Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 1, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $12000.0000 (-0.99%) ($11928.0000 - $12120.0000) on Wed. Mar. 1, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.8% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $12000.0000(-0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.9% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.9% (StdDev 1.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $12057.6(-0.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11996.25(0.03%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11834.24(1.4%)
To recent high   -2%
To recent low   7.5%
Market Cap   $204.667b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 2.04% (three month std-dev: 1.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_1_2006	11685.97	11834.24	11996.25	12057.6	11923.5	12069	12000(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	1194	50	1394	593	0	54%	0.03	23	1.8%	0	0.7	67	0
2	Feb_28_2006	11682.72	11830.13	11991.77	12033.6	11880	12045	12120(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	6922	60	8130	3297	0	57%	0.03	20.7	1.82%	0	1.2	82	0
3	Feb_27_2006	11679.22	11812.85	11956.44	11990.4	11832	11778	12048(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1695	-70	1979	842	0	57%	0.03	13.3	1.82%	0	1	83	0
4	Feb_24_2006	11676.22	11804.79	11934.88	11976	11817	11715	12048(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-5292	-100	-6244	-2434	0	57%	0.03	11	1.83%	0	1.1	83	0
5	Feb_23_2006	11673.22	11793.44	11908.52	11952	11913	11886	12072(1.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-1056	-30	-1262	-438	0	57%	0.01	2.2	1.84%	0	1.3	66	0

6	Feb_22_2006	11671.47	11778.49	11871.85	11928.92	11935.5	11919	11880(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-541	-10	-654	-202	0	57%	0.01	-7.3	1.83%	0	0.5	48	0
7	Feb_21_2006	11670.22	11780.56	11828.33	11943.32	11940.29	11940	11904(-0.6%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	278	-0	312	174	0	57%	-0.03	-10.6	1.84%	0	0.6	47	0
8	Feb_17_2006	11674.12	11782.19	11774.58	11914.52	11901.29	11952	11976(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	1321	30	1544	652	0	57%	0.02	-13.9	1.83%	0	0.9	54	0
9	Feb_16_2006	11671.89	11780.05	11707.17	11885.72	11826.29	11940.58	11928(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	3103	50	3647	1472	0	57%	0.01	-15.8	1.84%	0	0.7	49	0
10	Feb_15_2006	11670.16	11789.18	11669.56	11856.92	11752.79	11850.58	11956.6(0.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3937	30	4631	1854	0	54%	-0	-17.9	1.84%	0	0.7	51	0

11	Feb_14_2006	11670.61	11793.63	11658.22	11806.8	11700	11712	11952(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2379	-20	2800	1116	0	54%	0.02	-22.2	1.88%	0	0.6	53	0
12	Feb_13_2006	11668.63	11802.71	11651.62	11696.4	11620.13	11655	11760(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	253	0	303	101	0	54%	0	-30	1.88%	0	-0.2	44	0
13	Feb_10_2006	11668.63	11811.89	11653.56	11610	11546.63	11688	11832(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	3345	70	3946	1541	0	53%	0.02	-39.8	1.9%	0	0.1	45	0
14	Feb_9_2006	11666.65	11815.01	11658.34	11499.6	11468.63	11585.25	11784(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4964	60	5856	2287	0	53%	-0.01	-53.3	1.93%	0	-0.1	43	0
15	Feb_8_2006	11667.64	11830.52	11662.23	11456.4	11392.13	11405.25	11706(2.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	451	-10	551	151	0	53%	-0.01	-54.6	1.94%	0	-0.5	36	0

16	Feb_7_2006	11669.18	11848.42	11670.7	11496	11445	11352	11400(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2517	-70	-2940	-1248	0	51%	-0.04	-47.3	1.92%	0	-1.7	29	0
17	Feb_6_2006	11673.39	11877.26	11726.66	11606.4	11587.5	11379	11328(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4957	-130	-5813	-2388	0	51%	-0.04	-34.5	1.92%	0	-2.3	24	0
18	Feb_3_2006	11678.34	11912.45	11793.64	11702.4	11694	11538	11280(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-7107	-100	-8347	-3388	0	51%	-0.07	-22.6	1.92%	0	-3.2	34	0
19	Feb_2_2006	11687	11949.6	11867.85	11832	11797.5	11796	11568(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-2025	-10	-2373	-980	0	51%	-0.07	-0.9	1.9%	0	-2.8	42	0
20	Feb_1_2006	11694.67	11973.2	11928.6	11889.6	11857.5	11850	11904(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1265	-10	1494	576	0	54%	0.01	29.9	1.89%	0	-0.7	43	0

21	Jan_31_2006	11693.18	11972.92	11946.52	11889.6	11848.5	11799	11952(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-1754	-30	-2056	-847	0	54%	0.08	19.3	1.89%	0	-0.2	46	0
22	Jan_30_2006	11684.28	11959.21	11968.14	11870.4	11868	11865	11808(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1088	-0	-1274	-528	0	54%	0.06	4.4	1.9%	0	-1.4	48	0
23	Jan_27_2006	11677.6	11957.66	11984.8	11903.04	11893.5	11898	11928(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	360	0	428	156	0	54%	0.09	6.6	1.91%	0	-0.2	49	0
24	Jan_26_2006	11667.45	11950.44	11984	11912.64	11911.2	11871	11856(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-890	-20	-1042	-432	0	54%	0.05	14	1.91%	0	-0.7	48	0
25	Jan_25_2006	11661.76	11941.78	12010.68	11975.04	11947.2	11889	11808(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-2535	-40	-2981	-1195	0	54%		24.4	1.91%	0	-0.9	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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