Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Nov. 10, 2004

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $12909.6000 (-6.45%) ($12840.0000 - $13752.0000) on Wed. Nov. 10, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.68% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $12909.6000(-6.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK advances 0.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    FXI(5%)    EWG(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.34% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.34% (StdDev 2.68%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -6.1%

Resistance Level   $13900.57
5 Day Moving Average   $13900.32(-7.13%)
10 Day Moving Average   $14081.41(-8.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $13900.57(-7.13%)
To recent high   -12.4%
To recent low   22.3%
Market Cap   $220.181b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 2.76% (three month std-dev: 2.68%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -1.93%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.11%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.64%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041210

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_10_2004	13783.25	13900.57	14081.41	13900.32	13910.85	13670.7	12909.6(-6.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.6	-8593	-120	-10114	-4030	0	70%	-0.27	-17	2.68%	0	-2.6	44	0
2	Nov_9_2004	13820.36	13971.71	14192.12	14188.8	14167.5	14058	13800(-2.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-2484	-60	-2935	-1129	0	71%	-0.21	-0.9	2.57%	0	-0.6	52	0
3	Nov_8_2004	13849.45	13978.87	14187.8	14280	14263.5	14151	14136(-1.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-2513	-60	-2973	-1134	0	71%	-0.17	-4.5	2.65%	0	0.5	66	0
4	Nov_5_2004	13873.7	13969.5	14143.33	14299.2	14316	14277	14376(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-1725	-20	-2046	-760	0	67%	-0.09	-10.8	2.66%	0	1.3	69	0
5	Nov_4_2004	13886.06	13955.23	14055.72	14284.8	14332.5	14376	14280(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	400	30	455	235	0	63%	-0.12	-12.4	2.7%	0	1	62	0

6	Nov_3_2004	13902.79	13965.53	13983.35	14299.2	14326.5	14355	14352(0.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	1685	20	1969	834	0	60%	-0.11	-6.4	2.78%	0	1.1	54	0
7	Nov_2_2004	13918.3	13974.14	13925.06	14198.4	14254.5	14289	14256(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	705	30	820	360	0	60%	-0.13	-5.6	2.82%	0	0.7	48	0
8	Nov_1_2004	13936	13992.56	13852.54	14078.4	14163	14298	14232(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	2569	80	3017	1223	0	60%	0.02	-4.3	2.82%	0	0.6	55	0
9	Oct_29_2004	13932.98	14002.91	13787.6	13958.4	14010	14220	14304(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	4515	120	5311	2126	0	60%	-0.19	-2.5	2.88%	0	0.8	55	0
10	Oct_28_2004	13960.16	13995.45	13726.21	13790.4	13821	14028	14352(3.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	4518	110	5320	2110	0	60%	-0.2	-12.6	2.9%	0	0.9	51	0

11	Oct_27_2004	13988.82	13988.47	13686.33	13627.2	13687.5	13800	13848(1.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	3198	70	3774	1470	0	58%	-0.26	-26.1	2.87%	0	-0.4	35	0
12	Oct_26_2004	14025.06	13995.62	13719.61	13617.6	13687.5	13614	13656(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	567	-10	681	226	0	56%	-0.25	-32	2.87%	0	-0.9	30	0
13	Oct_25_2004	14060.33	14009.25	13745.04	13593.6	13636.5	13575	13632(1.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1483	-20	-1727	-750	0	56%	-0.27	-37.7	2.9%	0	-1	28	0
14	Oct_22_2004	14099.02	14012.53	13778.06	13588.8	13663.5	13659	13464(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-973	10	-1125	-518	0	56%	-0.33	-44.6	2.9%	0	-1.5	31	0
15	Oct_21_2004	14145.31	14044.5	13847.95	13646.4	13707	13698	13536(-1.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-318	10	-355	-206	0	56%	-0.34	-42.4	2.92%	0	-1.4	40	0

16	Oct_20_2004	14193.06	14087.8	13950.22	13752	13791	13668	13800(1.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-1554	-50	-1813	-778	0	58%	-0.31	-23.8	2.92%	0	-0.8	42	0
17	Oct_19_2004	14237.12	14117.91	14029.56	13843.2	13887	13716	13536(-0.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3954	-80	-4640	-1894	0	58%	-0.05	-0.8	2.98%	0	-1.7	45	0
18	Oct_18_2004	14244.35	14154.5	14148.98	13920	14017.5	13914	13608(-1.05%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-2293	-30	-2691	-1098	0	58%	-0.41	16.8	2.98%	0	-1.8	48	0
19	Oct_15_2004	14302.49	14180.99	14243.5	13992	14044.5	14058	13752(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-849	20	-997	-403	0	58%	-0.41	28.1	2.99%	0	-1.5	56	0
20	Oct_14_2004	14361.38	14197.55	14295.77	14073.6	14038.5	14121	14064(-1.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	304	30	356	147	0	55%	-0.29	46.2	2.99%	0	-0.4	52	0

21	Oct_13_2004	14403.19	14170	14320.56	14179.2	14152.5	14031	14256(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-71	-70	-87	-24	0	55%	-0.3	49.8	3.05%	0	0.2	48	0
22	Oct_12_2004	14446	14120.63	14296.19	14256	14286	13956	13920(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-6047	-160	-7118	-2835	0	53%	-0.33	58.7	3.04%	0	-0.5	43	0
23	Oct_11_2004	14494	14102.31	14300.2	14419.2	14476.5	14274	13968(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-5947	-90	-7003	-2780	0	53%	-0.33	82.6	3.08%	0	-0.3	47	0
24	Oct_8_2004	14541.5	14100.38	14274.94	14529.6	14625	14616	14160(-2.96%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-662	20	-786	-291	0	53%	-0.32	96.9	3.15%	0	0.1	53	0
25	Oct_7_2004	14588.51	14051.19	14266.29	14539.2	14602.5	14679	14592(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1629	50	1909	788	0	53%		96.8	3.21%	0	1.1	61	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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