Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sat. Jun. 3, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $10752.0000 (1.13%) ($10632.0000 - $10872.0000) on Sat. Jun. 3, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.71% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $10752.0000(1.13%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.855% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.855% (StdDev 1.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $10850.59
5 Day Moving Average   $10531.2(2.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10493.65(2.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10850.59(-0.91%)
To recent high   -10.6%
To recent low   4.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 4.87% (three month std-dev: 1.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.87%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.22%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 3.01%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -4.02%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.22%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.13%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060703

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_2_2006	11557.88	10850.59	10493.65	10531.2	10545	10641	10752(1.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	4908	70	5788	2267	0	39%	-0.1	-56.3	1.71%	0	-0.2	33	NAN
2	Jun_1_2006	11569.75	10906.76	10455.44	10468.8	10480.5	10482	10632(2.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	758	0	917	281	0	39%	-0.13	-53.2	1.71%	0	-0.5	31	NAN
3	May_31_2006	11585.09	10964.94	10462.33	10430.4	10483.5	10449	10344(-1.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-1503	-10	-1730	-820	0	36%	-0.15	-52.4	1.6%	0	-1	16	NAN
4	May_30_2006	11602.91	11035.58	10512.57	10468.8	10525.5	10479	10464(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-1424	-10	-1634	-794	0	36%	-0.16	-50.3	1.69%	0	-0.9	16	NAN
5	May_26_2006	11621.68	11101.37	10561.34	10478.4	10552.5	10518	10464(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-1115	-0	-1263	-669	0	36%	-0.13	-48.9	1.67%	0	-1.1	16	NAN

6	May_25_2006	11636.86	11156.07	10639.38	10447.4	10533	10572	10440(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-6	50	49	-170	0	36%	-0.14	-50.2	1.68%	0	-1.2	13	NAN
7	May_24_2006	11652.78	11223.44	10717.63	10437.8	10505.31	10587	10440(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	2212	70	2665	854	0	36%	-0.13	-49.2	1.69%	0	-1.4	15	NAN
8	May_23_2006	11667.47	11292.61	10832.28	10500.2	10509.81	10494	10536(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	715	-10	903	151	0	36%	-0.1	-48.6	1.69%	0	-1.4	20	NAN
9	May_22_2006	11679.14	11349.64	10945.29	10567.4	10575.81	10423.63	10512(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-4585	-100	-5335	-2334	0	36%	-0.1	-46.2	1.71%	0	-1.6	23	NAN
10	May_19_2006	11690.77	11403.25	11065.75	10663.4	10709.31	10525.63	10309(-0.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-7083	-110	-8276	-3503	0	34%	-0.13	-43.6	1.67%	0	-2.3	16	NAN

11	May_18_2006	11705.48	11462.28	11237.59	10862.4	10831.5	10728	10392(-3.35%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6481	-80	-7581	-3180	0	34%	-0.12	-38.3	1.68%	0	-2.6	28	NAN
12	May_17_2006	11719.58	11516.18	11399.58	11035.2	10980	10893	10752(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3376	-70	-3937	-1692	0	36%	-0.08	-35.5	1.65%	0	-2.2	29	NAN
13	May_16_2006	11728.74	11567.15	11513.88	11212.8	11125.5	10935	10872(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6163	-140	-7225	-2977	0	36%	-0.08	-18.7	1.64%	0	-2.3	30	NAN
14	May_15_2006	11737.66	11595.31	11608.53	11380.8	11299.5	11067	10992(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-9628	-170	-11311	-4580	0	36%	-0.09	-2.7	1.64%	0	-2.3	38	NAN
15	May_12_2006	11748.31	11618.1	11693.82	11529.6	11502	11316	11304(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8247	-120	-9695	-3901	0	38%	-0.06	8.7	1.59%	0	-1.4	48	NAN

16	May_11_2006	11755.56	11623.67	11722.09	11673.6	11655	11532	11256(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-6243	-80	-7347	-2932	0	38%	-0.05	23.3	1.61%	0	-1.6	51	NAN
17	May_10_2006	11761.81	11638.4	11777.85	11817.6	11788.5	11688	11640(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3474	-70	-4101	-1593	0	41%	0	36.8	1.56%	0	0	62	NAN
18	May_9_2006	11761.31	11623.24	11793.83	11860.8	11851.5	11778	11712(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3329	-50	-3934	-1515	0	41%	0	33.9	1.56%	0	0.4	51	NAN
19	May_8_2006	11761.06	11602.8	11786.92	11870.44	11871	11889	11736(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-768	10	-924	-299	0	45%	0.01	24.9	1.56%	0	0.6	60	NAN
20	May_5_2006	11760.06	11597.96	11766.3	11880.04	11859.01	11925	12024(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3485	30	4076	1710	0	48%	0.08	24.6	1.55%	0	1.8	66	NAN

21	May_4_2006	11751.06	11571.32	11699.89	11779.24	11769.01	11853	11976(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3051	50	3571	1490	0	48%	0.01	9.4	1.56%	0	1.9	65	NAN
22	May_3_2006	11749.31	11561.38	11635.22	11736.04	11683.51	11793.03	11856(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3547	50	4158	1713	0	45%	-0.03	9.4	1.57%	0	1.5	58	NAN
23	May_2_2006	11752.31	11548.4	11616.1	11721.64	11646.01	11685.03	11760.2(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3417	0	4002	1660	0	42%	0	11.2	1.6%	0	1.1	61	NAN
24	May_1_2006	11751.81	11544.94	11573.85	11692.8	11617.8	11574	11784(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-440	-50	-534	-158	0	42%	0	9.4	1.64%	0	1.3	62	NAN
25	Apr_28_2006	11751.56	11541.22	11530.15	11635.2	11592.3	11607	11520(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-864	-0	-1028	-373	0	39%		5	1.6%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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