Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Apr. 12, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $11496.0000 (1.7%) ($11294.4000 - $11904.0000) on Wed. Apr. 12, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.5% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $11496.0000(1.7%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.75% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.75% (StdDev 1.5%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.7%

Resistance Level   $11608.46
5 Day Moving Average   $11456.12(0.35%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11592.2(-0.83%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11608.46(-0.97%)
To recent high   -5.7%
To recent low   1.9%
Market Cap   $196.071b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 1.24% (three month std-dev: 1.5%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060512

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_12_2006	11766.93	11608.46	11592.2	11456.12	11489.4	11419.8	11496(1.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-977	-30	-1141	-485	0	42%	0.03	-43.5	1.5%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
2	Apr_11_2006	11763.68	11618.33	11605.32	11528.12	11524.04	11433	11304(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-5467	-60	-6428	-2585	0	40%	0.02	-36.7	1.5%	0	-2.1	44	NAN
3	Apr_10_2006	11760.93	11645.47	11631.57	11595.32	11635.04	11559	11280(-3.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-2262	-40	-2660	-1066	0	40%	0.01	-22.5	1.5%	0	-2.6	44	NAN
4	Apr_7_2006	11759.43	11677.46	11671.8	11686.52	11674.04	11615.08	11664(1.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-3363	-40	-3961	-1569	0	44%	0.06	13.1	1.44%	0	-0.1	51	NAN
5	Apr_6_2006	11752.93	11671.19	11663.29	11705.72	11704.04	11711.08	11536.6(-2.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-840	0	-994	-378	0	44%	0.06	15.5	1.44%	0	-1.1	49	NAN

6	Apr_5_2006	11745.51	11671.94	11675.34	11745.6	11715	11733	11856(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1840	0	2159	884	0	48%	0.09	1.8	1.4%	0	1.4	47	NAN
7	Apr_4_2006	11734.51	11672.69	11645.33	11697.6	11674.5	11733	11640(-0.82%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	150	10	174	77	0	44%	0.05	-11.3	1.38%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
8	Apr_3_2006	11729.01	11677.37	11638.89	11673.6	11666.64	11697	11736(-0.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	1981	20	2333	926	0	48%	0.05	-28.7	1.39%	0	0.4	45	NAN
9	Mar_31_2006	11723.51	11662.78	11628.03	11654.4	11633.64	11652	11760(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	934	10	1105	422	0	48%	0.02	-53.4	1.41%	0	0.7	43	NAN
10	Mar_30_2006	11720.76	11653.12	11609.93	11616	11608.14	11636.28	11736(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	920	10	1090	411	0	48%	0.05	-63.4	1.42%	0	0.5	57	NAN

11	Mar_29_2006	11715.26	11669.4	11620.11	11596.8	11591.65	11615.28	11616(0.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	804	10	951	362	0	48%	0.02	-60.4	1.42%	0	-0.3	54	NAN
12	Mar_28_2006	11713.26	11687.21	11626.76	11587.2	11605.51	11580	11520(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	245	-10	296	90	0	48%	-0	-53.5	1.41%	0	-0.8	40	NAN
13	Mar_27_2006	11713.76	11715.97	11657.3	11587.2	11611.51	11568.03	11640(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-2366	-20	-2777	-1134	0	44%	0.01	-46.3	1.41%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
14	Mar_24_2006	11712.26	11735.14	11681.56	11596.8	11637.01	11631.03	11568(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1299	10	-1526	-619	0	44%	0.01	-43.2	1.47%	0	-0.8	55	NAN
15	Mar_23_2006	11710.51	11758.55	11679.88	11601.6	11671.8	11655	11640(0.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	131	10	157	54	0	44%	0.03	-40.2	1.48%	0	-0.5	53	NAN

16	Mar_22_2006	11707.26	11779.28	11670.01	11649.6	11683.8	11643	11568(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.4	-1911	-20	-2243	-915	0	44%	-0	-32.4	1.48%	0	-1	40	NAN
17	Mar_21_2006	11707.76	11795.68	11703.86	11673.6	11718.3	11688.6	11568(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1457	-10	-1709	-700	0	47%	-0	-31.7	1.48%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
18	Mar_20_2006	11708.01	11813.32	11722.03	11726.4	11742.3	11724.6	11640(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1297	-10	-1520	-626	0	47%	0.02	-22.5	1.51%	0	-0.8	42	NAN
19	Mar_17_2006	11705.26	11830.35	11704.39	11779.2	11779.5	11748	11592(-2.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	63	-20	82	5	0	47%	0	-13.3	1.5%	0	-1.1	43	NAN
20	Mar_16_2006	11705.26	11848.1	11704.64	11764.8	11755.5	11760	11880(1.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-849	0	-985	-440	0	56%	0.01	-12.6	1.48%	0	0.2	47	NAN

21	Mar_15_2006	11703.76	11851.25	11722.29	11692.8	11719.5	11811	11688(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	1996	60	2364	890	0	47%	-0	-17.1	1.57%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
22	Mar_14_2006	11704.01	11864.94	11751.17	11738.88	11695.5	11751	11832(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	3147	20	3714	1444	0	44%	-0	1.2	1.71%	0	-0.2	50	NAN
23	Mar_13_2006	11704.51	11862.15	11775.41	11719.68	11688.9	11628	11904(3.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	13	-40	27	-28	0	48%	0.02	8.1	1.75%	0	0.2	50	NAN
24	Mar_10_2006	11702.01	11858.53	11785.73	11623.68	11667.9	11640	11520(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.5	-2768	-10	-3241	-1350	0	45%	-0.01	6.9	1.75%	0	-1.6	41	NAN
25	Mar_9_2006	11702.76	11874.15	11839.41	11633.28	11673.9	11749.8	11520(-3.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	869	60	1037	365	0	45%		14.3	1.76%	0	-1.9	42	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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