Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 16, 2003

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $16104.0000 (-3.45%) ($15984.0000 - $16560.0000) on Tue. Dec. 16, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   13.66% (three month average)
RSI   22
Latest Price   $16104.0000(-3.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK declines -1.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -7.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWG(4%)    EWP(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -6.83% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    XLU(0%)    TIP(0%)    REMX(0%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -6.83% (StdDev 13.66%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.8%

Resistance Level   $18057.25
5 Day Moving Average   $16699.2(-3.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17136.33(-6.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $18057.25(-10.82%)
To recent high   -20.1%
To recent low   154.6%
Market Cap   $274.664b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 6.94% (three month std-dev: 13.66%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.96%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.17%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -2.27%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 7.8%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20040116

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_16_2003	12439.24	18057.25	17136.33	16699.2	16755	16680	16104(-3.45%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-1167	-20	-1363	-579	0	100%	0.65	-21.3	13.66%	0	-1.6	22	0
2	Dec_15_2003	12359.08	18129.85	17471.24	16876.8	16860	16989	16680(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	199	50	244	65	0	100%	0.78	-18.7	13.64%	0	-1.2	22	0
3	Dec_12_2003	12263.74	18190.26	17785.73	17097.6	17013	16830	16968(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-52	-90	-53	-50	0	100%	0.82	-15.3	13.64%	0	-1.1	34	0
4	Dec_11_2003	12163.62	18246.96	18032.12	17174.4	17202	16731	16920(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1796	-190	-2105	-868	0	100%	0.81	-14	13.64%	0	-1.2	46	0
5	Dec_10_2003	12066.4	18293.98	18263.48	17270.4	17383.5	17196	16824(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-2103	-60	-2468	-1009	0	96%	0.83	-12.8	13.64%	0	-1.4	48	0

6	Dec_9_2003	11967.37	18328.5	18564.68	17646.24	17709	17673	16992(-4.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-364	-0	-425	-182	0	96%	0.86	-5.4	13.67%	0	-1.3	53	0
7	Dec_8_2003	11864.83	18353.98	18886.03	18159.84	18070.95	17571	17784(2.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-1489	-210	-1752	-700	0	96%	0.97	5.5	13.65%	0	-0.5	57	0
8	Dec_5_2003	11751.39	18367.51	19047.71	18596.16	18576.45	17745	17352(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-3743	-320	-4406	-1753	0	96%	0.95	20.3	13.65%	0	-1	51	0
9	Dec_4_2003	11640.74	18404.16	19144.35	19023.36	19203.3	18570.9	17400(-6.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-3232	-200	-3807	-1507	0	96%	0.89	34.9	13.65%	0	-1	50	0
10	Dec_3_2003	11537.95	18433.08	19215.41	19383.36	19539.3	19407.9	18703.2(-4.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1591	-20	-1878	-729	0	96%	1.02	49.9	13.6%	0	0.3	60	0

11	Dec_2_2003	11421.51	18385.21	19087.13	19602.72	19676.85	19835.7	19560(-2.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	334	70	385	179	0	96%	1.07	60.4	13.58%	0	1.2	69	0
12	Dec_1_2003	11300.28	18296.51	18865.9	19722.72	19777.2	19670.7	19965.6(2.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	503	-30	583	261	0	96%	1.18	76.6	13.58%	0	1.7	73	0
13	Nov_28_2003	11168.79	18160.61	18633.02	19588.8	19768.35	19518	19488(1.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-733	-60	-870	-322	0	96%	1.59	84.1	13.58%	0	1.5	61	0
14	Nov_26_2003	10994.01	18057.44	18472.4	19291.2	19553.85	19883.7	19200(-3.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	416	160	483	216	0	96%	1.2	82.8	13.47%	0	1.3	60	0
15	Nov_25_2003	10864.08	17947.77	18314.69	19003.2	19112.85	20018.7	19800(-1.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	3708	350	4357	1762	0	96%	1.32	75.7	13.46%	0	2.2	66	0

16	Nov_24_2003	10722.65	17798.06	18049.53	18475.2	18484.5	19224	20160(4.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	4511	280	5304	2132	0	96%	0.9	61.7	13.46%	0	2.9	70	0
17	Nov_21_2003	10627.32	17583.7	17738.59	17889.6	17802	18207	19296(7.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.1	1983	140	2332	934	0	86%	1.4	45	13.61%	0	2.6	63	0
18	Nov_20_2003	10480.73	17432.42	17582.73	17563.2	17515.5	17745	18000(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	1099	80	1293	515	0	87%	1.28	31.2	13.6%	0	1.1	59	0
19	Nov_19_2003	10348.2	17372.24	17567.01	17548.8	17509.5	17397	17760(3.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	251	-50	295	117	0	87%	1.28	26.8	13.62%	0	0.7	54	0
20	Nov_18_2003	10217.73	17332.3	17567.23	17524.8	17560.5	17286	17160(-0.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1150	-100	-1353	-541	0	87%	1.26	15.4	13.62%	0	-0.3	54	0

21	Nov_17_2003	10090.92	17307.15	17626.15	17539.2	17614.5	17622	17232(-2.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-560	20	-659	-262	0	87%	1.27	15.9	13.63%	0	-0.1	57	0
22	Nov_14_2003	9963.97	17293.76	17693.36	17539.68	17559	17835	17664(-1.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	886	110	1040	422	0	87%	1.31	28.3	13.63%	0	0.7	73	0
23	Nov_13_2003	9834.95	17266.83	17665.99	17539.68	17466.15	17607	17928(1.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	971	30	1139	465	0	87%	1.4	49.4	13.63%	0	1.2	69	0
24	Nov_12_2003	9699.16	17233.48	17623.48	17597.28	17488.65	17283	17640(2.37%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-270	-100	-321	-117	0	88%	1.37	70.6	13.63%	0	0.7	60	0
25	Nov_11_2003	9568.09	17250.26	17569.1	17630.88	17563.65	17325.3	17232(-0.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-1383	-110	-1631	-640	0	88%		94.5	13.66%	0	-0	54	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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