Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Feb. 5, 2014

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $18.9700 (0.53%) ($17.8200 - $19.1600) on Wed. Feb. 5, 2014.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.09% (three month average)
RSI   17
Latest Price   $18.9700(0.53%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK declines -8.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -15.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
XBI(13%)    VWO(10%)    EEM(9%)    FXI(9%)    IWM(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.045% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.045% (StdDev 4.09%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $-1.38(-107.27%)
Resistance Level   $25.92
5 Day Moving Average   $20.05(-5.39%)
10 Day Moving Average   $23.68(-19.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.92(-26.81%)
To recent high   -37%
To recent low   0.5%
Market Cap   $765m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 13.77% (three month std-dev: 4.09%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 11.84%(40%) Average negative next day return: -6.71%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 10.43%(40%) Average negative next three day return: -3.82%(60%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 4.55%(20%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.14%(80%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140305

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_5_2014	26.54	25.92	23.68	20.05	19.85	19.13	18.97(0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-107	-280	-59	-251	0.47	42%	-0.34	-58.8	4.09%	0	-1.9	17	NAN
2	Feb_4_2014	26.63	26.39	24.65	21.81	21.24	19.89	18.87(-6.72%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-97	-520	-61	-206	0.73	42%	-0.37	-55.7	4.1%	0	-2.4	15	NAN
3	Feb_3_2014	26.73	26.89	25.63	23.62	23.28	20.58	20.23(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-89	-860	-67	-155	0.74	45%	-0.26	-53	4.01%	0	-2.5	32	NAN
4	Jan_31_2014	26.8	27.31	26.44	25.04	25.11	22.58	20.56(-4.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-90	-700	-80	-120	0.9	45%	-0.22	-53.1	4.01%	0	-3.1	30	NAN
5	Jan_30_2014	26.86	27.75	27.32	26.42	26.65	25.98	21.6(-22.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-3.1	-56	-150	-52	-69	2.33	46%	-0.26	-53	3.96%	0	-4	30	NAN

6	Jan_29_2014	26.93	28.2	28.03	27.77	27.58	27.63	27.78(-0.47%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-5	-10	0	-20	0.3	58%	-0.04	-75.1	2.79%	0	-0.7	44	NAN
7	Jan_28_2014	26.94	28.3	28.14	27.93	27.71	27.32	27.91(1.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-8	-120	-8	-8	0.28	56%	0	-53.1	2.79%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
8	Jan_27_2014	26.94	28.38	28.04	27.99	27.94	27.53	27.37(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-17	-110	-17	-18	0.21	56%	0	-39.6	2.83%	0	-1.2	49	NAN
9	Jan_24_2014	26.94	28.51	28.09	28.1	28.27	28.11	27.45(-3.11%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-13	-20	-13	-13	0.18	56%	0	-19.8	2.85%	0	-1.3	50	NAN
10	Jan_23_2014	26.94	28.6	28.22	28.38	28.27	28.35	28.33(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	1	-10	0	3	0.2	58%	0	3	2.81%	0	-0.3	48	NAN

11	Jan_22_2014	26.94	28.66	28.28	28.31	28.41	28.43	28.6(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-4	20	-3	-8	0.22	58%	0.04	14.5	2.84%	0	-0.1	44	NAN
12	Jan_21_2014	26.93	28.69	28.2	28.38	28.44	28.47	28.18(0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	4	10	10	-14	0.36	55%	0.04	31	2.84%	0	-0.6	43	NAN
13	Jan_17_2014	26.92	28.71	28.19	28.1	28.32	28.38	27.95(-3.15%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-8	40	3	-39	0.25	48%	-0.04	29.7	2.87%	0	-0.8	43	NAN
14	Jan_16_2014	26.93	28.68	28.2	28.06	28.03	28.41	28.86(3.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.9	-10	90	3	-49	0.2	50%	0.04	40.4	3.22%	0	0.2	44	NAN
15	Jan_15_2014	26.92	28.57	28.18	28.04	28.02	28.25	27.98(-3.35%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-10	60	4	-51	0.14	50%	0	44.4	3.2%	0	-0.6	47	NAN

16	Jan_14_2014	26.92	28.53	28.38	28.26	28.13	27.64	28.95(8.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	-140	2	-44	0.3	52%	-0.07	55.7	3.17%	0	0.4	47	NAN
17	Jan_13_2014	26.94	28.42	28.44	28.03	28.28	27.78	26.74(-3.67%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-32	-100	-22	-62	0.36	47%	-0.11	52.3	2.99%	0	-1.5	38	NAN
18	Jan_10_2014	26.97	28.44	28.74	28.29	28.45	28.61	27.76(-3.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	60	-3	-38	0.18	49%	-0.04	66.3	2.96%	0	-0.6	49	NAN
19	Jan_9_2014	26.98	28.33	28.98	28.32	28.39	28.78	28.76(-1.13%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	3	100	9	-14	0.34	51%	-0.04	62.4	2.95%	0	0.4	61	NAN
20	Jan_8_2014	26.99	28.15	29	28.35	28.25	28.29	29.09(4.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.5	-1	-0	-1	-2	0.31	51%	-0.04	50.1	2.95%	0	0.7	66	NAN

21	Jan_7_2014	27	27.95	29.06	28.54	28.44	27.99	27.78(-0.96%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.5	-10	-120	-19	16	0.15	45%	-0.04	44.1	2.93%	0	-0.1	58	NAN
22	Jan_6_2014	27.01	27.84	29.22	28.95	28.99	28.2	28.05(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-5	-190	-23	49	0.29	45%	-0.04	42.4	2.98%	0	0.1	62	NAN
23	Jan_3_2014	27.02	27.7	29.28	29.27	29.46	28.88	27.94(-3.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-120	-29	72	0.26	45%	-0.07	40.1	2.98%	0	0.1	59	NAN
24	Jan_2_2014	27.04	27.6	29.23	29.7	29.85	29.77	28.87(-3.96%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-0	-6	117	0.25	47%	-0.11	41.6	2.96%	0	0.7	72	NAN
25	Dec_31_2013	27.07	27.46	29.03	29.73	29.91	30.05	30.06(0.74%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	38	50	5	138	0.32	50%		40.3	2.92%	0	1.4	79	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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