Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Feb. 6, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $11328.0000 (0.43%) ($11160.0000 - $11640.0000) on Mon. Feb. 6, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   24
Latest Price   $11328.0000(0.43%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

Resistance Level   $11877.26
5 Day Moving Average   $11606.4(-2.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11726.66(-3.4%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11877.26(-4.62%)
To recent high   -7.5%
To recent low   4.9%
Market Cap   $193.206b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.13%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.34%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.74%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.04%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060306

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_6_2006	11673.39	11877.26	11726.66	11606.4	11587.5	11379	11328(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-4957	-130	-5813	-2388	0	51%	-0.04	-34.5	1.92%	0	-2.3	24	NAN
2	Feb_3_2006	11678.34	11912.45	11793.64	11702.4	11694	11538	11280(-2.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-7107	-100	-8347	-3388	0	51%	-0.07	-22.6	1.92%	0	-3.2	34	NAN
3	Feb_2_2006	11687	11949.6	11867.85	11832	11797.5	11796	11568(-2.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-2025	-10	-2373	-980	0	51%	-0.07	-0.9	1.9%	0	-2.8	42	NAN
4	Feb_1_2006	11694.67	11973.2	11928.6	11889.6	11857.5	11850	11904(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1265	-10	1494	576	0	54%	0.01	29.9	1.89%	0	-0.7	43	NAN
5	Jan_31_2006	11693.18	11972.92	11946.52	11889.6	11848.5	11799	11952(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-1754	-30	-2056	-847	0	54%	0.08	19.3	1.89%	0	-0.2	46	NAN

6	Jan_30_2006	11684.28	11959.21	11968.14	11870.4	11868	11865	11808(-1.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1088	-0	-1274	-528	0	54%	0.06	4.4	1.9%	0	-1.4	48	NAN
7	Jan_27_2006	11677.6	11957.66	11984.8	11903.04	11893.5	11898	11928(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	360	0	428	156	0	54%	0.09	6.6	1.91%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
8	Jan_26_2006	11667.45	11950.44	11984	11912.64	11911.2	11871	11856(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-890	-20	-1042	-432	0	54%	0.05	14	1.91%	0	-0.7	48	NAN
9	Jan_25_2006	11661.76	11941.78	12010.68	11975.04	11947.2	11889	11808(-1.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-2535	-40	-2981	-1195	0	54%	0.09	24.4	1.91%	0	-0.9	44	NAN
10	Jan_24_2006	11651.12	11952.43	12010.68	12032.64	12032.69	11951.4	11952(-0.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2013	-50	-2371	-938	0	54%	0.03	43.8	1.92%	0	-0	54	NAN

11	Jan_23_2006	11647.99	11954.52	12038.99	12080.64	12094.19	12005.4	11971.2(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2963	-50	-3493	-1373	0	54%	0.07	75.9	1.93%	0	0.1	63	NAN
12	Jan_20_2006	11640.04	11949.12	12040.89	12076.8	12137.99	12113.98	11976(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1293	0	-1530	-582	0	54%	0.04	76.9	1.93%	0	0.2	59	NAN
13	Jan_19_2006	11635.79	11931.58	12040.1	12062.4	12121.49	12182.98	12168(0.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	1290	50	1508	636	0	54%	0.05	59.7	1.92%	0	1.5	64	NAN
14	Jan_18_2006	11629.79	11907.4	12022.07	12052.8	12060	12162	12096(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	2667	60	3125	1291	0	54%	0.11	60.9	1.92%	0	1.2	66	NAN
15	Jan_17_2006	11617.54	11884.83	12000.92	12048	12030	12060	12192(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2775	10	3253	1339	0	54%	0.2	52.9	1.93%	0	1.9	53	NAN

16	Jan_13_2006	11594.02	11835.17	11946.92	11995.68	11991	11958	11952(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-851	-20	-1008	-381	0	52%	0.11	29.6	1.91%	0	0.7	48	NAN
17	Jan_12_2006	11581.15	11827.33	11927.25	12000.48	11985.15	12000	11904(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-407	0	-485	-173	0	52%	0.11	16.5	1.92%	0	0.3	52	NAN
18	Jan_11_2006	11568.53	11837.12	11914.64	12010.08	11976.15	12024	12120(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1516	20	1776	737	0	52%	0.11	16	1.92%	0	1.3	66	NAN
19	Jan_10_2006	11555.42	11815.66	11866.7	11986.08	11952.15	11970.3	12072(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	759	0	886	377	0	52%	0.11	10.6	1.92%	0	1.2	61	NAN
20	Jan_9_2006	11542.55	11798.81	11856.82	11947.68	11965.65	11928.3	11930.4(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	265	-20	304	148	0	52%	0.1	-3.3	1.92%	0	0.6	59	NAN

21	Jan_6_2006	11531.39	11787.53	11861.39	11889.6	11937	11934	11976(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-299	10	-363	-106	0	52%	0.11	-11	1.92%	0	0.9	71	NAN
22	Jan_5_2006	11518.28	11790.77	11848.02	11841.6	11845.5	12003	11952(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	1924	90	2253	935	0	52%	0.1	-2.8	1.92%	0	0.8	53	NAN
23	Jan_4_2006	11507.15	11801.87	11813.3	11803.2	11806.5	11940	12000(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6846	80	8050	3235	0	52%	0.13	14.7	1.93%	0	0.9	47	NAN
24	Jan_3_2006	11492.3	11792.18	11781.05	11731.2	11709	11688	11880(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	368	-20	431	177	0	52%	0.14	16.5	1.94%	0	0.4	53	NAN
25	Dec_30_2005	11476.67	11806.28	11757.24	11758.08	11706	11673	11640(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3063	-30	-3605	-1436	0	50%		38.1	1.92%	0	-0.7	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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