Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 7, 2005

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $10224.0000 (2.16%) ($10032.0000 - $10416.0000) on Tue. Jun. 7, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.82% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $10224.0000(2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -1.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
VWO(6%)    XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -0.91% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    GLD(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.91% (StdDev 1.82%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.2%

Resistance Level   $10544.62
5 Day Moving Average   $10363.2(-1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $10515.69(-2.77%)
20 Day Moving Average   $10544.62(-3.04%)
To recent high   -14.8%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $174.377b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 2.09% (three month std-dev: 1.82%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.07%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.57%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.61%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050707

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_7_2005	11382.17	10544.62	10515.69	10363.2	10284	10152	10224(2.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-3715	-110	-4357	-1787	0	44%	-0.1	-60.8	1.82%	0	-1.5	39	NAN
2	Jun_6_2005	11394.11	10573.98	10546.13	10497.6	10432.5	10221	10008(-1.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-6954	-160	-8173	-3296	0	42%	-0.2	-51	1.83%	0	-2.6	34	NAN
3	Jun_3_2005	11417.37	10618.93	10607.84	10670.4	10605	10416	10200(-2.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-6674	-140	-7853	-3136	0	42%	-0.19	-40.5	1.82%	0	-2.3	46	NAN
4	Jun_2_2005	11439.64	10655.79	10655.74	10737.6	10701	10644	10512(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-3573	-50	-4210	-1660	0	44%	-0.18	-33.6	1.79%	0	-0.9	57	NAN
5	Jun_1_2005	11459.93	10674.56	10678.26	10761.6	10702.05	10794	10872(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	1087	40	1268	542	0	47%	-0.13	-28.8	1.75%	0	1.2	61	NAN

6	May_31_2005	11475.27	10679.91	10658.74	10689.6	10688.55	10758	10896(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	4402	50	5171	2096	0	47%	-0.23	-36.1	1.79%	0	1.2	63	NAN
7	May_27_2005	11501.93	10684	10631.84	10608	10627.05	10610.1	10872(3.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	858	-10	1007	412	0	50%	-0.15	-45.3	1.8%	0	0.9	50	NAN
8	May_26_2005	11518.82	10691.67	10589.8	10545.6	10552.05	10619.1	10536(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-504	50	-589	-249	0	47%	-0.2	-56.5	1.76%	0	-0.8	37	NAN
9	May_25_2005	11541.36	10710.68	10578.04	10564.8	10545	10644	10632(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4445	60	5237	2070	0	43%	-0.19	-53.1	1.77%	0	-0.4	38	NAN
10	May_24_2005	11562.91	10722.4	10570.34	10584	10500.9	10485	10512(0.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.3	464	-30	555	192	0	43%	-0.22	-51	1.88%	0	-1	34	NAN

11	May_23_2005	11588.38	10745.25	10571.6	10622.4	10530.9	10446	10488(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2814	-80	-3299	-1358	0	43%	-0.24	-43.2	1.88%	0	-1.2	29	NAN
12	May_20_2005	11616.05	10778.28	10601.51	10656	10619.4	10516.8	10560(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2954	-80	-3463	-1425	0	43%	-0.23	-24.4	1.87%	0	-0.9	31	NAN
13	May_19_2005	11643.23	10809.81	10630.52	10636.8	10670.4	10615.8	10632(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-2153	-30	-2518	-1057	0	43%	-0.21	-14.1	1.88%	0	-0.8	31	NAN
14	May_18_2005	11668.21	10821.57	10656.47	10588.8	10651.5	10722	10728(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	447	60	543	159	0	41%	-0.2	-24.6	1.89%	0	-0.4	43	NAN
15	May_17_2005	11691.48	10830.25	10670.14	10555.2	10612.5	10725	10704(0.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	3953	90	4669	1804	0	41%	-0.19	-27.7	1.91%	0	-0.6	44	NAN

16	May_16_2005	11713.27	10841.42	10699.83	10516.8	10555.5	10581	10656(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	2184	30	2589	967	0	41%	-0.09	-29.4	1.91%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
17	May_13_2005	11724.17	10834.99	10735.65	10545.6	10525.5	10500	10464(0.69%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1791	-20	-2086	-904	0	41%	-0.19	-34.5	1.87%	0	-1.6	26	NAN
18	May_12_2005	11746.19	10841.32	10798.15	10627.2	10605	10530	10392(-1.59%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-1822	-60	-2125	-911	0	41%	-0.18	-34.9	1.88%	0	-2	22	NAN
19	May_11_2005	11767.72	10876.39	10854.96	10732.8	10702.5	10551	10560(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-4255	-110	-4993	-2040	0	41%	-0.16	-20.1	1.88%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
20	May_10_2005	11786.28	10891.72	10889.78	10800	10800	10680	10512(-2.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-5326	-80	-6256	-2536	0	41%	-0.15	-9.6	1.89%	0	-2	41	NAN

21	May_9_2005	11804.09	10909.87	10939.31	10905.6	10903.5	10854	10800(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-2558	-30	-3005	-1218	0	43%	-0.14	10	1.88%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
22	May_6_2005	11820.42	10917.49	10974.86	10953.6	10981.5	10920	10872(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-1528	-30	-1801	-710	0	43%	-0.14	27.2	1.87%	0	-0.3	65	NAN
23	May_5_2005	11837.49	10922.25	11007.45	10953.6	11038.5	10953	10920(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2331	-40	-2753	-1065	0	43%	-0.14	47.8	1.88%	0	-0	64	NAN
24	May_4_2005	11854.07	10917.94	11002.97	10996.8	11061	11043	10896(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1783	10	-2107	-812	0	46%	-0.15	62	1.9%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
25	May_3_2005	11871.39	10910.63	11005.35	10992	11059.5	11124	11040(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	1575	60	1843	769	0	46%		72.4	1.93%	0	0.7	55	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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