Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. May. 2, 2013

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $22.4600 (5.99%) ($21.1900 - $23.0400) on Thu. May. 2, 2013.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.74% (three month average)
RSI   87
Latest Price   $22.4600(5.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 2.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK advances 26.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EEM(10%)    FXI(10%)    IWM(10%)    VWO(10%)    QQQ(9%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.87% in a week (0% probabilities).
SHY(-7%)    TLT(-5%)    TIP(-5%)    LQD(-5%)    XLU(-4%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.87% (StdDev 5.74%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 6%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.9(7.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $19.99(12.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $16.3(37.79%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   103.8%
Market Cap   $906m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 24.6% (three month std-dev: 5.74%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.61%(50%) Average negative next day return: -2.5%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.46%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.62%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 11.61%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.62%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20130602

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_2_2013	13.61	16.3	19.99	20.9	20.8	21.36	22.46(5.99%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	84	170	18	283	0.74	78%	0.67	66.2	5.74%	0	1.5	87	NAN
2	May_1_2013	13.52	15.78	19.29	20.45	20.36	20.49	21.19(4.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	83	30	10	301	0.56	76%	0.6	67.1	5.75%	0	1.4	86	NAN
3	Apr_30_2013	13.44	15.31	18.34	20.07	20.1	20.23	20.31(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	83	50	9	305	0.28	73%	0.52	67.3	5.69%	0	1.4	86	NAN
4	Apr_29_2013	13.37	14.89	17.48	19.7	19.72	20.22	20.3(0.25%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	86	180	12	307	0.26	69%	0.45	67.1	5.73%	0	1.6	87	NAN
5	Apr_26_2013	13.31	14.45	16.6	19.31	19.24	19.96	20.25(0.2%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	88	250	16	302	0.3	65%	0.53	66.9	5.84%	0	1.8	83	NAN

6	Apr_25_2013	13.24	14.02	15.82	18.92	18.79	19.21	20.21(4.82%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	98	140	27	309	0.49	65%	0.46	70	5.89%	0	2	81	NAN
7	Apr_24_2013	13.18	13.59	15.02	17.94	18.28	18.53	19.28(4.44%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	102	150	41	284	0.82	67%	0.38	68.3	5.87%	0	2.1	80	NAN
8	Apr_23_2013	13.13	13.2	14.26	16.32	17.19	18.38	18.46(0.6%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.9	86	640	45	209	0.48	67%	0.38	56.5	5.91%	0	2.2	79	NAN
9	Apr_22_2013	13.08	12.87	13.56	14.87	15.37	18.04	18.35(0.33%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.7	83	1320	61	147	1.07	68%	0.31	45.3	5.91%	0	2.7	79	NAN
10	Apr_19_2013	13.04	12.53	12.89	13.47	13.63	15.99	18.29(19.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	3.1	72	1250	67	87	2.29	68%	0.23	34.7	5.93%	0	3.7	79	NAN

11	Apr_18_2013	13.01	12.17	12.24	12.31	12.2	12.7	15.33(37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	3.7	31	260	33	23	1.65	63%	0.08	27.9	5.46%	0	3.9	72	NAN
12	Apr_17_2013	13	11.97	11.91	11.74	11.73	11.27	11.19(-0.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-280	-20	-42	0.14	44%	-0.31	23.3	2.71%	0	-2.1	37	NAN
13	Apr_16_2013	13.04	12	12	11.89	12.02	11.69	11.21(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-20	-160	-17	-27	0.08	44%	-0.23	40.1	2.76%	0	-2.3	37	NAN
14	Apr_15_2013	13.07	12.02	12.1	12	12.11	12.19	11.35(-8.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-13	70	-12	-17	0.09	44%	-0.23	49.6	2.78%	0	-2.1	37	NAN
15	Apr_12_2013	13.1	12.01	12.17	12.16	12.12	12.34	12.46(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	7	120	8	4	0.04	50%	-0.08	45.3	2.53%	0	1.3	56	NAN

16	Apr_11_2013	13.11	11.94	12.13	12.14	12.06	12.03	12.47(4.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	5	-40	4	8	0.07	50%	-0.15	29.3	2.55%	0	1.3	67	NAN
17	Apr_10_2013	13.13	11.88	12.09	12.12	12.09	11.89	11.97(1.87%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-120	-7	9	0.06	47%	-0.15	25.8	2.49%	0	0.2	58	NAN
18	Apr_9_2013	13.15	11.88	12.11	12.14	12.19	12.1	11.75(-3.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-2	-40	-9	21	0.07	47%	-0.23	22.8	2.47%	0	-0.3	56	NAN
19	Apr_8_2013	13.18	11.86	12.11	12.21	12.23	12.29	12.14(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	15	40	3	50	0.08	50%	-0.15	30.1	2.45%	0	0.7	68	NAN
20	Apr_5_2013	13.2	11.85	12.17	12.18	12.19	12.28	12.35(-0.24%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	50	7	71	0.06	50%	-0.15	34.1	2.45%	0	1.2	80	NAN

21	Apr_4_2013	13.22	11.83	12.1	12.12	12.12	12.18	12.38(2.48%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	22	30	5	74	0.05	50%	-0.08	38.5	2.47%	0	1.4	81	NAN
22	Apr_3_2013	13.23	11.78	12.03	12.07	12.12	12.1	12.08(-0.33%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	19	10	-1	78	0.06	47%	-0.23	37.6	2.45%	0	0.8	70	NAN
23	Apr_2_2013	13.26	11.77	11.99	12.09	12.08	12.1	12.12(1.25%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	19	-10	-3	84	0.06	51%	-0.23	42	2.45%	0	0.9	62	NAN
24	Apr_1_2013	13.29	11.74	11.93	12.12	12.13	12.06	11.97(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	18	-40	-4	82	0.08	51%	-0.37	43.3	2.52%	0	0.6	53	NAN
25	Mar_28_2013	13.34	11.71	11.84	12.16	12.18	12.11	12.03(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	22	-40	5	74	0.06	51%		36.8	2.54%	0	0.9	50	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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