Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jun. 15, 2010

Trading Signals: OSTK Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Nov. 3, 2023)

(Overstock.com Inc.)
OSTK latest price $21.8000 (2.16%) ($21.1000 - $21.9700) on Tue. Jun. 15, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   5.01% (three month average)
RSI   48
Latest Price   $21.8000(2.16%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Daily Trend   OSTK advances 1.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   OSTK declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support OSTK advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
EWI(4%)    EEM(3%)    EWG(3%)    EWP(3%)    FXI(3%)
Factors Impacting OSTK price   OSTK will decline at least -2.505% in a week (0% probabilities).
LQD(-5%)    TLT(-4%)    TIP(-3%)    PCY(-3%)    GLD(-3%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.505% (StdDev 5.01%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $20.98(3.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $20.87(4.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $21.31(2.3%)
To recent high   -6.6%
To recent low   62.9%
Market Cap   $879m

Overstock.com, Inc. operates online shopping commercial site. It also sells these products through www.overstock.com, www.o.com, and www.o.biz. It operates through the following business segments: Retail, tZERO, and MVI. The Retail Segment engages in e-commerce sales through its website. The tZERO Segment focuses on securities transaction through its broker-dealers. The MVI segment consists of the Medici business. The company was founded by Patrick Michael Byrne on May 5, 1997 and is headquartered in Salt Lake City, UT.

$. OSTK price fluctuates within 4.65% (three month std-dev: 5.01%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100715

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_15_2010	16.94		20.87	20.98	21.12	21.61	21.8(2.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	5	180	14	-21	0.16	74%	0.65	-39.4	5.01%	0	0.5	48	NAN
2	Jun_14_2010	16.83	21.31	20.8	20.59	20.74	21.24	21.34(0.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	4	190	18	-37	0.21	74%	0.54	-54	5.01%	0	0	46	NAN
3	Jun_11_2010	16.74	21.34	20.84	20.15	20.19	20.63	21.26(2.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-8	160	8	-57	0.19	74%	0.6	-62.3	5.01%	0	-0.1	44	NAN
4	Jun_10_2010	16.64	21.42	20.93	20.01	19.96	20.23	20.74(4.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.7	-18	90	-4	-58	0.2	74%	0.48	-61.2	5.01%	0	-0.6	55	NAN
5	Jun_9_2010	16.56	21.54	21.11	20.38	20.18	19.75	19.76(-0.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-19	-180	-10	-45	0.21	74%	0.49	-46.2	4.99%	0	-1.6	44	NAN

6	Jun_8_2010	16.48	21.71	21.35	20.77	20.71	19.68	19.84(3.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-21	-360	-17	-32	0.45	75%	0.24	-40	4.99%	0	-1.7	48	NAN
7	Jun_7_2010	16.44	21.86	21.6	21.04	21.21	20.61	19.15(-6.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-24	-170	-24	-25	0.37	75%	0.43	-21.7	5.02%	0	-2.7	42	NAN
8	Jun_4_2010	16.37	21.99	21.95	21.6	21.66	21.74	20.54(-9.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-7	30	-9	-0	0.35	80%	0.49	10.9	4.93%	0	-1.8	45	NAN
9	Jun_3_2010	16.29	22.09	21.97	21.6	21.89	21.8	22.63(4.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	2	-40	2	3	0.22	85%	0.62	50.3	4.78%	0	0.7	48	NAN
10	Jun_2_2010	16.19	22.07	21.86	21.96	21.97	21.58	21.68(2.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-9	-120	-8	-10	0.18	86%	0.62	75.2	4.76%	0	-0.5	42	NAN

11	Jun_1_2010	16.09	22.15	21.81	22.05	22.3	21.97	21.18(-3.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-11	-70	-8	-18	0.26	86%	0.69	99.4	4.77%	0	-1.3	41	NAN
12	May_28_2010	15.98	22.08	21.88	22.25	22.29	22.36	21.97(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	30	-5	-15	0.19	86%	0.63	63.3	4.76%	0	-0.1	47	NAN
13	May_27_2010	15.88	21.9	21.89	22.35	22.35	22.63	22.34(-1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	11	90	14	-0	0.51	86%	0.57	53.3	4.78%	0	0.3	57	NAN
14	May_26_2010	15.79	21.73	21.93	21.95	22.01	22.22	22.64(2.4%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	4	70	9	-13	0.34	86%	0.64	36.9	4.81%	0	0.6	51	NAN
15	May_25_2010	15.69	21.55	21.98	21.75	21.46	22.07	22.11(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	2	160	8	-15	0.42	86%	0.58	30.7	4.82%	0	0.3	50	NAN

16	May_24_2010	15.6	21.42	22.06	21.54	21.32	21.81	22.18(-1.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	5	130	13	-21	0.44	87%	0.39	25.7	4.82%	0	0.5	45	NAN
17	May_21_2010	15.54	21.3	22.1	21.46	21.13	20.85	22.5(10.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.6	-3	-140	0	-13	0.91	87%	0.65	25.3	4.75%	0	0.7	65	NAN
18	May_20_2010	15.44	21.16	21.99	21.4	21.28	20.84	20.33(-6.01%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-16	-160	-19	-6	0.36	86%	0.46	25.4	4.64%	0	-0.5	64	NAN
19	May_19_2010	15.37	21.17	22.22	21.91	21.72	21.4	21.63(2.76%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-2	-130	-14	35	0.38	90%	0.65	34.6	4.59%	0	0.3	66	NAN
20	May_18_2010	15.27	21.07	22.31	22.26	22.27	21.73	21.05(-3.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	8	-170	-13	69	0.26	90%	0.53	37.8	4.59%	0	-0	64	NAN

21	May_17_2010	15.19	21.01	22.54	22.65	22.66	22.04	21.8(-1.67%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	18	-190	-13	110	0.27	90%	0.46	43	4.56%	0	0.5	63	NAN
22	May_14_2010	15.12	20.89	22.33	22.82	22.89	22.81	22.17(-3.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	29	-20	-3	123	0.2	90%	0.6	42.8	4.51%	0	0.7	62	NAN
23	May_13_2010	15.03	20.75	21.96	22.66	23.03	23.28	22.91(-1.88%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	34	120	7	116	0.26	90%	0.67	40.4	4.51%	0	1.3	65	NAN
24	May_12_2010	14.93	20.61	21.55	22.57	22.72	22.98	23.35(1.43%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	33	100	8	106	0.23	90%	0.74	44.1	4.53%	0	1.7	63	NAN
25	May_11_2010	14.82	20.45	21.1	22.38	22.48	22.78	23.02(1.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	110	2	96	0.34	90%		48.7	4.54%	0	1.7	65	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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