Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Oct. 24, 2014

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $20.7900 (9.25%) ($18.9000 - $20.8300) on Fri. Oct. 24, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.71% (three month average)
RSI   76
Latest Price   $20.7900(9.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 4.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 9.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(12%)    DIA(10%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)    VWO(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.355% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-5%)    LQD(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.355% (StdDev 2.71%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 10%

5 Day Moving Average   $18.5(12.38%)
10 Day Moving Average   $17.64(17.86%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.82(23.6%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   38.7%
Market Cap   $839m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 7.49% (three month std-dev: 2.71%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 4 Average positive next day return: 7.58%(25%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(75%) Sample size 4 Average positive next three day return: 2.86%(75%) Average negative next three day return: -7.1%(25%) Sample size 4 Average positive next weekly return: 6.76%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.87%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_24_2014	16.28	16.82	17.64	18.5	18.44	19.22	20.79(9.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.8	102	290	59	231	0.74	73%	0.37	34.6	2.71%	0	3.2	76	INF
2	Oct_23_2014	16.22	16.61	17.1	17.73	17.79	18.17	19.03(8.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	56	160	29	138	0.59	70%	0.25	25.1	3.14%	0	2.7	68	INF
3	Oct_22_2014	16.18	16.5	16.69	17.27	17.39	17.66	17.55(-0.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	130	13	98	0.29	67%	0.19	9.9	2.99%	0	1.4	62	INF
4	Oct_21_2014	16.15	16.49	16.54	17.12	17.1	17.41	17.62(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	120	16	90	0.16	67%	0.19	2.5	2.99%	0	1.6	63	INF
5	Oct_20_2014	16.12	16.45	16.3	16.91	16.84	17.12	17.5(3.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	31	100	19	66	0.21	67%	0.19	-10.4	2.99%	0	1.5	57	INF

6	Oct_17_2014	16.09	16.45	16.13	16.63	16.63	16.79	16.95(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	70	18	32	0.25	65%	0.12	-31.2	2.97%	0	0.9	47	INF
7	Oct_16_2014	16.07	16.39	16.04	16.37	16.34	16.55	16.74(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	80	19	2	0.16	65%	0.12	-45.7	2.98%	0	0.5	45	INF
8	Oct_15_2014	16.05	16.43	15.96	16.02	16.02	16.47	16.78(1.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	2	200	14	-36	0.26	65%	0.06	-57.9	2.98%	0	0.5	46	INF
9	Oct_14_2014	16.04	16.47	15.87	15.87	15.78	16.14	16.58(2.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	140	23	-60	0.23	67%	0	-61	2.99%	0	0.1	41	INF
10	Oct_13_2014	16.04	16.52	15.84	15.61	15.57	15.57	16.1(3.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-18	-10	6	-91	0.19	67%	0.06	-66.3	2.99%	0	-0.5	42	INF

11	Oct_10_2014	16.03	16.6	15.93	15.56	15.48	15.42	15.63(4.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-30	-40	-8	-96	0.32	62%	0.06	-66.8	2.99%	0	-1.1	44	INF
12	Oct_9_2014	16.02	16.71	16.08	15.66	15.66	15.56	14.99(-6.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-31	-40	-11	-90	0.34	60%	-0.06	-62.8	2.97%	0	-2	34	INF
13	Oct_8_2014	16.03	16.87	16.3	15.88	15.83	15.54	16.03(4.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-25	-140	-5	-83	0.25	63%	0.06	-59	2.86%	0	-1	35	INF
14	Oct_7_2014	16.02	16.97	16.44	15.87	15.95	15.75	15.32(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-37	-70	-18	-93	0.23	55%	0	-59.4	2.84%	0	-2.1	26	INF
15	Oct_6_2014	16.02	17.09	16.62	16.1	16.12	16.12	15.83(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-30	0	-13	-82	0.16	58%	0	-60.2	2.89%	0	-1.8	29	INF

16	Oct_3_2014	16.02	17.2	16.7	16.35	16.33	16.14	16.15(0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	-90	-11	-79	0.17	58%	0.06	-50.5	2.9%	0	-1.6	32	INF
17	Oct_2_2014	16.01	17.29	16.79	16.57	16.54	16.11	16.06(0.31%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-34	-190	-19	-80	0.11	58%	0.06	-40.5	2.9%	0	-2	28	INF
18	Oct_1_2014	16	17.36	16.95	16.78	16.83	16.52	16.01(-2.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-35	-120	-23	-72	0.18	60%	0	-34.1	2.91%	0	-2.5	27	INF
19	Sep_30_2014	16	17.45	17.13	17.08	17.1	16.97	16.46(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-19	-50	-9	-49	0.18	60%	0.06	-23.5	2.93%	0	-2.2	33	INF
20	Sep_29_2014	15.99	17.53	17.26	17.2	17.2	17.13	17.09(-0.7%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-6	-30	4	-36	0.14	64%	0.13	-7.7	2.9%	0	-1.1	43	INF

21	Sep_26_2014	15.97	17.53	17.32	17.08	17.15	17.23	17.21(0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	40	2	-48	0.17	64%	0.19	-13.2	2.89%	0	-0.8	40	INF
22	Sep_25_2014	15.94	17.54	17.39	17.04	17.01	17.27	17.15(-1.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-14	100	-1	-52	0.11	64%	0.19	-14.5	2.9%	0	-1	42	INF
23	Sep_24_2014	15.91	17.55	17.48	17.15	17.04	17.08	17.49(2.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-8	-0	2	-38	0.19	64%	0.19	0.9	2.89%	0	-0.2	52	INF
24	Sep_23_2014	15.88	17.55	17.52	17.21	17.17	16.75	17.08(3.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-180	-12	-37	0.18	64%	0.13	17.1	2.89%	0	-1.2	45	INF
25	Sep_22_2014	15.86	17.56	17.58	17.34	17.39	17.01	16.48(-3.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-27	-140	-23	-37	0.27	62%		32	2.86%	0	-2.7	31	INF
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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