Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Feb. 14, 2014

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $18.1800 (0.28%) ($17.9700 - $18.4800) on Fri. Feb. 14, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.98% (three month average)
RSI   9
Latest Price   $18.1800(0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -14.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(13%)    EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.99% in a week (0% probabilities).
XLF(-8%)    SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.99% (StdDev 3.98%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-14.4(-179.21%)
Resistance Level   $22.42
5 Day Moving Average   $18.33(-0.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $18.74(-2.99%)
20 Day Moving Average   $22.42(-18.91%)
To recent high   -39.6%
To recent low   0.3%
Market Cap   $733m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 19.58% (three month std-dev: 3.98%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 5.31%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.78%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 6.16%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.62%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 21.58%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.97%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_14_2014	25.83	22.42	18.74	18.33	18.34	18.16	18.18(0.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-62	-70	-8	-222	0.36	39%	-0.46	-50.8	3.98%	0	-1	9	NAN
2	Feb_13_2014	25.95	22.94	18.97	18.52	18.49	18.28	18.13(-0.11%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-69	-80	-8	-253	0.23	39%	-0.42	-49.5	3.98%	0	-1.1	9	NAN
3	Feb_12_2014	26.06	23.44	19.3	18.66	18.7	18.52	18.15(-2.16%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-76	-60	-8	-281	0.28	39%	-0.38	-50.8	4%	0	-1.2	8	NAN
4	Feb_11_2014	26.16	23.98	20.19	18.83	18.7	18.7	18.55(-0.38%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-71	-50	-4	-272	0.28	39%	-0.38	-50.2	4.01%	0	-1.2	8	NAN
5	Feb_10_2014	26.26	24.41	21.07	18.89	18.83	18.87	18.62(-2.77%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.1	-76	10	-11	-270	0.32	39%	-0.34	-53.6	4.01%	0	-1.4	12	NAN

6	Feb_7_2014	26.35	24.89	21.92	19.21	19.05	18.96	19.15(1.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-69	-60	-7	-254	0.28	42%	-0.34	-55.1	4.08%	0	-1.4	14	NAN
7	Feb_6_2014	26.44	25.39	22.73	19.5	19.34	18.8	18.85(-0.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-80	-220	-21	-255	0.4	42%	-0.38	-56.6	4.08%	0	-1.7	11	NAN
8	Feb_5_2014	26.54	25.92	23.68	20.05	19.85	19.13	18.97(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-107	-280	-59	-251	0.47	42%	-0.34	-58.8	4.09%	0	-1.9	17	NAN
9	Feb_4_2014	26.63	26.39	24.65	21.81	21.24	19.89	18.87(-6.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-97	-520	-61	-206	0.73	42%	-0.37	-55.7	4.1%	0	-2.4	15	NAN
10	Feb_3_2014	26.73	26.89	25.63	23.62	23.28	20.58	20.23(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-89	-860	-67	-155	0.74	45%	-0.26	-53	4.01%	0	-2.5	32	NAN

11	Jan_31_2014	26.8	27.31	26.44	25.04	25.11	22.58	20.56(-4.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-90	-700	-80	-120	0.9	45%	-0.22	-53.1	4.01%	0	-3.1	30	NAN
12	Jan_30_2014	26.86	27.75	27.32	26.42	26.65	25.98	21.6(-22.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.1	-56	-150	-52	-69	2.33	46%	-0.26	-53	3.96%	0	-4	30	NAN
13	Jan_29_2014	26.93	28.2	28.03	27.77	27.58	27.63	27.78(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10	0	-20	0.3	58%	-0.04	-75.1	2.79%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
14	Jan_28_2014	26.94	28.3	28.14	27.93	27.71	27.32	27.91(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-120	-8	-8	0.28	56%	0	-53.1	2.79%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
15	Jan_27_2014	26.94	28.38	28.04	27.99	27.94	27.53	27.37(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-110	-17	-18	0.21	56%	0	-39.6	2.83%	0	-1.2	49	NAN

16	Jan_24_2014	26.94	28.51	28.09	28.1	28.27	28.11	27.45(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-20	-13	-13	0.18	56%	0	-19.8	2.85%	0	-1.3	50	NAN
17	Jan_23_2014	26.94	28.6	28.22	28.38	28.27	28.35	28.33(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1	-10	0	3	0.2	58%	0	3	2.81%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
18	Jan_22_2014	26.94	28.66	28.28	28.31	28.41	28.43	28.6(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	20	-3	-8	0.22	58%	0.04	14.5	2.84%	0	-0.1	44	NAN
19	Jan_21_2014	26.93	28.69	28.2	28.38	28.44	28.47	28.18(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	10	10	-14	0.36	55%	0.04	31	2.84%	0	-0.6	43	NAN
20	Jan_17_2014	26.92	28.71	28.19	28.1	28.32	28.38	27.95(-3.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	40	3	-39	0.25	48%	-0.04	29.7	2.87%	0	-0.8	43	NAN

21	Jan_16_2014	26.93	28.68	28.2	28.06	28.03	28.41	28.86(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	90	3	-49	0.2	50%	0.04	40.4	3.22%	0	0.2	44	NAN
22	Jan_15_2014	26.92	28.57	28.18	28.04	28.02	28.25	27.98(-3.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	60	4	-51	0.14	50%	0	44.4	3.2%	0	-0.6	47	NAN
23	Jan_14_2014	26.92	28.53	28.38	28.26	28.13	27.64	28.95(8.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-140	2	-44	0.3	52%	-0.07	55.7	3.17%	0	0.4	47	NAN
24	Jan_13_2014	26.94	28.42	28.44	28.03	28.28	27.78	26.74(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	-100	-22	-62	0.36	47%	-0.11	52.3	2.99%	0	-1.5	38	NAN
25	Jan_10_2014	26.97	28.44	28.74	28.29	28.45	28.61	27.76(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	60	-3	-38	0.18	49%		66.3	2.96%	0	-0.6	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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