Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 25, 2017

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $40.3700 (7.14%) ($36.7100 - $42.1300) on Wed. Oct. 25, 2017.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.7% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $40.3700(7.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 4.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 14.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Broad based sell-off for large cap. Broad based sell-off for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBUY(11%)    KWEB(9%)    MCHI(9%)    ARKK(8%)    IBB(8%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.35% in a week (0% probabilities).
BNDX(-7%)    VCSH(-6%)    SHY(-6%)    PCY(-6%)    EMHY(-6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.35% (StdDev 4.7%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.71(9.97%)
10 Day Moving Average   $33.91(19.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $31.47(28.28%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   159.3%
Market Cap   $1.628b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 11.38% (three month std-dev: 4.7%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 17.71%(50%) Average negative next day return: -9.33%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 13.89%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 16.78%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_25_2017	21.03	31.47	33.91	36.71	36.88	38.17	40.37(7.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	90	260	52	202	5.59	78%	1.3	97.5	4.7%	0	2.5	75	INF
2	Oct_24_2017	20.76	30.83	32.66	35.23	35.26	35.92	37.68(9.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	56	130	21	159	3.24	77%	1.12	97.6	4.65%	0	2	69	INF
3	Oct_23_2017	20.53	30.09	31.62	34.3	34.43	35.58	34.32(-7.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	56	250	29	136	2.95	75%	1.03	90.2	4.53%	0	1.3	60	INF
4	Oct_20_2017	20.32	29.54	31.16	33.35	33.55	34.6	37.1(8.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	69	240	50	127	3.37	78%	1.14	78.8	4.41%	0	2.3	67	INF
5	Oct_19_2017	20.09	28.85	30.33	31.63	31.96	33.29	34.07(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	43	320	31	78	1.52	76%	1.06	69	4.34%	0	1.7	64	INF

6	Oct_18_2017	19.88	28.33	29.69	30.68	30.86	32.5	33(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.8	47	390	44	57	2.03	77%	0.96	61.7	4.34%	0	1.6	64	INF
7	Oct_17_2017	19.69	27.87	29.24	29.7	29.77	30.63	33(11.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	38	210	40	33	3.76	77%	0.72	52.6	4.36%	0	1.8	65	INF
8	Oct_16_2017	19.55	27.4	28.91	28.59	29.77	29.22	29.58(3.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	120	3	21	1.18	75%	0.83	44.6	4.17%	0	0.8	74	INF
9	Oct_13_2017	19.39	27.13	28.9	28.65	28.83	28.92	28.51(-2.66%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	40	2	54	1.03	76%	0.73	46.2	4.16%	0	0.5	71	INF
10	Oct_12_2017	19.25	26.92	28.95	28.81	28.99	28.45	29.29(4.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-110	1	87	1.26	76%	0.84	49.5	4.14%	0	0.9	71	INF

11	Oct_11_2017	19.09	26.66	28.87	28.55	28.97	28.74	28.12(2.52%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	16	-10	-12	100	0.84	73%	0.79	48.3	4.12%	0	0.6	69	INF
12	Oct_10_2017	18.94	26.48	28.9	28.69	29.04	29.53	27.43(-8.32%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	29	150	-6	132	5.25	73%	0.69	51.7	4.16%	0	0.4	67	INF
13	Oct_9_2017	18.81	26.3	28.52	29.25	29.11	29.2	29.92(2.15%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	48	10	9	163	0.7	78%	0.86	58.7	4.01%	0	1.4	76	INF
14	Oct_6_2017	18.65	25.98	27.87	29.19	29.12	28.55	29.29(4.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	35	-140	-6	156	0.82	79%	0.81	60.2	4.02%	0	1.3	74	INF
15	Oct_5_2017	18.5	25.67	27.33	29.13	29.27	29.03	27.97(-3.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	31	-40	-11	157	0.73	78%	0.82	66.1	4.01%	0	0.9	71	INF

16	Oct_4_2017	18.35	25.45	26.93	29.22	29.45	29.69	28.85(-4.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	48	80	6	173	0.82	78%	0.82	73.9	3.98%	0	1.4	76	INF
17	Oct_3_2017	18.2	25.18	26.43	29.1	29.16	29.52	30.22(1.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	74	90	37	185	0.88	81%	0.89	82.6	3.95%	0	2.1	79	INF
18	Oct_2_2017	18.04	24.81	25.78	27.64	28.3	29.21	29.63(2.17%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	67	300	42	140	1.2	81%	0.78	78.3	3.95%	0	2.3	81	INF
19	Sep_29_2017	17.9	24.51	25.19	26.33	26.76	28.8	29(2.08%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.5	63	580	50	100	2.34	81%	0.85	82.1	3.95%	0	2.5	78	INF
20	Sep_28_2017	17.75	24.12	24.67	25.26	25.29	27.39	28.41(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	2	66	580	63	74	2.06	81%	0.74	80.7	3.95%	0	2.8	78	INF

21	Sep_27_2017	17.62	23.75	24.19	24.32	24.1	24.71	28.26(23.46%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3	41	150	43	36	2.91	81%	0.8	83.5	3.95%	0	3.4	74	INF
22	Sep_26_2017	17.48	23.37	23.76	23.43	23.46	23.19	22.89(-0.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-15	-80	-14	-17	0.33	76%	0.46	96.9	2.77%	0	-0.5	42	INF
23	Sep_25_2017	17.4	23.27	23.85	23.65	23.67	23.49	23.09(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-50	-12	-2	0.43	76%	0.46	94.9	2.77%	0	-0.2	51	INF
24	Sep_22_2017	17.32	23.14	23.93	23.84	23.85	23.73	23.63(-0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-30	-7	8	0.56	76%	0.52	89.7	2.75%	0	0.4	46	INF
25	Sep_21_2017	17.23	22.93	23.9	23.95	23.97	23.84	23.72(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	4	-40	-5	30	0.15	76%		80.7	2.75%	0	0.5	70	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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