49.2	1.69%	0	-1.4	15	0
23	May_23_2006	11667.47	11292.61	10832.28	10500.2	10509.81	10494	10536(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	715	-10	903	151	0	36%	-0.1	-48.6	1.69%	0	-1.4	20	0
24	May_22_2006	11679.14	11349.64	10945.29	10567.4	10575.81	10423.63	10512(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4585	-100	-5335	-2334	0	36%	-0.1	-46.2	1.71%	0	-1.6	23	0
25	May_19_2006	11690.77	11403.25	11065.75	10663.4	10709.31	10525.63	10309(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-7083	-110	-8276	-3503	0	34%		-43.6	1.67%	0	-2.3	16	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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