Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Dec. 12, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $26.8500 (7.27%) ($25.1700 - $27.7000) on Thu. Dec. 12, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.8% (three month average)
RSI   49
Latest Price   $26.8500(7.27%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -2.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
FXI(10%)    VWO(10%)    EEM(9%)    IWM(9%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -1.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.4% (StdDev 2.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $25.42(5.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $25.75(4.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $25.96(3.43%)
To recent high   -9.8%
To recent low   18.4%
Market Cap   $1.083b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 3.35% (three month std-dev: 2.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.19%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.45%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.41%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.32%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.54%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20140112

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_12_2013	27.53	25.96	25.75	25.42	25.3	25.61	26.85(7.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	5	70	24	-52	0.49	40%	-0.22	25.4	2.8%	0	1	49	0
2	Dec_11_2013	27.59	25.96	25.77	25.05	25.07	25.01	25.03(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-22	-10	-5	-72	0.26	28%	-0.25	23.8	2.66%	0	-1	49	0
3	Dec_10_2013	27.66	25.89	25.98	25.19	25.16	24.99	25.01(0.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-50	-11	-54	0.15	34%	-0.29	38.6	2.74%	0	-1	50	0
4	Dec_9_2013	27.74	25.86	26.18	25.42	25.34	25.14	24.78(-2.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-20	-60	-16	-33	0.32	34%	-0.25	50	2.81%	0	-1.2	50	0
5	Dec_6_2013	27.81	25.85	26.37	25.74	25.66	25.34	25.41(1.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-18	-100	-19	-16	0.09	34%	-0.32	66.3	2.79%	0	-0.5	48	0

6	Dec_5_2013	27.9	25.74	26.51	26.13	26.09	25.55	25.01(-2.91%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-15	-150	-25	15	0.15	34%	-0.11	66.8	2.79%	0	-0.6	56	0
7	Dec_4_2013	27.93	25.69	26.59	26.59	26.59	25.98	25.76(-1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-8	-160	-24	39	0.21	36%	-0.07	77.2	2.77%	0	0.1	55	0
8	Dec_3_2013	27.95	25.56	26.58	26.87	26.98	26.64	26.12(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	3	-80	-17	61	0.15	36%	-0.11	75.4	2.77%	0	0.4	62	0
9	Dec_2_2013	27.98	25.4	26.51	27.06	27.19	27.2	26.41(-3.4%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	20	20	-2	86	0.29	36%	-0.07	71.8	2.77%	0	0.7	68	0
10	Nov_29_2013	28	25.23	26.46	27.07	27.12	27.33	27.34(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	60	7	103	0.1	34%	0.04	64.3	2.81%	0	1.4	73	0

11	Nov_27_2013	27.99	25.01	26.21	26.96	26.96	27.18	27.32(0.55%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	43	60	17	120	0.19	30%	0	59.4	2.82%	0	1.5	79	0
12	Nov_26_2013	27.99	24.77	26.01	26.6	26.69	26.91	27.17(0.44%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	70	16	113	0.25	35%	0.04	53.2	2.99%	0	1.6	72	0
13	Nov_25_2013	27.98	24.58	25.78	26.25	26.29	26.74	27.05(2.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	120	17	113	0.27	35%	0.07	47.3	3.04%	0	1.8	74	0
14	Nov_22_2013	27.96	24.39	25.49	25.89	25.94	26.46	26.45(-1.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	40	150	16	110	0.26	35%	-0.04	41.2	3.03%	0	1.6	73	0
15	Nov_21_2013	27.97	24.27	25.27	25.77	25.65	25.85	26.79(4.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	46	40	20	122	0.23	35%	0.04	37.2	3.02%	0	2.1	74	0

16	Nov_20_2013	27.96	24.11	24.89	25.37	25.41	25.42	25.53(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	10	1	101	0.12	30%	-0.11	25.1	2.96%	0	1.4	70	0
17	Nov_19_2013	27.99	24	24.7	25.34	25.31	25.46	25.41(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	40	5	111	0.21	30%	-0.14	2.5	2.98%	0	1.5	71	0
18	Nov_18_2013	28.03	23.94	24.46	25.23	25.22	25.41	25.25(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	37	50	13	108	0.29	30%	-0.11	-22.1	2.98%	0	1.4	62	0
19	Nov_15_2013	28.06	23.88	24.22	25.01	24.95	25.15	25.87(4.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	33	50	13	94	0.25	30%	-0.04	-48.2	2.99%	0	2.1	66	0
20	Nov_14_2013	28.07	23.84	23.9	24.7	24.68	25.04	24.78(-2.4%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	32	100	19	72	0.13	25%	-0.04	-76.7	2.94%	0	1.1	51	0

21	Nov_13_2013	28.08	23.85	23.71	24.33	24.32	24.74	25.39(2.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	30	120	23	50	0.12	23%	-0.04	-67.7	2.94%	0	1.2	60	0
22	Nov_12_2013	28.09	23.98	23.43	23.96	23.84	24.31	24.85(2.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	21	120	20	24	0.29	31%	0	-58.3	2.99%	0	0.5	58	0
23	Nov_11_2013	28.09	24.14	23.27	23.59	23.55	23.9	24.16(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	15	100	20	0	0.25	31%	-0.04	-52.7	3.13%	0	0	48	0
24	Nov_8_2013	28.1	24.34	23.19	23.3	23.21	23.37	24.31(6.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	4	40	13	-22	0.4	31%	-0.07	-51.1	3.14%	0	-0	48	0
25	Nov_7_2013	28.12	24.54	23.17	23	23.01	23.21	22.93(-2.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-9	60	4	-49	0.63	22%		-53.7	3.06%	0	-0.7	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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