Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 7, 2005

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $11304.0000 (4.9%) ($10800.0000 - $11520.0000) on Wed. Sep. 7, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.36% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $11304.0000(4.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.18% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.18% (StdDev 2.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $11289.6(0.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $11040.47(2.39%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10909.63(3.61%)
To recent high   -5.4%
To recent low   10.6%
Market Cap   $192.797b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 2.67% (three month std-dev: 2.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051007

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_7_2005	10918.43	10909.63	11040.47	11289.6	11232.3	11052.6	11304(4.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-629	-130	-757	-244	0	65%	0.04	67.4	2.36%	0	1.4	58	0
2	Sep_6_2005	10914.51	10866.48	10993.32	11212.8	11262.3	11070.6	10776(-3.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-5908	-110	-6967	-2730	0	59%	0.07	53.7	2.3%	0	-0.3	57	0
3	Sep_2_2005	10907.3	10851.25	11002.18	11203.2	11227.5	11412	11208(-3.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	681	120	785	369	0	57%	0.01	43.6	2.28%	0	1.1	55	0
4	Sep_1_2005	10905.84	10812.78	10964.89	11121.6	11098.35	11454	11568(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.5	10334	220	12145	4902	0	60%	0.07	30.8	2.28%	0	2.5	62	0
5	Aug_31_2005	10898.33	10760.89	10873.48	10948.8	10861.35	11043	11592(6.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	6975	90	8199	3301	0	60%	0.07	13.1	2.28%	0	3.4	66	0

6	Aug_30_2005	10890.57	10717.22	10792.62	10766.4	10739.85	10742.7	10920(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	1337	-10	1571	634	0	55%	-0	-14.5	2.15%	0	1.2	61	0
7	Aug_29_2005	10890.81	10711.7	10757.38	10752	10732.35	10679.7	10728(-0.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1466	-40	-1726	-684	0	55%	-0.02	-19.5	2.16%	0	0.1	59	0
8	Aug_26_2005	10893.24	10716.85	10777.48	10771.2	10761	10737	10800(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1277	-20	-1508	-582	0	58%	-0	-23.5	2.19%	0	0.5	62	0
9	Aug_25_2005	10893.48	10720.2	10785.65	10771.2	10791	10737	10704(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	131	-0	144	91	0	58%	-0	-30.8	2.19%	0	-0.1	59	0
10	Aug_24_2005	10893.72	10728.96	10785.34	10780.8	10780.5	10785	10680(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.6	18	0	10	40	0	58%	0	-40.1	2.2%	0	-0.3	53	0

11	Aug_23_2005	10893.48	10741.32	10772.52	10819.2	10759.5	10797	10848(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	683	10	793	353	0	58%	0.02	-47.3	2.19%	0	0.6	50	0
12	Aug_22_2005	10891.05	10743.37	10734.01	10761.6	10737	10776	10824(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	1296	20	1519	626	0	58%	0.04	-58.7	2.19%	0	0.4	49	0
13	Aug_19_2005	10887.18	10755.39	10695.14	10785.6	10716	10722	10848(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	223	-20	259	116	0	58%	0.06	-54.2	2.19%	0	0.4	49	0
14	Aug_18_2005	10881.12	10771.6	10654.84	10795.2	10737	10698	10704(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-302	-40	-356	-139	0	58%	0.05	-51.3	2.19%	0	-0.3	44	0
15	Aug_17_2005	10876.02	10799.28	10644.06	10790.4	10743	10710	10872(2.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-932	-30	-1095	-442	0	58%	0.04	-43.5	2.18%	0	0.3	48	0

16	Aug_16_2005	10871.42	10825.43	10634.54	10718.4	10713	10710	10560(-3.51%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	673	40	797	301	0	55%	-0.04	-45.7	2.15%	0	-0.9	36	0
17	Aug_15_2005	10876.02	10857.52	10662.06	10694.4	10656	10776	10944(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	3628	70	4275	1686	0	60%	0.01	-48.9	2.11%	0	0.3	48	0
18	Aug_12_2005	10875.33	10873.9	10647.16	10588.8	10566	10650	10896(2.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	3253	50	3840	1490	0	60%	-0.05	-56.9	2.11%	0	0.1	38	0
19	Aug_11_2005	10880.47	10897.47	10641.76	10497.6	10486.5	10536	10680(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1435	30	1708	615	0	60%	-0.07	-65.1	2.11%	0	-0.7	23	0
20	Aug_10_2005	10888.07	10922.65	10660.57	10481.28	10456.5	10482	10512(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	328	10	410	83	0	56%	-0.1	-68	2.1%	0	-1.3	11	0

21	Aug_9_2005	10899.33	10960.7	10703.01	10543.68	10502.4	10437	10440(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1075	-60	-1240	-581	0	56%	-0.12	-66.4	2.13%	0	-1.6	4	0
22	Aug_8_2005	10912.07	11006.4	10752.31	10625.28	10599.9	10431	10416(-0.23%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.7	-4140	-120	-4846	-2020	0	56%	-0.14	-59.8	2.13%	0	-1.9	23	0
23	Aug_5_2005	10927.74	11059.3	10822.65	10711.68	10715.4	10567.8	10440(-1.49%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-5527	-100	-6480	-2667	0	56%	-0.11	-46.2	2.13%	0	-2.2	22	0
24	Aug_4_2005	10939.98	11112.5	10902.65	10802.88	10839.9	10768.8	10598.4(-2.08%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-2476	-40	-2893	-1226	0	56%	-0.12	-27	2.12%	0	-2.1	22	0
25	Aug_3_2005	10953.55	11149.92	10973.12	10862.4	10887	10863	10824(-0.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1092	-10	-1267	-566	0	56%		-10.9	2.11%	0	-1.5	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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