Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Jul. 29, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $33.2900 (-0.86%) ($32.7100 - $33.9900) on Mon. Jul. 29, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.46% (three month average)
RSI   73
Latest Price   $33.2900(-0.86%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 8.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.23% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    BNDX(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    PCY(-5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.23% (StdDev 4.46%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $32.85(1.34%)
10 Day Moving Average   $31.94(4.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.79(11.75%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   64%
Market Cap   $1.343b

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 9.67% (three month std-dev: 4.46%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.55%(38%) Average negative next day return: -1.06%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 5.83%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -3.79%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 5.33%(38%) Average negative next weekly return: -5.22%(63%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130829

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_29_2013	21.92	29.79	31.94	32.85	32.84	33.03	33.29(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	40	7	115	0.41	59%	0.97	60.9	4.46%	0	1.2	73	NAN
2	Jul_26_2013	21.71	29.49	31.55	32.72	32.65	32.69	33.58(3.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	36	0	5	130	0.53	59%	1.02	66.2	4.46%	0	1.5	75	NAN
3	Jul_25_2013	21.49	29.16	31.01	32.4	32.56	32.65	32.45(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	31	30	-5	137	0.54	59%	1.03	69.4	4.45%	0	1.2	76	NAN
4	Jul_24_2013	21.27	28.84	30.59	32.74	32.67	32.61	32.65(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	54	-20	14	172	0.54	59%	1	75.4	4.47%	0	1.5	74	NAN
5	Jul_23_2013	21.06	28.51	30.03	31.78	32.8	32.47	32.27(-1.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	30	19	141	0.4	59%	1.01	66.1	4.49%	0	1.5	58	NAN

6	Jul_22_2013	20.85	28.13	29.47	30.84	31.61	32.73	32.63(2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	35	320	12	103	0.82	59%	1.07	53.4	4.49%	0	1.8	59	NAN
7	Jul_19_2013	20.63	27.75	28.81	30.18	30.59	33.14	31.99(-6.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	60	620	48	96	1.09	67%	1.03	47.3	4.48%	0	1.9	62	NAN
8	Jul_18_2013	20.42	27.43	28.12	29.41	29.54	30.5	34.14(22.45%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	53	240	49	63	2.69	80%	1.14	40.1	4.94%	0	3.3	67	NAN
9	Jul_17_2013	20.19	27	27.21	28.21	29.54	28.04	27.88(1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	-60	-2	9	0.31	76%	0.85	35.5	6.12%	0	0.6	59	NAN
10	Jul_16_2013	20.02	26.95	27.3	28.02	28.34	28.59	27.55(-6.16%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	7	100	3	17	0.46	76%	0.81	34.6	6.12%	0	0.4	58	NAN

11	Jul_15_2013	19.86	26.89	27.45	27.85	27.98	28.64	29.36(4.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	20	180	15	33	0.45	74%	0.86	31.1	6.06%	0	1.8	69	NAN
12	Jul_12_2013	19.69	26.72	27.24	27.21	27.45	28.09	28.1(-0.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	20	190	17	28	0.27	74%	0.82	19.2	6.19%	0	1.1	63	NAN
13	Jul_11_2013	19.53	26.63	27.15	26.59	26.72	27.32	28.14(4.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	15	170	13	19	0.32	75%	0.88	5.5	6.19%	0	1.3	60	NAN
14	Jul_10_2013	19.36	26.53	26.95	26.07	26.12	26.82	26.96(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	2	190	1	4	0.34	75%	0.78	-6.2	6.19%	0	0.4	54	NAN
15	Jul_9_2013	19.21	26.49	26.88	26.51	26.03	26.13	26.69(2.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-1	-30	-4	8	0.5	73%	0.42	4.5	6.19%	0	0.2	50	NAN

16	Jul_8_2013	19.13	26.48	26.71	27.02	26.69	25.43	26.14(4.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-5	-370	-11	12	0.55	73%	0.74	21	6.21%	0	-0.3	51	NAN
17	Jul_5_2013	18.99	26.49	26.65	27.3	27.49	25.93	25.04(-1.92%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2	-16	-380	-24	9	0.4	73%	1.06	32.9	6.21%	0	-1.3	47	NAN
18	Jul_3_2013	18.79	26.56	26.76	27.75	28.01	27.95	25.53(-12.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-3	10	-11	23	0.68	73%	0.7	56.4	6.16%	0	-1	49	NAN
19	Jul_2_2013	18.66	26.6	26.85	27.87	28.09	29.05	29.14(-0.38%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.2	25	260	20	40	0.52	82%	0.92	61.6	5.91%	0	2.5	67	NAN
20	Jul_1_2013	18.49	26.44	26.6	27.27	27.32	28.06	29.25(6.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.3	25	200	23	31	0.51	82%	0.93	53.5	5.91%	0	3.3	68	NAN

21	Jun_28_2013	18.32	26.25	26.28	26.39	26.54	27.14	27.53(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.9	13	180	14	8	0.58	81%	0.83	39.7	5.88%	0	2.1	59	NAN
22	Jun_27_2013	18.17	26.13	26.14	25.94	25.88	26.58	27.32(4.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	2.2	8	180	11	-3	0.66	81%	0.83	21.6	5.89%	0	1.9	57	NAN
23	Jun_26_2013	18.02	26.13	26.02	25.66	25.55	25.95	26.12(-0.08%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	3	100	7	-11	0.47	81%	0.73	11	5.88%	0	0.2	48	NAN
24	Jun_25_2013	17.89	26.13	26.04	25.69	25.46	25.18	26.14(5.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.8	-6	-100	-3	-14	0.12	81%	0.79	21	5.88%	0	0.3	51	NAN
25	Jun_24_2013	17.75	25.99	26.05	25.84	25.73	25.15	24.84(-1.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-12	-170	-11	-14	0.23	81%		31.7	5.86%	0	-1.9	31	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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