Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 24, 2003

Trading Signals: OTRK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. May. 13, 2022)

(Catasys, Inc.)
OTRK latest price $6816.7400 (3.04%) ($6505.8000 - $7055.9300) on Wed. Sep. 24, 2003.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.61% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $6816.7400(3.04%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OTRK advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OTRK declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OTRK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XLY(6%)    EEM(5%)    EWI(5%)    EWG(4%)    EWP(4%)
Factors Impacting OTRK price   OTRK will decline at least -2.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-3%)    SHY(-2%)    XLU(0%)    LQD(-0%)    REMX(1%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.805% (StdDev 5.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $6686(-1.92%)
5 Day Moving Average   $6656.97(2.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $6691.39(1.87%)
20 Day Moving Average   $6799.58(0.25%)
To recent high   -20.3%
To recent low   52%
Market Cap   $116.264b

Ontrak, Inc. provides data analytics based specialized behavioral health management and integrated treatment services to health plans. It offers services through its platform OnTrak solution which is designed to improve member health and at the same time, lower costs to the insurer for underserved populations where behavioral health conditions cause or exacerbate co-existing medical conditions. The company was founded by Terren S. Peizer in February 2003 and is headquartered in Santa Monica, CA.

$. OTRK price fluctuates within 2.43% (three month std-dev: 5.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20031024

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_24_2003	5823.15	6799.58	6691.39	6656.97	6633.02	6660.08	6816.74(3.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	853	20	1010	382	0	66%	0.59	-48.1	5.61%	0	0.1	44	NAN
2	Sep_23_2003	5789.23	6786.09	6670.37	6609.13	6609.1	6561.42	6615.83(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-504	-50	-584	-265	0	66%	0.58	-69.2	5.63%	0	-1	40	NAN
3	Sep_22_2003	5756.13	6777.21	6706.98	6639.75	6644.08	6605.97	6601.48(0.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-545	-40	-632	-282	0	66%	0.54	-69.8	5.63%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
4	Sep_19_2003	5725.26	6778.69	6748.22	6661.27	6677.72	6656.79	6589.52(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-302	-10	-347	-165	0	66%	0.6	-64.4	5.63%	0	-1	40	NAN
5	Sep_18_2003	5691.33	6828.41	6798.21	6694.76	6700.14	6682.2	6661.27(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-226	-20	-260	-124	0	66%	0.61	-28.2	5.63%	0	-0.6	47	NAN

6	Sep_17_2003	5656.92	6880.07	6831.59	6730.64	6721.07	6698.65	6577.56(-2.83%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-130	-30	-149	-73	0	66%	0.61	-5.6	5.63%	0	-0.9	47	NAN
7	Sep_16_2003	5622.75	6910.25	6869.71	6737.81	6716.59	6718.08	6768.91(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-267	-10	-312	-132	0	66%	0.65	3.1	5.63%	0	-0.4	61	NAN
8	Sep_15_2003	5586.39	6916.17	6893.62	6785.65	6732.28	6743.49	6709.11(-0.71%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-4	-10	-6	3	0	66%	0.67	18.8	5.63%	0	-0.6	64	NAN
9	Sep_12_2003	5549.29	6907.29	6918.31	6850.23	6780.12	6715.09	6756.95(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-464	-100	-551	-204	0	66%	0.69	25.6	5.63%	0	-0.4	57	NAN
10	Sep_11_2003	5511.34	6905.23	6926.27	6919.59	6872.8	6721.07	6840.66(3.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-1278	-170	-1506	-592	0	66%	0.71	33	5.63%	0	-0.2	36	NAN

11	Sep_10_2003	5472.53	6898.45	6919.57	6950.69	6948.29	6845.15	6613.44(-5.63%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-1546	-100	-1819	-728	0	66%	0.66	31	5.63%	0	-0.8	30	NAN
12	Sep_9_2003	5436.9	6899.97	6917.65	6950.69	6990.15	7024.53	7008.09(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-258	20	-302	-125	0	69%	0.73	26.4	5.57%	0	0.3	49	NAN
13	Sep_8_2003	5397.48	6854.31	6858.35	7015.27	7001.36	7051.44	7032.01(-1.01%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	880	40	1039	404	0	69%	0.31	8.3	5.6%	0	0.4	54	NAN
14	Sep_5_2003	5380.63	6820.67	6814.49	6996.13	6966.98	6955.77	7103.76(1.54%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	220	-20	262	93	0	69%	0.77	-7.1	5.62%	0	0.7	61	NAN
15	Sep_4_2003	5339.57	6792.81	6857.41	6936.34	6925.87	6951.29	6996.13(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	42	20	50	17	0	70%	0.78	-24.4	5.66%	0	0.5	56	NAN

16	Sep_3_2003	5298.39	6791.52	6924.38	6886.11	6872.06	6978.19	6936.34(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	1069	100	1255	509	0	70%	0.77	-38.3	5.69%	0	0.4	56	NAN
17	Sep_2_2003	5257.71	6808.57	6945.89	6802.39	6764.42	6900.46	7008.09(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	1616	120	1898	768	0	70%	1.23	-54.1	5.68%	0	0.5	58	NAN
18	Aug_29_2003	5193.93	6821.84	6931.85	6675.62	6630.63	6765.92	6936.34(1.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	1189	120	1396	567	0	74%	0.78	-65.1	6.58%	0	0.2	65	NAN
19	Aug_28_2003	5153.9	6850.02	6888.91	6606.5	6554.39	6628.39	6804.78(0.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	620	60	728	296	0	74%	0.78	-61.3	6.6%	0	-0.1	58	NAN
20	Aug_27_2003	5114.12	6893.92	6879.06	6776.32	6614.26	6495.34	6744.99(3.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-917	-200	-1085	-414	0	75%	0.77	-42.9	6.6%	0	-0.3	54	NAN

21	Aug_26_2003	5075.19	6951.87	6875.61	6982.02	6875.87	6480.39	6517.76(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-2597	-450	-3065	-1194	0	75%	0.73	-24.1	6.63%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
22	Aug_25_2003	5038.58	7047.81	6888.86	7113.57	7130.75	6733.18	6374.25(-3.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-4041	-380	-4764	-1873	0	75%	0.7	-8.2	6.68%	0	-1	42	NAN
23	Aug_22_2003	5003.8	7135.75	6867.68	7211.64	7293.69	7271.34	6590.72(-13.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-1346	10	-1591	-612	0	76%	0.73	4.7	6.66%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
24	Aug_21_2003	4967.3	7171.13	6849.47	7185.09	7218.87	7528.32	7653.89(-1.54%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	2554	310	3002	1209	0	82%	0.96	8.5	6.4%	0	0.7	49	NAN
25	Aug_20_2003	4919.95	7139.25	6731.98	6988.96	6934.17	7316.04	7773.48(8.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	8457	360	9956	3960	0	82%		4.6	6.4%	0	1	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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