Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jan. 16, 2015

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.4100 (1.91%) ($21.8100 - $22.4500) on Fri. Jan. 16, 2015.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.77% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $22.4100(1.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -1.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Value stock rally for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(12%)    IBB(11%)    DIA(10%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    BND(-6%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.385% (StdDev 2.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.23(-18.65%)
Resistance Level   $23.23
5 Day Moving Average   $22.72(-1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $22.79(-1.67%)
20 Day Moving Average   $23.23(-3.53%)
To recent high   -15.1%
To recent low   33.9%
Market Cap   $904m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 2.41% (three month std-dev: 2.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.09%(33%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.38%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.94%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_16_2015	21.04	23.23	22.79	22.72	22.63	22.28	22.41(1.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-18	-120	-12	-37	0.13	72%	0.29	-107.1	2.77%	0	-1.5	40	INF
2	Jan_15_2015	20.98	23.41	22.85	22.82	22.88	22.6	21.99(-4.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-21	-80	-15	-39	0.13	72%	0.24	-92.2	2.77%	0	-2.4	34	INF
3	Jan_14_2015	20.93	23.56	23.02	23.02	23.01	22.98	22.97(-0.04%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-10	-10	-4	-28	0.08	76%	0.24	-71	2.7%	0	-0.7	38	INF
4	Jan_13_2015	20.88	23.66	23.04	23	23.1	23.16	22.98(-1.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-4	30	6	-33	0.14	77%	0.29	-69.1	2.72%	0	-0.8	36	INF
5	Jan_12_2015	20.82	23.76	23.1	22.91	23.03	23.03	23.25(1.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-9	20	2	-43	0.12	77%	0.34	-69.9	2.73%	0	-0.6	40	INF

6	Jan_9_2015	20.75	23.85	23.12	22.87	22.92	23.05	22.9(-0.43%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-15	50	-1	-55	0.11	72%	0.29	-67.1	2.76%	0	-1	31	INF
7	Jan_8_2015	20.69	23.97	23.2	22.89	22.96	23.03	23(0.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-19	30	-1	-71	0.16	74%	0.29	-66.6	2.9%	0	-1	23	INF
8	Jan_7_2015	20.63	24.14	23.29	23.03	23.03	22.79	22.88(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-70	-5	-74	0.15	71%	0.34	-52.8	2.94%	0	-1.3	34	INF
9	Jan_6_2015	20.56	24.26	23.42	23.08	23.16	22.9	22.52(-2.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-70	-15	-82	0.13	71%	0.29	-40.2	2.98%	0	-1.7	32	INF
10	Jan_5_2015	20.5	24.4	23.57	23.32	23.37	23.26	23.05(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-23	-30	-6	-75	0.23	71%	0.34	-33.3	2.98%	0	-1.4	35	INF

11	Jan_2_2015	20.43	24.48	23.72	23.41	23.49	23.42	23(-2.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-23	-10	-5	-77	0.11	71%	0.49	-32.6	2.98%	0	-1.6	33	INF
12	Dec_31_2014	20.33	24.62	24.01	23.55	23.53	23.48	23.69(2.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-20	-4	-68	0.14	71%	0.3	-25.2	2.94%	0	-1.1	35	INF
13	Dec_30_2014	20.27	24.66	24.15	23.6	23.65	23.55	23.16(-2.32%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-25	-20	-8	-76	0.1	68%	0.3	-26.7	2.97%	0	-1.8	24	INF
14	Dec_29_2014	20.21	24.69	24.34	23.8	23.8	23.59	23.71(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-22	-60	-6	-70	0.17	68%	0.35	-25.6	2.99%	0	-1.2	39	INF
15	Dec_26_2014	20.14	24.73	24.46	23.87	23.95	23.74	23.5(-0.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-50	-12	-71	0.12	68%	0.5	-23.8	3%	0	-1.6	41	INF

16	Dec_24_2014	20.04	24.79	24.64	24.07	24.12	24.02	23.67(-1.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-31	-20	-20	-63	0.08	68%	0.4	-6	2.98%	0	-1.5	45	INF
17	Dec_23_2014	19.96	24.84	24.82	24.56	24.52	24.15	23.98(-0.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-18	-110	-11	-40	0.17	70%	0.4	20.6	2.98%	0	-1.2	41	INF
18	Dec_22_2014	19.88	24.89	25.05	24.78	24.88	24.22	24.16(0.5%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-170	-18	-19	0.16	68%	0.4	42	3%	0	-1.1	51	INF
19	Dec_19_2014	19.8	24.9	25.18	24.95	25.13	24.89	24.04(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-13	-50	-17	1	0.3	65%	0.41	54.7	3.04%	0	-1.3	56	INF
20	Dec_18_2014	19.72	24.92	25.3	25.13	25.29	25.54	24.52(-6.02%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.9	6	90	1	22	0.32	65%	0.46	67.8	3.07%	0	-0.6	54	INF

21	Dec_17_2014	19.63	24.84	25.33	25.26	25.29	25.36	26.09(3.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	50	9	33	0.13	69%	0.51	51.5	2.96%	0	1.5	59	INF
22	Dec_16_2014	19.53	24.7	25.26	25.13	25.15	25.04	25.11(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	2	-30	-7	30	0.23	68%	0.46	44.3	2.93%	0	0.5	56	INF
23	Dec_15_2014	19.44	24.61	25.2	25.39	25.33	24.95	24.99(0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	3	-110	-9	39	0.21	68%	0.47	48.6	2.93%	0	0.4	52	INF
24	Dec_12_2014	19.35	24.55	25.08	25.46	25.49	25.26	24.92(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-60	-9	37	0.15	68%	0.52	51.5	2.94%	0	0.4	55	INF
25	Dec_11_2014	19.25	24.49	25.02	25.48	25.56	25.71	25.21(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	14	50	3	45	0.18	68%		54.8	2.94%	0	0.8	58	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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