Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jun. 15, 2005

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $11856.0000 (0.82%) ($11616.0000 - $11880.0000) on Wed. Jun. 15, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.31% (three month average)
RSI   65
Latest Price   $11856.0000(0.82%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.155% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.155% (StdDev 2.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $11318.4(4.75%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10861.66(9.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10764.08(10.14%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   18.5%
Market Cap   $202.211b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 4.42% (three month std-dev: 2.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.19%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.18%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050715

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_15_2005	11307.92	10764.08	10861.66	11318.4	11353.5	11718	11856(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	8921	230	10472	4268	0	51%	-0.05	44.6	2.31%	0	2.3	65	0
2	Jun_14_2005	11313.55	10700.3	10750.36	11092.8	11068.5	11406	11760(1.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.7	10593	210	12445	5036	0	52%	-0.06	39.4	2.32%	0	2.6	65	0
3	Jun_13_2005	11320.65	10639.09	10649.83	10785.6	10803	10989	11616(10.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	7475	130	8787	3540	0	52%	-0.08	20.7	2.32%	0	3.1	65	0
4	Jun_10_2005	11330.2	10576.72	10561.37	10464	10555.5	10731	10536(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	4747	140	5589	2222	0	43%	-0.17	-18.6	1.94%	0	-0.2	50	0
5	Jun_9_2005	11349.55	10570.75	10562.06	10396.8	10384.5	10617	10824(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	6361	150	7491	2969	0	46%	-0.14	-36.7	1.92%	0	1.1	53	0

6	Jun_8_2005	11366.01	10556.15	10539.11	10334.4	10300.5	10380	10728(4.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	5226	40	6160	2424	0	46%	-0.14	-52.4	1.93%	0	0.8	49	0
7	Jun_7_2005	11382.17	10544.62	10515.69	10363.2	10284	10152	10224(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3715	-110	-4357	-1787	0	44%	-0.1	-60.8	1.82%	0	-1.5	39	0
8	Jun_6_2005	11394.11	10573.98	10546.13	10497.6	10432.5	10221	10008(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-6954	-160	-8173	-3296	0	42%	-0.2	-51	1.83%	0	-2.6	34	0
9	Jun_3_2005	11417.37	10618.93	10607.84	10670.4	10605	10416	10200(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-6674	-140	-7853	-3136	0	42%	-0.19	-40.5	1.82%	0	-2.3	46	0
10	Jun_2_2005	11439.64	10655.79	10655.74	10737.6	10701	10644	10512(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-3573	-50	-4210	-1660	0	44%	-0.18	-33.6	1.79%	0	-0.9	57	0

11	Jun_1_2005	11459.93	10674.56	10678.26	10761.6	10702.05	10794	10872(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	1087	40	1268	542	0	47%	-0.13	-28.8	1.75%	0	1.2	61	0
12	May_31_2005	11475.27	10679.91	10658.74	10689.6	10688.55	10758	10896(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4402	50	5171	2096	0	47%	-0.23	-36.1	1.79%	0	1.2	63	0
13	May_27_2005	11501.93	10684	10631.84	10608	10627.05	10610.1	10872(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	858	-10	1007	412	0	50%	-0.15	-45.3	1.8%	0	0.9	50	0
14	May_26_2005	11518.82	10691.67	10589.8	10545.6	10552.05	10619.1	10536(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-504	50	-589	-249	0	47%	-0.2	-56.5	1.76%	0	-0.8	37	0
15	May_25_2005	11541.36	10710.68	10578.04	10564.8	10545	10644	10632(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4445	60	5237	2070	0	43%	-0.19	-53.1	1.77%	0	-0.4	38	0

16	May_24_2005	11562.91	10722.4	10570.34	10584	10500.9	10485	10512(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	464	-30	555	192	0	43%	-0.22	-51	1.88%	0	-1	34	0
17	May_23_2005	11588.38	10745.25	10571.6	10622.4	10530.9	10446	10488(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2814	-80	-3299	-1358	0	43%	-0.24	-43.2	1.88%	0	-1.2	29	0
18	May_20_2005	11616.05	10778.28	10601.51	10656	10619.4	10516.8	10560(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2954	-80	-3463	-1425	0	43%	-0.23	-24.4	1.87%	0	-0.9	31	0
19	May_19_2005	11643.23	10809.81	10630.52	10636.8	10670.4	10615.8	10632(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2153	-30	-2518	-1057	0	43%	-0.21	-14.1	1.88%	0	-0.8	31	0
20	May_18_2005	11668.21	10821.57	10656.47	10588.8	10651.5	10722	10728(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	447	60	543	159	0	41%	-0.2	-24.6	1.89%	0	-0.4	43	0

21	May_17_2005	11691.48	10830.25	10670.14	10555.2	10612.5	10725	10704(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3953	90	4669	1804	0	41%	-0.19	-27.7	1.91%	0	-0.6	44	0
22	May_16_2005	11713.27	10841.42	10699.83	10516.8	10555.5	10581	10656(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2184	30	2589	967	0	41%	-0.09	-29.4	1.91%	0	-0.8	39	0
23	May_13_2005	11724.17	10834.99	10735.65	10545.6	10525.5	10500	10464(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1791	-20	-2086	-904	0	41%	-0.19	-34.5	1.87%	0	-1.6	26	0
24	May_12_2005	11746.19	10841.32	10798.15	10627.2	10605	10530	10392(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-1822	-60	-2125	-911	0	41%	-0.18	-34.9	1.88%	0	-2	22	0
25	May_11_2005	11767.72	10876.39	10854.96	10732.8	10702.5	10551	10560(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4255	-110	-4993	-2040	0	41%		-20.1	1.88%	0	-1.5	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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