Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jun. 14, 2004

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $16008.0000 (-5.66%) ($15864.0000 - $16917.6000) on Mon. Jun. 14, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.92% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $16008.0000(-5.66%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -4.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWG(4%)    EWP(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -1.46% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.46% (StdDev 2.92%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -4%

Resistance Level   $18007.98
5 Day Moving Average   $16929.6(-5.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17516.35(-8.61%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18007.98(-11.11%)
To recent high   -27.3%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $273.026b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 4.54% (three month std-dev: 2.92%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040714

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_14_2004	19285.16	18007.98	17516.35	16929.6	17030.85	16802.7	16008(-5.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-8922	-80	-10467	-4285	0	43%	-0.27	-39.9	2.92%	0	-2.4	31	0
2	Jun_10_2004	19338.17	18118.66	17862	17212.8	17283	17262	16968(-1.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-853	0	-980	-470	0	47%	-0.14	-41.7	2.81%	0	-1.8	35	0
3	Jun_9_2004	19364.62	18188.56	17986.53	17419.2	17379	17259	17160(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2597	-60	-3035	-1283	0	47%	-0.18	-38.8	2.81%	0	-1.7	41	0
4	Jun_8_2004	19399.89	18265.64	18118.02	17630.4	17587.5	17304	17400(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-4915	-120	-5766	-2360	0	47%	-0.11	-32.9	2.81%	0	-1.6	46	0
5	Jun_7_2004	19420.5	18290.4	18240.5	17773.92	17802	17499	17112(-1.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-8566	-110	-10065	-4070	0	47%	0.01	-29.2	2.8%	0	-2.2	40	0

6	Jun_4_2004	19419.02	18340	18397.84	18201.12	18119.85	17871	17424(-3.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-5176	-110	-6085	-2450	0	47%	0.03	-4	2.81%	0	-2	43	0
7	Jun_3_2004	19412.59	18395.2	18536.4	18609.12	18298.35	18105	18000(-1.19%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-6385	-120	-7517	-2988	0	49%	0.06	19.6	2.79%	0	-1	53	0
8	Jun_2_2004	19400.96	18422.04	18582.97	18633.12	18557.85	18368.7	18216(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1951	-80	-2302	-899	0	46%	0.07	7.8	2.81%	0	-0.5	52	0
9	Jun_1_2004	19386.61	18447.84	18580.22	18671.52	18568.35	18491.7	18117.6(-5.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-3459	-50	-4075	-1611	0	46%	0.17	-3.6	2.86%	0	-0.8	47	0
10	May_28_2004	19354.6	18445.06	18622.84	18763.2	18531	18747	19248(-1.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	1343	40	1570	662	0	50%	0.1	-30.6	2.77%	0	1.8	65	0

11	May_27_2004	19335.26	18358.71	18533.06	18628.8	18556.5	18645	19464(7.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	6521	20	7662	3096	0	50%	0.11	-76	2.79%	0	2.7	64	0
12	May_26_2004	19313.71	18314.14	18378.52	18480	18394.5	18315	18120(-1.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-3385	-40	-3987	-1577	0	43%	0.05	-92.7	2.62%	0	-0.4	47	0
13	May_25_2004	19304.16	18390.34	18394.93	18532.8	18487.5	18468	18408(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	205	-10	235	113	0	48%	0.07	-75.6	2.62%	0	0	49	0
14	May_24_2004	19290.93	18463.2	18413.92	18470.4	18457.2	18474	18576(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-702	0	-830	-319	0	48%	0.07	-56.1	2.69%	0	0.1	47	0
15	May_21_2004	19276.48	18582.37	18334.54	18451.2	18476.7	18507	18576(-0.77%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1241	20	1457	593	0	48%	-0.04	-44.2	2.72%	0	-0	57	0

16	May_20_2004	19283.7	18677.24	18270.62	18417.6	18455.7	18440.4	18720(1.83%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	320	0	373	161	0	48%	0.1	-38.6	2.74%	0	0	62	0
17	May_19_2004	19265.15	18745.92	18234.55	18269.28	18412.2	18446.4	18384(1.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	103	40	121	47	0	48%	0.08	-42.9	2.76%	0	-0.3	47	0
18	May_18_2004	19249.06	18832.04	18241.99	18240.48	18360.15	18471	18096(-2.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1437	60	1695	661	0	52%	0.06	-47.1	2.79%	0	-0.7	38	0
19	May_17_2004	19238.18	18937.39	18303.6	18346.08	18357.15	18378	18480(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	2190	10	2583	1010	0	52%	0.06	-51.3	2.86%	0	-0.4	38	0
20	May_14_2004	19225.81	19005.32	18254.39	18197.28	18325.95	18249.3	18408(2.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	99	-10	135	-11	0	52%	-0.04	-62.2	2.86%	0	-0.6	32	0

21	May_13_2004	19234.33	19068.37	18171.06	18101.28	18168.45	18336.3	17978.4(-1.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-1063	80	-1220	-591	0	52%	0.06	-69.9	2.87%	0	-1	34	0
22	May_12_2004	19222.05	19201.19	18244.22	18192	18174.3	18402.6	18240(-2.06%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	5896	90	6970	2674	0	52%	0.04	-69.6	2.87%	0	-0.8	38	0
23	May_11_2004	19213.8	19349.9	18382.73	18244.8	18177.3	18000.6	18624(5.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	328	-80	420	52	0	52%	0.07	-66.6	2.87%	0	-0.6	40	0
24	May_10_2004	19200.3	19503.58	18505.37	18268.8	18228	17946	17736(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-8042	-110	-9425	-3892	0	48%	0.04	-62.2	2.79%	0	-1.4	33	0
25	May_7_2004	19192.05	19696.79	18840.95	18316.8	18424.35	18354	17928(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-1668	-10	-1931	-879	0	48%		-63	2.8%	0	-1.4	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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