Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jan. 18, 2006

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $12096.0000 (-0.79%) ($12096.0000 - $12240.0000) on Wed. Jan. 18, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.92% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $12096.0000(-0.79%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.96% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.96% (StdDev 1.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $12052.8(0.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $12022.07(0.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $11907.4(1.58%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   12%
Market Cap   $206.305b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 1.28% (three month std-dev: 1.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.99%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.53%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.26%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060218

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_18_2006	11629.79	11907.4	12022.07	12052.8	12060	12162	12096(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	2667	60	3125	1291	0	54%	0.11	60.9	1.92%	0	1.2	66	0
2	Jan_17_2006	11617.54	11884.83	12000.92	12048	12030	12060	12192(2.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2775	10	3253	1339	0	54%	0.2	52.9	1.93%	0	1.9	53	0
3	Jan_13_2006	11594.02	11835.17	11946.92	11995.68	11991	11958	11952(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-851	-20	-1008	-381	0	52%	0.11	29.6	1.91%	0	0.7	48	0
4	Jan_12_2006	11581.15	11827.33	11927.25	12000.48	11985.15	12000	11904(-1.78%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-407	0	-485	-173	0	52%	0.11	16.5	1.92%	0	0.3	52	0
5	Jan_11_2006	11568.53	11837.12	11914.64	12010.08	11976.15	12024	12120(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1516	20	1776	737	0	52%	0.11	16	1.92%	0	1.3	66	0

6	Jan_10_2006	11555.42	11815.66	11866.7	11986.08	11952.15	11970.3	12072(1.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	759	0	886	377	0	52%	0.11	10.6	1.92%	0	1.2	61	0
7	Jan_9_2006	11542.55	11798.81	11856.82	11947.68	11965.65	11928.3	11930.4(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	265	-20	304	148	0	52%	0.1	-3.3	1.92%	0	0.6	59	0
8	Jan_6_2006	11531.39	11787.53	11861.39	11889.6	11937	11934	11976(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-299	10	-363	-106	0	52%	0.11	-11	1.92%	0	0.9	71	0
9	Jan_5_2006	11518.28	11790.77	11848.02	11841.6	11845.5	12003	11952(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	1924	90	2253	935	0	52%	0.1	-2.8	1.92%	0	0.8	53	0
10	Jan_4_2006	11507.15	11801.87	11813.3	11803.2	11806.5	11940	12000(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	6846	80	8050	3235	0	52%	0.13	14.7	1.93%	0	0.9	47	0

11	Jan_3_2006	11492.3	11792.18	11781.05	11731.2	11709	11688	11880(2.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	368	-20	431	177	0	52%	0.14	16.5	1.94%	0	0.4	53	0
12	Dec_30_2005	11476.67	11806.28	11757.24	11758.08	11706	11673	11640(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-3063	-30	-3605	-1436	0	50%	0.09	38.1	1.92%	0	-0.7	49	0
13	Dec_29_2005	11466.87	11811.41	11716.55	11830.08	11841.3	11730	11736(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-913	-60	-1075	-427	0	50%	0.11	54.8	1.93%	0	-0.3	51	0
14	Dec_28_2005	11454.38	11797.26	11722.43	11854.08	11895.3	11739	11760(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4800	-80	-5647	-2259	0	50%	0.12	58.6	1.93%	0	-0.1	45	0
15	Dec_27_2005	11440.91	11769.76	11756.07	11820.48	11902.8	11952.6	11640(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1639	50	-1926	-778	0	50%	0.2	50	1.94%	0	-0.4	42	0

16	Dec_23_2005	11418.44	11752.92	11765.06	11830.08	11862.3	12051.6	12014.4(0.12%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	5788	120	6812	2715	0	53%	0.13	47.4	1.91%	0	0.8	53	0
17	Dec_22_2005	11404.13	11712.81	11736.58	11755.2	11760	11853	12000(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	5252	60	6188	2444	0	53%	0.1	43.2	1.91%	0	0.9	47	0
18	Dec_21_2005	11392.25	11678.41	11704.83	11587.2	11667	11673	11856(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	856	20	1024	353	0	53%	0.09	35.7	1.92%	0	0.5	53	0
19	Dec_20_2005	11382.07	11646.3	11723.18	11577.6	11611.5	11667	11592(-0.82%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-731	40	-847	-382	0	51%	0.07	38.9	1.9%	0	-0.2	54	0
20	Dec_19_2005	11374.56	11622.1	11784.63	11688	11674.5	11661	11688(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	1644	-10	1934	772	0	51%	0.07	44.4	1.9%	0	0.2	59	0

21	Dec_16_2005	11366.56	11596.53	11799.98	11692.8	11727	11556	11640(4.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-2951	-90	-3476	-1377	0	48%	0.07	43.2	1.9%	0	0.1	57	0
22	Dec_15_2005	11359.04	11569.05	11855.63	11716.8	11727.01	11688	11160(-5.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-5805	-20	-6842	-2692	0	43%	0.02	38.5	1.84%	0	-1	53	0
23	Dec_14_2005	11356.86	11558.35	11920.93	11827.2	11796.01	11898	11808(-2.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	3412	50	3991	1674	0	55%	0.08	39.9	1.73%	0	0.6	59	0
24	Dec_13_2005	11347.89	11510.23	11886.7	11884.8	11785.51	11766.03	12144(3.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	834	-40	954	474	0	64%	0.09	35.6	1.79%	0	1.4	66	0
25	Dec_12_2005	11337.47	11456.76	11790.12	11904	11848.51	11694.03	11712(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4254	-110	-5033	-1917	0	61%		34.1	1.89%	0	0.6	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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