Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 27, 2015

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $24.4800 (-2.78%) ($24.0900 - $25.1800) on Mon. Apr. 27, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $24.4800(-2.78%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stocks sell-off for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
IBB(11%)    XBI(11%)    DIA(9%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    BND(-6%)    PCY(-5%)    LQD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $24.38(0.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $24.19(1.2%)
20 Day Moving Average   $24.05(1.79%)
To recent high   -2.8%
To recent low   17.6%
Market Cap   $987m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -2.05%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -2.72%(100%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -4%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20150527

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_27_2015	23.2	24.05	24.19	24.38	24.39	24.8	24.48(-2.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	14	120	14	13	0.43	56%	-0.04	76.5	2.22%	0	0.9	53	INF
2	Apr_24_2015	23.21	23.99	24.15	24.27	24.2	24.47	25.18(2.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	26	70	27	22	0.23	62%	0.04	74.5	2.21%	0	2.4	69	INF
3	Apr_23_2015	23.2	23.86	24.04	23.95	23.94	23.97	24.58(4.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	10	7	-0	0.21	60%	-0.04	50.5	2.21%	0	1.4	59	INF
4	Apr_22_2015	23.21	23.76	24.02	23.81	23.85	23.94	23.54(-2.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-6	30	-7	-4	0.12	59%	-0.04	38.8	2.15%	0	-0.4	53	INF
5	Apr_21_2015	23.22	23.75	24.02	23.81	23.91	23.92	24.1(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	-10	3	19	0.1	58%	0	44.4	2.16%	0	0.6	56	INF

6	Apr_20_2015	23.22	23.68	24.12	23.98	23.96	23.76	23.93(1.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-60	-5	24	0.08	58%	0	36.3	2.2%	0	0.4	57	INF
7	Apr_17_2015	23.22	23.63	24.05	24.01	24.01	23.9	23.58(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-30	-12	21	0.12	58%	0	34.1	2.22%	0	-0.1	55	INF
8	Apr_16_2015	23.22	23.61	24.07	24.13	24.13	24.17	23.92(-1.77%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	7	10	-5	43	0.11	58%	-0.04	36.1	2.23%	0	0.5	68	INF
9	Apr_15_2015	23.23	23.56	24.03	24.26	24.21	24.13	24.35(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	16	-30	-0	63	0.07	53%	0	40.1	2.23%	0	1.3	72	INF
10	Apr_14_2015	23.23	23.51	23.96	24.28	24.26	24.08	24.14(0.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-50	-5	68	0.07	53%	0	45.9	2.3%	0	1.1	62	INF

11	Apr_13_2015	23.23	23.47	23.9	24.29	24.3	24.29	24.08(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	25	-0	6	82	0.08	53%	-0.04	52.6	2.3%	0	1.1	65	INF
12	Apr_10_2015	23.24	23.42	23.83	24.09	24.17	24.44	24.18(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	28	90	11	79	0.1	53%	0	48.6	2.29%	0	1.3	65	INF
13	Apr_9_2015	23.24	23.39	23.67	23.98	23.88	24.3	24.56(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	32	110	19	71	0.09	53%	0.09	54.5	2.3%	0	2.2	65	INF
14	Apr_8_2015	23.22	23.31	23.48	23.77	23.65	23.9	24.46(1.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	28	60	18	57	0.1	53%	0.09	58.4	2.3%	0	2.4	66	INF
15	Apr_7_2015	23.2	23.23	23.34	23.6	23.45	23.46	24.15(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	15	-20	6	40	0.12	53%	0.04	67.9	2.3%	0	2.4	56	INF

16	Apr_6_2015	23.19	23.17	23.19	23.47	23.45	23.41	23.11(-2.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1.1	3	-10	-3	20	0.08	49%	-0.04	66.2	2.24%	0	-0.2	44	INF
17	Apr_2_2015	23.2	23.15	23.17	23.52	23.42	23.45	23.62(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	14	-0	10	26	0.06	49%	-0.04	68.8	2.22%	0	1.3	56	INF
18	Apr_1_2015	23.21	23.1	23.11	23.31	23.28	23.43	23.49(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	10	40	10	8	0.1	49%	0	46.7	2.25%	0	1	48	INF
19	Mar_31_2015	23.21	23.04	23.05	23.14	23.08	23.38	23.65(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	8	80	12	-5	0.11	49%	0	29.8	2.27%	0	1.5	55	INF
20	Mar_30_2015	23.21	22.97	23.05	23.03	22.91	23.13	23.47(0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	9	50	14	-8	0.1	49%	0	27.1	2.28%	0	1.3	54	INF

21	Mar_27_2015	23.21	22.96	23.01	22.89	22.81	22.78	23.37(3.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	2	-20	7	-14	0.12	49%	0	26.3	2.29%	0	1	54	INF
22	Mar_26_2015	23.21	22.9	22.98	22.78	22.73	22.69	22.55(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-13	-20	-9	-23	0.07	45%	0	36.5	2.26%	0	-0.9	52	INF
23	Mar_25_2015	23.21	22.9	23.08	22.89	22.84	22.83	22.64(-1.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-1	-10	-1	-2	0.08	45%	-0.04	64.1	2.26%	0	-0.7	54	INF
24	Mar_24_2015	23.22	22.92	23.08	22.93	22.87	22.78	23.1(1.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-1	-40	-4	8	0.06	45%	0	74.5	2.26%	0	0.4	63	INF
25	Mar_23_2015	23.22	22.87	23.13	22.99	22.9	22.84	22.77(-0.26%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-4	-30	-11	17	0.08	45%		74	2.26%	0	-0.2	59	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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