Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. May. 17, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $10752.0000 (-1.1%) ($10752.0000 - $11112.0000) on Wed. May. 17, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.65% (three month average)
RSI   29
Latest Price   $10752.0000(-1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -1.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -3.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.825% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.825% (StdDev 1.65%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

Resistance Level   $11516.18
5 Day Moving Average   $11035.2(-2.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11399.58(-5.68%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11516.18(-6.64%)
To recent high   -11.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $183.382b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 2.96% (three month std-dev: 1.65%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060617

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_17_2006	11719.58	11516.18	11399.58	11035.2	10980	10893	10752(-1.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3376	-70	-3937	-1692	0	36%	-0.08	-35.5	1.65%	0	-2.2	29	0
2	May_16_2006	11728.74	11567.15	11513.88	11212.8	11125.5	10935	10872(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-6163	-140	-7225	-2977	0	36%	-0.08	-18.7	1.64%	0	-2.3	30	0
3	May_15_2006	11737.66	11595.31	11608.53	11380.8	11299.5	11067	10992(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-9628	-170	-11311	-4580	0	36%	-0.09	-2.7	1.64%	0	-2.3	38	0
4	May_12_2006	11748.31	11618.1	11693.82	11529.6	11502	11316	11304(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-8247	-120	-9695	-3901	0	38%	-0.06	8.7	1.59%	0	-1.4	48	0
5	May_11_2006	11755.56	11623.67	11722.09	11673.6	11655	11532	11256(-3.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-6243	-80	-7347	-2932	0	38%	-0.05	23.3	1.61%	0	-1.6	51	0

6	May_10_2006	11761.81	11638.4	11777.85	11817.6	11788.5	11688	11640(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3474	-70	-4101	-1593	0	41%	0	36.8	1.56%	0	0	62	0
7	May_9_2006	11761.31	11623.24	11793.83	11860.8	11851.5	11778	11712(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-3329	-50	-3934	-1515	0	41%	0	33.9	1.56%	0	0.4	51	0
8	May_8_2006	11761.06	11602.8	11786.92	11870.44	11871	11889	11736(-2.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-768	10	-924	-299	0	45%	0.01	24.9	1.56%	0	0.6	60	0
9	May_5_2006	11760.06	11597.96	11766.3	11880.04	11859.01	11925	12024(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3485	30	4076	1710	0	48%	0.08	24.6	1.55%	0	1.8	66	0
10	May_4_2006	11751.06	11571.32	11699.89	11779.24	11769.01	11853	11976(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3051	50	3571	1490	0	48%	0.01	9.4	1.56%	0	1.9	65	0

11	May_3_2006	11749.31	11561.38	11635.22	11736.04	11683.51	11793.03	11856(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3547	50	4158	1713	0	45%	-0.03	9.4	1.57%	0	1.5	58	0
12	May_2_2006	11752.31	11548.4	11616.1	11721.64	11646.01	11685.03	11760.2(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3417	0	4002	1660	0	42%	0	11.2	1.6%	0	1.1	61	0
13	May_1_2006	11751.81	11544.94	11573.85	11692.8	11617.8	11574	11784(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-440	-50	-534	-158	0	42%	0	9.4	1.64%	0	1.3	62	0
14	Apr_28_2006	11751.56	11541.22	11530.15	11635.2	11592.3	11607	11520(-2.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-864	-0	-1028	-373	0	39%	-0.02	5	1.6%	0	-0.1	47	0
15	Apr_27_2006	11753.56	11551.14	11515.09	11601.6	11556.3	11661.6	11760(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	3199	50	3755	1529	0	41%	-0.03	2.5	1.59%	0	1.1	54	0

16	Apr_26_2006	11757.06	11542.42	11485.74	11515.2	11497.8	11577.6	11784(1.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	3992	40	4696	1880	0	41%	-0.04	-9.5	1.59%	0	1.3	47	0
17	Apr_25_2006	11761.81	11527.98	11435.82	11498.4	11460	11451	11616(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	757	-20	894	345	0	41%	-0.02	-13.8	1.58%	0	0.5	49	0
18	Apr_24_2006	11764.06	11528.14	11401.5	11440.8	11468.25	11418	11496(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-1209	-20	-1411	-601	0	41%	-0.06	-23	1.58%	0	-0.2	45	0
19	Apr_21_2006	11771.56	11531.79	11414.51	11440.8	11457.75	11469	11352(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1531	20	-1788	-761	0	41%	-0.03	-28.9	1.56%	0	-1	41	0
20	Apr_20_2006	11775.31	11546.74	11432.54	11412	11468.25	11518.5	11328(-3.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	1616	50	1917	714	0	41%	-0.01	-35.8	1.57%	0	-1.3	42	0

21	Apr_19_2006	11776.06	11559.96	11482.45	11445.6	11487.75	11446.5	11700(3.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	955	-10	1136	413	0	44%	0.05	-35.5	1.54%	0	0.9	52	0
22	Apr_18_2006	11770.18	11552.56	11472.36	11366.4	11477.4	11418	11328(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3149	-10	-3688	-1531	0	39%	0.01	-57.6	1.48%	0	-1.4	46	0
23	Apr_17_2006	11769.18	11569.06	11512.48	11356.8	11474.4	11529	11352(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-425	60	-484	-249	0	42%	0.01	-71	1.48%	0	-1.4	43	0
24	Apr_13_2006	11767.43	11582.25	11552.97	11419.2	11484.9	11536.8	11352(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	3226	50	3806	1484	0	42%	0	-57.6	1.5%	0	-1.5	46	0
25	Apr_12_2006	11766.93	11608.46	11592.2	11456.12	11489.4	11419.8	11496(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-977	-30	-1141	-485	0	42%		-43.5	1.5%	0	-0.8	47	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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