Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Mar. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $21.6000 (3.25%) ($20.8500 - $22.0900) on Fri. Mar. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.2% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $21.6000(3.25%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 4.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(13%)    EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    VWO(10%)    IWM(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.1% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.1% (StdDev 4.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.96(3.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.71(4.3%)
20 Day Moving Average   $19.8(9.09%)
To recent high   -28.2%
To recent low   19.1%
Market Cap   $871m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 5.86% (three month std-dev: 4.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 18 Average positive next day return: 2.52%(56%) Average negative next day return: -1.5%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next three day return: 4.17%(56%) Average negative next three day return: -4.27%(44%) Sample size 18 Average positive next weekly return: 5.68%(44%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.87%(56%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140414

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_14_2014	24.31	19.8	20.71	20.96	20.96	21.24	21.6(3.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	22	90	9	62	0.47	42%	-0.08	56	4.2%	0	1.6	70	NAN
2	Mar_13_2014	24.33	19.62	20.47	20.8	20.81	20.92	20.92(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	17	40	2	61	0.34	42%	-0.12	51	4.21%	0	1.2	69	NAN
3	Mar_12_2014	24.36	19.48	20.38	20.82	20.82	20.68	21.09(2.93%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	23	-50	5	77	0.24	46%	-0.12	49	4.21%	0	1.4	70	NAN
4	Mar_11_2014	24.39	19.35	20.27	20.62	20.77	20.7	20.49(-0.97%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	16	-0	-5	78	0.2	46%	-0.16	45	4.3%	0	1.1	69	NAN
5	Mar_10_2014	24.43	19.25	20.1	20.72	20.78	20.96	20.69(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	31	70	10	93	0.16	46%	-0.2	42.4	4.3%	0	1.4	67	NAN

6	Mar_7_2014	24.48	19.17	19.89	20.4	20.63	20.84	20.83(-0.81%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	110	14	86	0.45	46%	-0.2	29.2	4.28%	0	1.7	69	NAN
7	Mar_6_2014	24.53	19.06	19.64	20.07	20.1	20.61	21(4.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	180	8	72	0.32	46%	-0.33	7.8	4.31%	0	2.2	71	NAN
8	Mar_5_2014	24.61	18.95	19.36	19.88	19.9	20.43	20.09(-4.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	26	190	11	69	0.33	43%	-0.36	-47.3	4.28%	0	1.5	67	NAN
9	Mar_4_2014	24.7	18.88	19.17	19.87	19.81	19.59	20.98(9.96%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	29	-90	15	70	0.55	43%	-0.32	-103.9	4.26%	0	2.9	69	NAN
10	Mar_3_2014	24.78	18.82	18.9	19.42	19.63	19.37	19.08(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	8	-60	-4	45	0.21	37%	-0.4	-182.6	4.05%	0	0.4	56	NAN

11	Feb_28_2014	24.88	18.89	18.81	19.29	19.51	20.03	19.2(-4.33%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	17	220	9	39	0.39	36%	-0.36	-199.7	4%	0	0.4	49	NAN
12	Feb_27_2014	24.97	18.99	18.71	19.11	19.18	19.89	20.07(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	27	270	25	33	0.67	38%	-0.28	-188.6	4%	0	1.1	62	NAN
13	Feb_26_2014	25.04	19.32	18.51	18.75	18.67	18.99	20.01(6.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	16	110	19	8	0.43	38%	-0.32	-90.4	4%	0	0.3	60	NAN
14	Feb_25_2014	25.12	19.67	18.34	18.38	18.36	18.47	18.74(1.63%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	40	4	-18	0.17	33%	-0.4	-72.5	3.9%	0	-0.3	46	NAN
15	Feb_24_2014	25.22	20.07	18.32	18.32	18.36	18.34	18.44(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-6	10	3	-33	0.2	33%	-0.43	-64.5	3.9%	0	-0.5	26	NAN

16	Feb_21_2014	25.33	20.49	18.38	18.27	18.29	18.34	18.3(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-11	-20	1	-47	0.26	36%	-0.47	-61	3.9%	0	-0.6	22	NAN
17	Feb_20_2014	25.45	20.97	18.43	18.23	18.26	18.24	18.27(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	-0	-1	-68	0.21	36%	-0.47	-56.7	3.96%	0	-0.7	17	NAN
18	Feb_19_2014	25.57	21.46	18.5	18.21	18.25	18.34	18.13(-1.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0	-34	40	-2	-128	0.25	36%	-0.47	-54.3	3.96%	0	-0.8	7	NAN
19	Feb_18_2014	25.69	21.95	18.58	18.29	18.28	18.28	18.46(1.54%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	0	-45	-0	-0	-180	0.29	36%	-0.54	-51.5	3.96%	0	-0.8	7	NAN
20	Feb_14_2014	25.83	22.42	18.74	18.33	18.34	18.16	18.18(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-70	-8	-222	0.36	39%	-0.46	-50.8	3.98%	0	-1	9	NAN

21	Feb_13_2014	25.95	22.94	18.97	18.52	18.49	18.28	18.13(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-69	-80	-8	-253	0.23	39%	-0.42	-49.5	3.98%	0	-1.1	9	NAN
22	Feb_12_2014	26.06	23.44	19.3	18.66	18.7	18.52	18.15(-2.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-76	-60	-8	-281	0.28	39%	-0.38	-50.8	4%	0	-1.2	8	NAN
23	Feb_11_2014	26.16	23.98	20.19	18.83	18.7	18.7	18.55(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-71	-50	-4	-272	0.28	39%	-0.38	-50.2	4.01%	0	-1.2	8	NAN
24	Feb_10_2014	26.26	24.41	21.07	18.89	18.83	18.87	18.62(-2.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-76	10	-11	-270	0.32	39%	-0.34	-53.6	4.01%	0	-1.4	12	NAN
25	Feb_7_2014	26.35	24.89	21.92	19.21	19.05	18.96	19.15(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-69	-60	-7	-254	0.28	42%		-55.1	4.08%	0	-1.4	14	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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